Oregon @ Texas Tech: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2023)

Sat, Sep 9, 2023, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Texas Tech

Weather at kickoff93°F8 mphgusts 20DryWeather watch ›

Oregon

1-0 · Power #2

▲ winner

Final

Texas Tech

0-1 · Power #45

final

Closing spread

ORE -4.5

✓ ORE W

Total

▼ Under · 68 pts

Model before kickoff

ORE 32–28 TTU

✓ ORE (61%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseORE -4.5

Total70

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseORE -4.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close70

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseORE -4.5

Total70

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 1 games most like ORE as a 4.5-point road favorite at TTU, the favorite won 1, covered 1, and 0 went over the total.

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This game: ORE won 38–30; the favorite covered, as in 1 of the 1 similar games. 68 points stayed under 70, as in 1 of 1.

Favorite won

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 61%

Favorite covered

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

0 of 10%

Normal range · usually 47%

Only 1 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 7 against an average line of 6; 61 points a game (usually 54.3). When games like this go over ›

All 1 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	TENN @ PITT 2022 · Week 2 · loose · similar situation & spread	-6	34–27	W	U62.75

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ORE W	1-0	100%	—	1-0
TTU L	0-1	0%	—	—

Venue/role: ORE away, as favorite; TTU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ORE O	1-0	100%	1-0
TTU –	0-0	—	0-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ORElast 1	1-0 100%	1-0 100%	1-0 100%
TTUlast 1	0-1 0%	0-1 0%	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

ORE

Longer bar = better

TTU

Offense

◀ ORE better

#72

#30

Defense

◀ ORE better

#67

+1.0 #41

Turnovers

Even

+1.0 #48

72 plays #34

Pace

TTU faster ▶

80 plays #13

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ORE has the ball

Advantage: ORE offense

	ORE off	TTU def	Edge
Points / game	81.0 #1	35.0 #106	ORE
Yards / play	10.13 #1	4.10 #33	ORE
PPA / play	+0.99 #1	+0.02 #69	ORE
Success rate	72% #3	37% #61	ORE

When TTU has the ball

Advantage: ORE defense

	TTU off	ORE def	Edge
Points / game	33.0 #65	7.0 #20	ORE
Yards / play	5.39 #81	3.51 #18	ORE
PPA / play	+0.15 #69	−0.01 #63	Even
Success rate	42% #74	29% #20	ORE

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.