Florida Atlantic @ Clemson: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2023)

Sat, Sep 16, 2023, 8:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Clemson

Weather at kickoff69°F4 mphDryWeather watch ›

Florida Atlantic

1-1 · Power #105

final

Final

Clemson

1-1 · Power #19

▲ winner

Closing spread

CLEM -24.5

✓ CLEM W

Total

51.5

▲ Over · 62 pts

Model before kickoff

FAU 16–37 CLEM

✓ CLEM (94%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseCLEM -24.5

Total51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseCLEM -24.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close51.5

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseCLEM -24.5

Total51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like CLEM as a 24.5-point home favorite against FAU, the favorite won 10, covered 5, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: CLEM won 48–14; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 62 points went over 51.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

10 of 10100%

Normal range · usually 90%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 53%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 25.4 against an average line of 23.4; 55.4 points a game (usually 55.8). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	APP vs USA 2021 · Week 11 · close · similar total & rest	-21.5	31–7	W	U51.75
Loose	ORE vs COLO 2021 · Week 9 · loose · similar spread & rest	-24.5	52–29	L	O49.5
Loose	ND vs USF 2020 · Week 3 · loose · similar situation & rest	-23	52–0	W	O49
Loose	UAB vs UTSA 2020 · Week 5 · loose · similar rest	-21.5	21–13	L	U55.5
Loose	FSU vs GT 2022 · Week 9 · loose · similar spread	-23.5	41–16	W	O48
Loose	ND vs UNLV 2022 · Week 8 · loose · similar rest & spread	-26	44–21	L	O46.5
Loose	LIB vs ODU 2021 · Week 3 · loose · similar situation & rest	-27.5	45–17	W	O53
Loose	BYU vs WYO 2022 · Week 4 · loose · similar situation & rest	-21.25	38–24	L	O49.75
Loose	UTAH vs COLO 2021 · Week 13 · loose · similar spread & total	-24	28–13	L	U52.5
Loose	TCU vs LT 2020 · Week 15 · loose · similar total & rest	-21.5	52–10	W	O50

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
FAU LL	0-2	0%	—	—
CLEM LL	0-2	0%	0-1	0-2

Venue/role: FAU away, as underdog; CLEM home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
FAU OU	1-1	50%	1-1
CLEM –O	1-0	100%	1-1

Went over in Q4. Of 55 earlier overs in games with totals 47.5–55.5, 44% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
FAUlast 2	1-1 50%	0-2 0%	1-1 50%
CLEMlast 2	1-1 50%	0-2 0%	1-0 100%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

FAU 0–2 CLEM CLEM leads · 2 games since 2006 · CLEM has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 135 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

FAU−0.2 →−1.6▼ 1.4#76

CLEM−4.1 →+5.1▲ 9.2#33

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

FAU

Longer bar = better

CLEM

#85

Offense

CLEM better ▶

#45

#47

Defense

Even

#37

0.0 #70

Turnovers

◀ FAU better

−1.0 #122

59 plays #123

Pace

CLEM faster ▶

85 plays #1

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When FAU has the ball

Advantage: CLEM defense

	FAU off	CLEM def	Edge
Points / game	26.0 #85	22.5 #69	Even
Yards / play	5.79 #70	4.06 #12	CLEM
PPA / play	+0.06 #97	−0.02 #44	CLEM
Success rate	41% #86	33% #22	CLEM

When CLEM has the ball

Even matchup

	CLEM off	FAU def	Edge
Points / game	36.5 #38	18.5 #47	Even
Yards / play	6.48 #35	4.55 #34	Even
PPA / play	+0.05 #103	−0.10 #18	FAU
Success rate	57% #4	42% #87	CLEM

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 114 FBS teams

FAU scoring against the CLEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
FAU scored	7.0	12.0	19.0	7.0	0.0	7.0
CLEM allowed	8.5	3.0	11.5	3.5	7.5	11.0

CLEM scoring against the FAU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CLEM scored	7.0	8.5	15.5	14.0	7.0	21.0
FAU allowed	3.5	7.0	10.5	3.5	4.5	8.0

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.