Sat, Sep 9, 2023, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Georgia
Weather at kickoff78°F4 mphgusts 15Wet0.0 mmWet Over 45% of 309 games since 2023Weather watch ›
0-1 · Power #113
3
final
Final
@
1-0 · Power #1
45
▲ winner
Closing spread
UGA -42
Push
Total
52.5
▼ Under · 48 pts
Model before kickoff
BALL 8–45 UGA
✓ UGA (100%) won
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseUGA -42
Total52.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseUGA -42
Total52.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

No recent game is a close match for UGA as a 42-point home favorite against BALL. Try “Overall” or remove a filter under Customize.

Compare by
Customize filters
Only include
Show up to
games
History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

Signals

The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Small sample warning
Ball State has 1 game with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Loading play-by-play…

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams
BALL
Longer bar = better
UGA
#114
Offense
UGA better ▶
#28
#104
Defense
UGA better ▶
#24
−1.0 #99
Turnovers
UGA better ▶
+1.0 #44
71 plays #40
Pace
Even
70 plays #50
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When BALL has the ball
Advantage: UGA defense
BALL offUGA defEdge
Points / game 14.0 #113 7.0 #23 UGA
Yards / play 4.15 #120 4.13 #34 UGA
PPA / play −0.07 #112 −0.18 #27 UGA
Success rate 35% #110 21% #11 UGA
When UGA has the ball
Advantage: UGA offense
UGA offBALL defEdge
Points / game 48.0 #19 44.0 #120 UGA
Yards / play 7.99 #16 6.94 #116 UGA
PPA / play +0.39 #28 +0.20 #102 UGA
Success rate 46% #50 40% #79 UGA

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
UGA +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
78° · 4 mph
gusts 15 mph · 0.004 in rain · at kickoff
Rest
BALL7d
UGA7d
Even
Tempo
Fast 141 plays
slowavg 135fast
Quarterback
BALL backup QB started
Not the usual starter

Schedules, links & other games

Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week