Ohio @ Florida Atlantic: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2023)

Sat, Sep 9, 2023, 6:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Florida Atlantic

Weather at kickoff84°F6 mphgusts 16DryWeather watch ›

Ohio

1-1 · Power #63

▲ winner

Final

Florida Atlantic

1-0 · Power #105

final

Closing spread

FAU -3.5

✓ OHIO W

Total

▼ Under · 27 pts

Model before kickoff

OHIO 24–27 FAU

✗ FAU (59%) lost

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseFAU -3.5

Total61

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseFAU -3.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close61

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseFAU -3.5

Total61

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like FAU as a 3.5-point home favorite against OHIO, the favorite won 7, covered 5, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: OHIO won 17–10 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 27 points stayed under 61, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 59%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

4 of 944%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 3 against an average line of 3.1; 58 points a game (usually 54.8). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	BSU vs OKST 2021 · Week 3 · very close · similar spread & rest	-3.5	20–21	L	U58
Very close	WAKE vs FSU 2021 · Week 3 · very close · similar rest & total	-4.5	35–14	W	U62.5
Very close	BC vs MIZ 2021 · Week 4 · very close · similar rest & situation	-1	41–34	W	O58
Very close	FRES vs NEV 2021 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & rest	-3.5	34–32	L	O64.5
Close	FRES vs BSU 2021 · Week 10 · close · similar total & rest	-4	14–40	L	U61
Close	ORST vs WASH 2021 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	27–24	W	U57.5
Close	DUKE vs UVA 2022 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & spread	-2	38–17	W	P55
Close	WKU vs UAB 2022 · Week 8 · close · similar total & rest	-1.25	20–17	W	U60.5
Close	MD vs PUR 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & spread	-3	29–31	L	O59.5
Close	ECU vs MEM 2022 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & total	-5.5	47–45	L	O62.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
OHIO LL	0-2	0%	0-1	0-1
FAU L	0-1	0%	0-1	0-1

Venue/role: OHIO away, as underdog; FAU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
OHIO –U	0-1	0%	1-1
FAU O	1-0	100%	1-0

Stayed under: it needed 38 in the 4th quarter and got 3. 40% of games with totals 57–65 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
OHIOlast 2	1-1 50%	0-2 0%	0-1 0%
FAUlast 1	1-0 100%	0-1 0%	1-0 100%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

OHIO

Longer bar = better

FAU

#89

Offense

FAU better ▶

#28

#51

Defense

Even

#55

−1.0 #81

Turnovers

◀ OHIO better

−1.0 #106

71 plays #38

Pace

◀ OHIO faster

59 plays #113

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When OHIO has the ball

Advantage: FAU defense

	OHIO off	FAU def	Edge
Points / game	20.0 #99	20.0 #70	FAU
Yards / play	4.88 #101	4.35 #45	FAU
PPA / play	+0.03 #94	−0.06 #51	FAU
Success rate	44% #61	35% #52	Even

When FAU has the ball

Advantage: FAU offense

	FAU off	OHIO def	Edge
Points / game	42.0 #34	15.0 #52	Even
Yards / play	8.36 #10	4.60 #56	FAU
PPA / play	+0.36 #35	−0.06 #47	Even
Success rate	53% #32	35% #49	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.