Ole Miss @ Tulane: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2023)

Sat, Sep 9, 2023, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Tulane

Weather at kickoff89°F5 mphgusts 15DryWeather watch ›

Ole Miss

1-0 · Power #16

▲ winner

Final

Tulane

1-0 · Power #55

final

Closing spread

MISS -13

✓ MISS W

Total

61.5

▼ Under · 57 pts

Model before kickoff

MISS 33–23 TULN

✓ MISS (75%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseMISS -13

Total61.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseMISS -13

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close61.5

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseMISS -13

Total61.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 1 games most like MISS as a 13-point road favorite at TULN, the favorite won 1, covered 1, and 0 went over the total.

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This game: MISS won 37–20; the favorite covered, as in 1 of the 1 similar games. 57 points stayed under 61.5, as in 1 of 1.

Favorite won

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 80%

Favorite covered

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

0 of 10%

Normal range · usually 51%

Only 1 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 25 against an average line of 13.5; 51 points a game (usually 56.1). When games like this go over ›

All 1 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	TCU @ COLO 2022 · Week 1 · loose · similar situation & spread	-13.5	38–13	W	U59.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
MISS W	1-0	100%	—	1-0
TULN W	1-0	100%	1-0	—

Venue/role: MISS away, as favorite; TULN home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
MISS O	1-0	100%	1-0
TULN –	0-0	—	1-0

Stayed under: it needed 28 in the 4th quarter and got 23. 43% of games with totals 57.5–65.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
MISSlast 1	1-0 100%	1-0 100%	1-0 100%
TULNlast 1	1-0 100%	1-0 100%	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

MISS

Longer bar = better

TULN

Offense

◀ MISS better

#45

#56

Defense

Even

#60

+2.0 #14

Turnovers

Even

+2.0 #22

74 plays #27

Pace

◀ MISS faster

53 plays #125

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When MISS has the ball

Advantage: MISS offense

	MISS off	TULN def	Edge
Points / game	73.0 #3	17.0 #64	MISS
Yards / play	9.01 #6	4.27 #42	MISS
PPA / play	+0.66 #7	−0.09 #39	MISS
Success rate	67% #7	42% #93	MISS

When TULN has the ball

Even matchup

	TULN off	MISS def	Edge
Points / game	37.0 #51	7.0 #19	MISS
Yards / play	8.23 #13	3.46 #15	Even
PPA / play	+0.25 #47	+0.08 #79	TULN
Success rate	43% #68	48% #110	TULN

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.