Coastal Carolina @ UCLA: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2023)

Sat, Sep 2, 2023, 10:30 PM EDTWeek 1 · at UCLA

Weather at kickoff70°F3 mphgusts 8Wet0.0 mmWet Over 45% of 309 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Coastal Carolina

0-0 · Power #70

final

Final

UCLA

0-0 · Power #26

▲ winner

Closing spread

UCLA -16

✓ CCU W

Total

—

Model before kickoff

CCU 20–34 UCLA

✓ UCLA (84%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseUCLA -16

Total—

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseUCLA -16

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close—

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseUCLA -16

Total—

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like UCLA as a 16-point home favorite against CCU, the favorite won 10, covered 9, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: UCLA won 27–13; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 1 of the 10 similar games.

Favorite won

10 of 10100%

Normal range · usually 83%

Favorite covered

9 of 1090%

Above normal · usually 47%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 48%

Covers above normal. Splits like this often fade, so treat it as context, not a pick. Average result: favorite by 28.1 against an average line of 15; 51.9 points a game (usually 55.9).

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	JMU vs CCU 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-15.5	47–7	W	O53
Very close	AFA vs COLO 2022 · Week 2 · very close · similar situation & spread	-17.5	41–10	W	O50
Close	NEB vs BUFF 2021 · Week 2 · close · similar situation	-13.5	28–3	W	U54.5
Close	MRSH vs FAU 2020 · Week 8 · close · similar team ratings	-19	20–9	L	U51
Close	RUTG vs TEM 2021 · Week 1 · close · similar situation & spread	-14	61–14	W	O52
Close	NW vs MD 2020 · Week 8 · close	-13	43–3	W	U52.5
Close	BSU vs USU 2020 · Week 8 · close · similar spread	-17	42–13	W	O51.5
Close	LOU vs WKU 2020 · Week 2 · close · similar situation	-13	35–21	W	O55
Close	WSU vs ARIZ 2021 · Week 12 · close · similar spread	-14.75	44–18	W	O52.5
Close	ECU vs ODU 2022 · Week 2 · close · similar situation	-13	39–21	W	O49.75

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CCU	0-0	—	—	—
UCLA	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: CCU away, as underdog; UCLA home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CCU	0-0	—	0-0
UCLA	0-0	—	0-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 127 FBS teams

CCU

Longer bar = better

UCLA

#99

Offense

UCLA better ▶

#74

#80

Defense

UCLA better ▶

#56

0.0 #74

Turnovers

Even

0.0 #73

77 plays #22

Pace

◀ CCU faster

60 plays #104

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CCU has the ball

Advantage: UCLA defense

	CCU off	UCLA def	Edge
Points / game	13.0 #114	13.0 #39	UCLA
Yards / play	4.48 #105	4.48 #48	UCLA
PPA / play	−0.06 #104	−0.06 #50	UCLA
Success rate	42% #71	42% #86	Even

When UCLA has the ball

Even matchup

	UCLA off	CCU def	Edge
Points / game	27.0 #76	27.0 #85	Even
Yards / play	6.95 #30	6.95 #111	UCLA
PPA / play	+0.04 #87	+0.04 #69	Even
Success rate	35% #101	35% #53	CCU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.