UAB @ Georgia Southern: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2023)

Sat, Sep 9, 2023, 6:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Georgia Southern

Weather at kickoff83°F7 mphgusts 14Wet0.0 mmWet Over 45% of 309 games since 2023Weather watch ›

UAB

1-0 · Power #102

final

Final

Georgia Southern

1-0 · Power #92

▲ winner

Closing spread

GASO -7

✓ GASO W

Total

▲ Over · 84 pts

Model before kickoff

UAB 22–28 GASO

✓ GASO (68%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseGASO -7

Total63

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseGASO -7

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close63

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseGASO -7

Total63

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like GASO as a 7-point home favorite against UAB, the favorite won 8, covered 7, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: GASO won 49–35; the favorite covered, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 84 points went over 63, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 68%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 13 against an average line of 7.6; 76 points a game (usually 54.1). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	BUFF vs KENT 2020 · Week 13 · loose · similar spread	-7.5	70–41	W	O69.5
Loose	WASH vs MSU 2022 · Week 3 · loose · similar situation & rest	-3.5	39–28	W	O56.5
Loose	UCLA vs FRES 2021 · Week 3 · loose · similar total & situation	-11	37–40	L	O64
Loose	APP vs MRSH 2021 · Week 4 · loose · similar spread & situation	-7	31–30	L	O59.25
Loose	TEX vs TTU 2021 · Week 4 · loose · similar total & rest	-9	70–35	W	O62.75
Loose	UNC vs UVA 2021 · Week 3 · loose · similar spread & rest	-7.5	59–39	W	O66.5
Loose	KU vs DUKE 2022 · Week 4 · loose · similar spread & situation	-7	35–27	W	U65.5
Loose	TCU vs SMU 2021 · Week 4 · loose · similar situation & total	-9.5	34–42	L	O65.5
Loose	KSU vs MIZ 2022 · Week 2 · loose · similar spread & rest	-7	40–12	W	U52.5
Loose	PUR vs ORST 2021 · Week 1 · loose · similar spread & situation	-7	30–21	W	U68

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UAB W	1-0	100%	—	—
GASO P	0-0-1	—	0-0-1	0-0-1

Venue/role: UAB away, as underdog; GASO home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UAB U	0-1	0%	1-0
GASO U	0-1	0%	1-0

Went over in Q3. Of 9 earlier overs in games with totals 59–67, 44% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UABlast 1	1-0 100%	1-0 100%	0-1 0%
GASOlast 1	1-0 100%	0-0-1 —	0-1 0%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 135 FBS teams

UAB

Longer bar = better

GASO

#30

Offense

Even

#32

#27

Defense

Even

#16

−1.0 #92

Turnovers

◀ UAB better

−1.0 #107

71 plays #38

Pace

Even

74 plays #29

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UAB has the ball

Even matchup

	UAB off	GASO def	Edge
Points / game	35.0 #56	0.0 #3	GASO
Yards / play	6.45 #48	4.16 #34	Even
PPA / play	+0.51 #13	−0.19 #22	Even
Success rate	71% #4	17% #4	Even

When GASO has the ball

Even matchup

	GASO off	UAB def	Edge
Points / game	34.0 #61	6.0 #11	UAB
Yards / play	6.39 #51	3.33 #10	UAB
PPA / play	+0.51 #14	−0.11 #30	Even
Success rate	76% #1	36% #55	GASO

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.