West Virginia @ Penn State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2023)

Sat, Sep 2, 2023, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Penn State

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West Virginia

0-0 · Power #39

final

Final

Penn State

0-0 · Power #5

▲ winner

Closing spread

PSU -20.5

✓ PSU W

Total

—

Model before kickoff

WVU 19–35 PSU

✓ PSU (89%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

ClosePSU -20.5

Total—

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

ClosePSU -20.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close—

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

ClosePSU -20.5

Total—

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like PSU as a 20.5-point home favorite against WVU, the favorite won 10, covered 5, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: PSU won 38–15; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games.

Favorite won

10 of 10100%

Normal range · usually 89%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 20.2 against an average line of 20.1; 47.4 points a game (usually 56.8).

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	MRSH vs FAU 2020 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread	-19	20–9	L	U51
Close	MSU vs WMU 2022 · Week 1 · close · similar situation & spread	-21.75	35–13	W	U54.5
Close	AFA vs COLO 2022 · Week 2 · close · similar situation	-17.5	41–10	W	O50
Loose	NCST vs USF 2021 · Week 1 · loose · similar situation & spread	-20	45–0	W	U58
Loose	MIZ vs LT 2022 · Week 1 · loose · similar spread & situation	-20.5	52–24	W	O62.5
Loose	PITT vs SYR 2020 · Week 3 · loose · similar spread & situation	-21	21–10	L	U47
Loose	OKST vs TLSA 2020 · Week 3 · loose · similar situation	-24	16–7	L	U67
Loose	WAKE vs LIB 2022 · Week 3 · loose · similar situation	-17.5	37–36	L	O64
Loose	CIN vs USF 2020 · Week 5 · loose · similar spread	-22	28–7	L	U45.5
Loose	ARIZ vs COLO 2022 · Week 5 · loose	-17.75	43–20	W	O58

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found