Boise State @ Washington: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2023)

Sat, Sep 2, 2023, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Washington

Weather at kickoff73°F6 mphgusts 14DryWeather watch ›

Boise State

0-0 · Power #48

final

Final

Washington

0-0 · Power #13

▲ winner

Closing spread

WASH -15

✓ WASH W

Total

—

Model before kickoff

BOIS 20–33 WASH

✓ WASH (82%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseWASH -15

Total—

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseWASH -15

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close—

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseWASH -15

Total—

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like WASH as a 15-point home favorite against BOIS, the favorite won 9, covered 9, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: WASH won 56–19; the favorite covered, as in 9 of the 10 similar games.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 82%

Favorite covered

9 of 1090%

Above normal · usually 45%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 49%

Covers above normal. Splits like this often fade, so treat it as context, not a pick. Average result: favorite by 24.5 against an average line of 13.8; 52.1 points a game (usually 56.2).

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	JMU vs CCU 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread	-15.5	47–7	W	O53
Very close	NEB vs BUFF 2021 · Week 2 · very close · similar situation & spread	-13.5	28–3	W	U54.5
Close	NW vs MD 2020 · Week 8 · close · similar spread	-13	43–3	W	U52.5
Close	LOU vs WKU 2020 · Week 2 · close · similar situation & spread	-13	35–21	W	O55
Close	ECU vs ODU 2022 · Week 2 · close · similar situation & spread	-13	39–21	W	O49.75
Close	ISU vs UL 2020 · Week 2 · close · similar situation & spread	-13	14–31	L	U56.5
Close	AFA vs COLO 2022 · Week 2 · close · similar situation	-17.5	41–10	W	O50
Close	VT vs BC 2020 · Week 7 · close · similar spread	-13	40–14	W	U61.75
Close	SC vs GAST 2022 · Week 1 · close · similar situation	-12.5	35–14	W	U54.75
Close	RUTG vs TEM 2021 · Week 1 · close · similar situation & spread	-14	61–14	W	O52

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BOIS	0-0	—	—	—
WASH	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: BOIS away, as underdog; WASH home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
BOIS	0-0	—	0-0
WASH	0-0	—	0-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Recent meetings

The series

BOIS 2–5 WASH WASH leads · 7 games since 2007 · WASH has won the last 3 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 92 FBS teams

BOIS

Longer bar = better

WASH

#67

Offense

WASH better ▶

#15

#87

Defense

WASH better ▶

#47

−2.0 #85

Turnovers

WASH better ▶

+2.0 #14

75 plays #16

Pace

◀ BOIS faster

61 plays #67

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When BOIS has the ball

Advantage: WASH defense

	BOIS off	WASH def	Edge
Points / game	19.0 #71	19.0 #46	WASH
Yards / play	5.36 #57	5.36 #58	Even
PPA / play	+0.12 #55	+0.12 #60	Even
Success rate	32% #84	32% #22	WASH

When WASH has the ball

Advantage: WASH offense

	WASH off	BOIS def	Edge
Points / game	56.0 #11	56.0 #89	WASH
Yards / play	9.31 #4	9.31 #91	WASH
PPA / play	+0.50 #12	+0.50 #87	WASH
Success rate	50% #31	50% #79	WASH

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.