Sat, Sep 9, 2023, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Rutgers
Weather at kickoff74°F2 mphgusts 11DryWeather watch ›
1-0 · Power #128
7
final
Final
@
1-0 · Power #51
36
▲ winner
Closing spread
RUTG -7.5
✓ RUTG W
Total
43.5
▼ Under · 43 pts
Model before kickoff
TEM 19–26 RUTG
✓ RUTG (68%) won
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseRUTG -7.5
Total43.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
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Market

Open → close
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseRUTG -7.5
Total43.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like RUTG as a 7.5-point home favorite against TEM, the favorite won 5, covered 3, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: RUTG won 36–7; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 43 points stayed under 43.5, as in 5 of 10.
Favorite won
5 of 1050%
Normal range · usually 69%
Favorite covered
3 of 1030%
Normal range · usually 49%
Went over
5 of 1050%
Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 0.8 against an average line of 6.4; 45.6 points a game (usually 54). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games
MatchGameLineFinalCoveredO/U
Close
ARMY vs M-OH
2021 · Week 4 · close · similar spread & situation
-7.523–10 W U48.75
Close
MRSH vs UAB
2020 · Week 16 · close · similar total & rest
-4.513–22 L U44.75
Close
JMU vs MRSH
2022 · Week 8 · close · similar season form & spread
-9.512–26 L U48.5
Close
ILL vs PUR
2022 · Week 11 · close · similar total & rest
-624–31 L O44
Close
ISU vs OKST
2021 · Week 8 · close · similar spread & rest
-724–21 L U47
Close
UK vs SC
2022 · Week 6 · close · similar total & rest
-4.514–24 L U44.5
Close
KSU vs WVU
2021 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & spread
-634–17 W O47
Close
MRSH vs GAST
2022 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & spread
-6.528–23 L O45.5
Close
TA&M vs MSST
2021 · Week 5 · close · similar spread & rest
-722–26 L O45.5
Close
BAY vs BYU
2021 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & season form
-5.538–24 W O52.5
History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

Signals

The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Small sample warning
Temple has 1 game with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
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Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 134 FBS teams
TEM
Longer bar = better
RUTG
#90
Offense
Even
#94
#67
Defense
RUTG better ▶
#16
+1.0 #40
Turnovers
Even
+1.0 #49
77 plays #21
Pace
Even
73 plays #31
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When TEM has the ball
Advantage: RUTG defense
TEM offRUTG defEdge
Points / game 24.0 #86 7.0 #25 RUTG
Yards / play 4.58 #107 3.19 #9 RUTG
PPA / play +0.11 #78 −0.35 #9 RUTG
Success rate 39% #89 26% #19 RUTG
When RUTG has the ball
Advantage: TEM defense
RUTG offTEM defEdge
Points / game 24.0 #90 21.0 #75 Even
Yards / play 3.90 #123 4.89 #66 TEM
PPA / play +0.15 #68 +0.04 #71 Even
Success rate 38% #95 35% #56 TEM

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
RUTG +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
74° · 2 mph
gusts 11 mph · at kickoff
Rest
TEM7d
RUTG6d
TEM +1 day
Tempo
Fast 150 plays
slowavg 135fast

Schedules, links & other games

Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week