Sat, Sep 2, 2023, 6:30 PM EDTWeek 1 · at USC
Closing spread
USC -38
✓ USC W
Total
—
Model before kickoff
NEV 11–42 USC
✓ USC (99%) won
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseUSC -38
Total—
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
Open—
no open
CloseUSC -38
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Close—
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseUSC -38
Total—
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
No recent game is a close match for 
USC as a 38-point home favorite against NEV. Try “Overall” or remove a filter under Customize.
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History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
Nevada have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
USC +2.5home-field points in the model
Weather
77° · 7 mph
gusts 13 mph · at kickoff
Rest
NEV1st game
USC7d
Even
Schedules, links & other games
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