North Texas @ Florida International: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2023)

Sat, Sep 9, 2023, 6:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Florida International

Weather at kickoff83°F3 mphgusts 9DryWeather watch ›

North Texas

0-1 · Power #103

final

Final

Florida International

1-1 · Power #131

▲ winner

Closing spread

UNT -11

✓ FIU W

Total

▲ Over · 85 pts

Model before kickoff

UNT 31–25 FIU

✗ UNT (67%) lost

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseUNT -11

Total53

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UNT L	0-1	0%	—	0-1
FIU WL	1-1	50%	0-1	1-0

Venue/role: UNT away, as favorite; FIU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UNT –	0-0	—	0-1
FIU –U	0-1	0%	1-1

Went over in Q3. Of 28 earlier overs in games with totals 49–57, 39% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UNTlast 1	0-1 0%	0-1 0%	0-0 —
FIUlast 2	1-1 50%	1-1 50%	0-1 0%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams

UNT

Longer bar = better

FIU

#113

Offense

Even

#107

#119

Defense

FIU better ▶

#58

−1.0 #103

Turnovers

FIU better ▶

−0.5 #79

53 plays #124

Pace

Even

49 plays #131

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UNT has the ball

Advantage: FIU defense

	UNT off	FIU def	Edge
Points / game	21.0 #97	17.0 #56	FIU
Yards / play	4.25 #118	4.91 #66	FIU
PPA / play	−0.10 #119	−0.06 #49	FIU
Success rate	33% #117	37% #59	FIU

When FIU has the ball

Even matchup

	FIU off	UNT def	Edge
Points / game	15.5 #109	58.0 #132	FIU
Yards / play	4.97 #98	7.15 #120	FIU
PPA / play	−0.08 #113	+0.40 #120	Even
Success rate	35% #109	46% #104	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.