Sat, Sep 2, 2023, 8:50 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Wyoming
Closing spread
TTU -14
✓ WYO W
Total
—
Model before kickoff
TTU 32–22 WYO
✗ TTU (77%) lost
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseTTU -14
Total—
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
Open—
no open
CloseTTU -14
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Close—
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseTTU -14
Total—
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
In the 10 games most like 
TTU as a 14-point road favorite at WYO, the favorite won 9, covered 5, and 5 went over the total.
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This game: WYO won 35–33 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games.
Favorite won
9 of 1090%
Normal range · usually 82%
Favorite covered
5 of 1050%
Normal range · usually 48%
Went over
5 of 1050%
Normal range · usually 51%
All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 11.4 against an average line of 13.2; 58.6 points a game (usually 56.2).
All 10 games
| Match | Game | Line | Final | Covered | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very close |  TCU @  COLO2022 · Week 1 · very close · similar spread & situation |
-13.5 | 38–13 | W | U59.5 |
| Close |  WAKE @  VAN2022 · Week 2 · close · similar spread & situation |
-13.5 | 45–25 | W | O65.25 |
| Close |  CCU @  BUFF2021 · Week 3 · close · similar spread & situation |
-14 | 28–25 | L | U58 |
| Loose |  USU @  CSU2022 · Week 7 · loose · similar spread |
-14 | 17–13 | L | U45.5 |
| Loose |  BSU @  AFA2020 · Week 9 · loose · similar spread |
-13.5 | 49–30 | W | O49 |
| Loose |  VT @ WAKE2020 · Week 8 · loose |
-10.5 | 16–23 | L | U68.5 |
| Loose | BUFF @  NIU2020 · Week 10 · loose · similar spread |
-14.5 | 49–30 | W | O53 |
| Loose | BSU @  HAW2020 · Week 12 · loose · similar spread |
-13.5 | 40–32 | L | O55.5 |
| Loose |  PUR @  ILL2020 · Week 9 · loose |
-9.5 | 31–24 | L | U55.5 |
| Loose |  HOU @  NAVY2020 · Week 8 · loose · similar spread |
-15.5 | 37–21 | W | O56 |
History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Signals
The data signal, and 2 trends and market moves behind it
Slight Wyoming ATS trend Hit
Slight-or-stronger ATS leans went 873-886 (50%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
No clear signal on the total
Green signals have beaten the market in our backtest; yellow ones only describe the data.
Wyoming at altitude (+1.2 km)
Texas Tech climb about 4,003 ft to play here; visitors have covered less often than the line expects at altitude. · Backtest 2023–26: 64-41 (61%)
Small sample warning
Texas Tech have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
WYO +2.5home-field points in the model
Weather
72° · 3 mph
gusts 8 mph · at kickoff
Rest
TTU1st game
WYO1st game
Even
Altitude
TTU +4,003 ft
thin air for the visitors
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week
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