Sat, Sep 2, 2023, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Colorado State
Closing spread
WSU -9.5
✓ WSU W
Total
54
▲ Over · 74 pts
Model before kickoff
WSU 30–23 CSU
✓ WSU (68%) won
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseWSU -9.5
Total54
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
Open—
no open
CloseWSU -9.5
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Close54
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseWSU -9.5
Total54
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
In the 10 games most like 
WSU as a 9.5-point road favorite at CSU, the favorite won 5, covered 4, and 4 went over the total.
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This game: WSU won 50–24; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 74 points went over 54, as in 4 of 10.
Favorite won
5 of 1050%
Normal range · usually 73%
Favorite covered
4 of 1040%
Normal range · usually 51%
Went over
4 of 944%
Normal range · usually 50%
All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 5.6 against an average line of 7.8; 53.6 points a game (usually 55.3). When games like this go over ›
All 10 games
| Match | Game | Line | Final | Covered | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very close |  PUR @  ILL2020 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & total |
-9.5 | 31–24 | L | U55.5 |
| Very close |  VAN @  HAW2022 · Week 1 · very close · similar spread & total |
-9.25 | 63–10 | W | O54.5 |
| Close |  GT @  SYR2020 · Week 4 · close · similar total & spread |
-7.5 | 20–37 | L | O52 |
| Close |  UCLA @  COLO2020 · Week 10 · close · similar team ratings & total |
-6.5 | 42–48 | L | O56.5 |
| Close | COLO @  ARIZ2020 · Week 14 · close · similar spread & total |
-9.5 | 24–13 | W | U57 |
| Close |  UTAH @  BYU2021 · Week 2 · close · similar situation |
-7 | 17–26 | L | U50 |
| Close |  TOL @  BUFF2022 · Week 8 · close · similar total |
-7 | 27–34 | L | O56 |
| Close |  USC @ COLO2021 · Week 5 · close · similar spread & total |
-9 | 37–14 | W | P51 |
| Close |  LOU @ SYR2022 · Week 1 · close · similar total |
-6 | 7–31 | L | U55 |
| Close |  ECU @  TEM2020 · Week 12 · close · similar total |
-7 | 28–3 | W | U53 |
History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
Washington State have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Totals
Over/under before kickoff
Went over in Q4. Of 10 earlier overs in games with totals 50–58, 30% had cashed by the end of Q3.
When games like this go over ›Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
CSU +2.5home-field points in the model
Weather
85° · 8 mph
gusts 22 mph · at kickoff
Rest
WSU1st game
CSU1st game
Even
Altitude
WSU +2,461 ft
moderate climb
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week
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