South Alabama @ Tulane: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2023)

Sat, Sep 2, 2023, 8:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Tulane

Weather at kickoff84°F9 mphgusts 17DryWeather watch ›

South Alabama

0-0 · Power #49

final

Final

Tulane

0-0 · Power #55

▲ winner

Closing spread

TULN -7

✓ TULN W

Total

—

Model before kickoff

USA 23–29 TULN

✓ TULN (67%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseTULN -7

Total—

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseTULN -7

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close—

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseTULN -7

Total—

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TULN as a 7-point home favorite against USA, the favorite won 9, covered 7, and 4 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: TULN won 37–17; the favorite covered, as in 7 of the 10 similar games.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 68%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 47%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 12.3 against an average line of 6.6; 55.1 points a game (usually 54.2).

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	TULN vs TEM 2020 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-6.75	38–3	W	U57.5
Very close	HOU vs TULN 2020 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-6.5	49–31	W	O58.25
Very close	HOU vs TULN 2022 · Week 5 · very close · similar team ratings & spread	-5.5	24–27	L	U52
Very close	NEB vs IU 2022 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-6.5	35–21	W	U61.75
Very close	PUR vs ORST 2021 · Week 1 · very close · similar spread & situation	-7	30–21	W	U68
Very close	IU vs WKU 2022 · Week 3 · very close · similar spread & situation	-7	33–30	L	O61.5
Very close	TULN vs MEM 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-7	38–28	W	O55.5
Very close	SYR vs BC 2021 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-6.5	21–6	W	U51.5
Very close	TOL vs CMU 2022 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-6.5	38–17	W	U56
Very close	APP vs MRSH 2021 · Week 4 · very close · similar spread & situation	-7	31–30	L	O59.25

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
USA	0-0	—	—	—
TULN	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: USA away, as underdog; TULN home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
USA	0-0	—	0-0
TULN	0-0	—	0-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 127 FBS teams

USA

Longer bar = better

TULN

#98

Offense

TULN better ▶

#44

#105

Defense

TULN better ▶

#57

−2.0 #117

Turnovers

TULN better ▶

+2.0 #22

62 plays #92

Pace

◀ USA faster

53 plays #118

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When USA has the ball

Advantage: TULN defense

	USA off	TULN def	Edge
Points / game	17.0 #101	17.0 #62	TULN
Yards / play	4.27 #110	4.27 #41	TULN
PPA / play	−0.09 #112	−0.09 #37	TULN
Success rate	42% #69	42% #89	USA

When TULN has the ball

Advantage: TULN offense

	TULN off	USA def	Edge
Points / game	37.0 #51	37.0 #104	TULN
Yards / play	8.23 #13	8.23 #124	TULN
PPA / play	+0.25 #46	+0.25 #101	TULN
Success rate	43% #64	43% #92	TULN

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.