Sun, Sep 3, 2023, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Rutgers · Conference game
Closing spread
RUTG -5
✓ RUTG W
Total
39
▼ Under · 31 pts
Model before kickoff
NU 24–29 RUTG
✓ RUTG (63%) won
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseRUTG -5
Total39
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
Open—
no open
CloseRUTG -5
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Close39
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseRUTG -5
Total39
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
In the 10 games most like 
RUTG as a 5-point home favorite against NU, the favorite won 3, covered 2, and 5 went over the total.
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This game: RUTG won 24–7; the favorite covered, as in 2 of the 10 similar games. 31 points stayed under 39, as in 5 of 10.
Favorite won
3 of 1030%
Below normal · usually 61%
Favorite covered
2 of 1020%
Normal range · usually 48%
Went over
5 of 1050%
Normal range · usually 46%
Wins below normal. Splits like this often fade, so treat it as context, not a pick. Average result: underdog by 4.8 against an average line of 4.2; 47.4 points a game (usually 54.1). When games like this go over ›
All 10 games
| Match | Game | Line | Final | Covered | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very close |  IU vs RUTG2021 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & team ratings |
-6.5 | 3–38 | L | U42.5 |
| Close |  VT vs  BC2022 · Week 2 · close · similar situation & team ratings |
-3 | 27–10 | W | U45 |
| Close | VT vs  GT2022 · Week 10 · close · similar total & spread |
-4 | 27–28 | L | O40.5 |
| Close |  SJSU vs  WYO2021 · Week 9 · close · similar total & situation |
-3 | 27–21 | W | O40.5 |
| Close |  SC vs  MIZ2022 · Week 9 · close · similar spread & situation |
-3.5 | 10–23 | L | U45.25 |
| Close |  AFA vs  SDSU2021 · Week 8 · close · similar total & situation |
-3 | 14–20 | L | U39 |
| Close |  TULN vs  NAVY2020 · Week 3 · close · similar spread |
-5.5 | 24–27 | L | O45 |
| Close |  MRSH vs  UAB2020 · Week 16 · close · similar spread & team ratings |
-4.5 | 13–22 | L | U44.75 |
| Close | VT vs  SYR2021 · Week 8 · close · similar spread & situation |
-3.5 | 36–41 | L | O45.5 |
| Close |  BAY vs  KSU2020 · Week 13 · close · similar spread |
-5.5 | 32–31 | L | O44.5 |
History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
Northwestern have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
RUTG +2.5home-field points in the model
Weather
86° · 7 mph
gusts 16 mph · at kickoff
Rest
NU1st game
RUTG1st game
Even
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week
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FRES @ 
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OSU @ 
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WVU @ 
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TOL @ 
ILL
ND