Jacksonville State @ Coastal Carolina: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2023)

Sat, Sep 9, 2023, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Coastal Carolina

Weather at kickoff76°F3 mphgusts 11DryWeather watch ›

Jacksonville State

2-0 · Power #69

final

Final

Coastal Carolina

0-1 · Power #70

▲ winner

Closing spread

CCU -13.5

✓ CCU W

Total

▼ Under · 46 pts

Model before kickoff

JXST 18–30 CCU

✓ CCU (80%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseCCU -13.5

Total61

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseCCU -13.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close61

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseCCU -13.5

Total61

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like CCU as a 13.5-point home favorite against JXST, the favorite won 4, covered 4, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: CCU won 30–16; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 46 points stayed under 61, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

4 of 1040%

Below normal · usually 80%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 51%

Wins below normal. Splits like this often fade, so treat it as context, not a pick. Average result: favorite by 4.4 against an average line of 11.3; 60.6 points a game (usually 56.2). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	VT vs BC 2020 · Week 7 · loose · similar rest & spread	-13	40–14	W	U61.75
Loose	DUKE vs CLT 2020 · Week 9 · loose · similar situation	-10.75	53–19	W	O55
Loose	STAN vs COLO 2020 · Week 11 · loose · similar rest	-9.5	32–35	L	O55
Loose	USC vs ORST 2021 · Week 4 · loose · similar rest & total	-11	27–45	L	O62.75
Loose	ARK vs LIB 2022 · Week 10 · loose · similar total & spread	-14.5	19–21	L	U61.5
Loose	HOU vs KU 2022 · Week 3 · loose · similar rest & situation	-8.5	30–48	L	O58
Loose	LOU vs USF 2022 · Week 4 · loose · similar rest & situation	-15.5	41–3	W	U63.5
Loose	MIA vs DUKE 2022 · Week 8 · loose · similar rest & total	-10	21–45	L	O59
Loose	UL vs CCU 2020 · Week 7 · loose · similar total	-9	27–30	L	U58.5
Loose	UAB vs GASO 2022 · Week 3 · loose · similar rest & situation	-11.5	35–21	W	U59

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
JXST WW	2-0	100%	—	1-0
CCU W	1-0	100%	—	—

Venue/role: JXST away, as underdog; CCU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
JXST UU	0-2	0%	2-0
CCU –	0-0	—	0-1

Stayed under: it needed 30 in the 4th quarter and got 14. 41% of games with totals 57–65 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
JXSTlast 2	2-0 100%	2-0 100%	0-2 0%
CCUlast 1	0-1 0%	1-0 100%	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

JXST

Longer bar = better

CCU

#79

Offense

◀ JXST better

#104

#46

Defense

◀ JXST better

#84

+3.5 #3

Turnovers

◀ JXST better

0.0 #77

70 plays #52

Pace

CCU faster ▶

77 plays #23

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When JXST has the ball

Even matchup

	JXST off	CCU def	Edge
Points / game	33.0 #63	27.0 #91	JXST
Yards / play	4.60 #105	6.95 #117	Even
PPA / play	+0.16 #66	+0.04 #72	Even
Success rate	40% #83	35% #54	CCU

When CCU has the ball

Advantage: JXST defense

	CCU off	JXST def	Edge
Points / game	13.0 #120	8.5 #27	JXST
Yards / play	4.48 #111	4.44 #48	JXST
PPA / play	−0.06 #110	−0.11 #37	JXST
Success rate	42% #75	39% #73	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.