Kent State @ Arkansas: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2023)

Sat, Sep 9, 2023, 4:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Arkansas

Weather at kickoff83°F7 mphgusts 19DryWeather watch ›

Kent State

0-1 · Power #133

final

Final

Arkansas

1-0 · Power #59

▲ winner

Closing spread

ARK -38

✓ KENT W

Total

57.5

▼ Under · 34 pts

Model before kickoff

KENT 12–47 ARK

✓ ARK (99%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseARK -38

Total57.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseARK -38

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close57.5

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseARK -38

Total57.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 1 games most like ARK as a 38-point home favorite against KENT, the favorite won 1, covered 1, and 1 went over the total.

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This game: ARK won 28–6; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 0 of the 1 similar games. 34 points stayed under 57.5, as in 0 of 1.

Favorite won

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 100%

Favorite covered

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 66%

Went over

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 56%

Only 1 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 73 against an average line of 36; 73 points a game (usually 58.1). Of the 1 over, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 1 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	OU vs ARST 2023 · Week 1 · loose · similar total & situation	-36	73–0	W	O58

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KENT L	0-1	0%	0-1	0-1
ARK W	1-0	100%	1-0	1-0

Venue/role: KENT away, as underdog; ARK home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KENT –	0-0	—	0-1
ARK O	1-0	100%	1-0

Stayed under: it needed 31 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 48% of games with totals 53.5–61.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KENTlast 1	0-1 0%	0-1 0%	0-0 —
ARKlast 1	1-0 100%	1-0 100%	1-0 100%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

KENT

Longer bar = better

ARK

#121

Offense

ARK better ▶

#24

#128

Defense

ARK better ▶

#39

+2.0 #12

Turnovers

Even

+5.0 #1

68 plays #62

Pace

◀ KENT faster

61 plays #104

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KENT has the ball

Advantage: ARK defense

	KENT off	ARK def	Edge
Points / game	6.0 #129	13.0 #36	ARK
Yards / play	3.51 #127	4.16 #37	ARK
PPA / play	−0.04 #104	−0.25 #14	ARK
Success rate	32% #123	39% #70	ARK

When ARK has the ball

Advantage: ARK offense

	ARK off	KENT def	Edge
Points / game	56.0 #10	56.0 #129	ARK
Yards / play	6.21 #56	8.93 #132	ARK
PPA / play	+0.70 #4	+0.49 #125	ARK
Success rate	56% #24	55% #125	ARK

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.