Western Michigan @ Syracuse: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2023)

Sat, Sep 9, 2023, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Syracuse

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Western Michigan

1-0 · Power #120

final

Final

Syracuse

1-0 · Power #82

▲ winner

Closing spread

SYR -24.5

✓ SYR W

Total

56.5

▼ Under · 55 pts

Model before kickoff

WMU 16–38 SYR

✓ SYR (94%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseSYR -24.5

Total56.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseSYR -24.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close56.5

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseSYR -24.5

Total56.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 1 games most like SYR as a 24.5-point home favorite against WMU, the favorite won 1, covered 1, and 0 went over the total.

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This game: SYR won 48–7; the favorite covered, as in 1 of the 1 similar games. 55 points stayed under 56.5, as in 1 of 1.

Favorite won

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 90%

Favorite covered

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

0 of 10%

Normal range · usually 53%

Only 1 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 22 against an average line of 21.8; 48 points a game (usually 55.8). When games like this go over ›

All 1 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	MSU vs WMU 2022 · Week 1 · loose · similar total & situation	-21.75	35–13	W	U54.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WMU W	1-0	100%	—	—
SYR W	1-0	100%	1-0	1-0

Venue/role: WMU away, as underdog; SYR home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WMU U	0-1	0%	1-0
SYR O	1-0	100%	1-0

Stayed under: it needed 2 in the 4th quarter and got 0. 50% of games with totals 52.5–60.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WMUlast 1	1-0 100%	1-0 100%	0-1 0%
SYRlast 1	1-0 100%	1-0 100%	1-0 100%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 135 FBS teams

WMU

Longer bar = better

SYR

#54

Offense

SYR better ▶

#12

#77

Defense

SYR better ▶

−1.0 #88

Turnovers

SYR better ▶

0.0 #66

93 plays #3

Pace

Even

89 plays #4

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WMU has the ball

Advantage: SYR defense

	WMU off	SYR def	Edge
Points / game	35.0 #54	0.0 #2	SYR
Yards / play	5.47 #83	1.83 #1	SYR
PPA / play	+0.28 #44	−0.66 #1	SYR
Success rate	51% #34	12% #1	SYR

When SYR has the ball

Advantage: SYR offense

	SYR off	WMU def	Edge
Points / game	65.0 #5	17.0 #55	SYR
Yards / play	7.61 #19	6.11 #104	SYR
PPA / play	+0.49 #17	+0.26 #110	SYR
Success rate	67% #7	33% #37	SYR

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.