Auburn @ California: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2023)

Sat, Sep 9, 2023, 10:30 PM EDTWeek 2 · at California

Weather at kickoff64°F7 mphgusts 15DryWeather watch ›

Auburn

1-0 · Power #40

▲ winner

Final

California

1-0 · Power #57

final

Closing spread

AUB -5

✓ CAL W

Total

55.5

▼ Under · 24 pts

Model before kickoff

AUB 32–30 CAL

✓ AUB (57%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseAUB -5

Total55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
AUB W	1-0	100%	—	1-0
CAL W	1-0	100%	—	1-0

Venue/role: AUB away, as favorite; CAL home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
AUB O	1-0	100%	1-0
CAL –	0-0	—	1-0

Stayed under: it needed 39 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 49% of games with totals 51.5–59.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
AUBlast 1	1-0 100%	1-0 100%	1-0 100%
CALlast 1	1-0 100%	1-0 100%	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 135 FBS teams

AUB

Longer bar = better

CAL

#12

Offense

Even

#23

#73

Defense

CAL better ▶

#35

+2.0 #11

Turnovers

◀ AUB better

+1.0 #32

69 plays #55

Pace

CAL faster ▶

95 plays #1

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When AUB has the ball

Advantage: AUB offense

	AUB off	CAL def	Edge
Points / game	59.0 #3	21.0 #65	AUB
Yards / play	7.13 #21	4.25 #27	Even
PPA / play	+0.38 #17	−0.10 #26	Even
Success rate	57% #7	33% #23	Even

When CAL has the ball

Advantage: CAL offense

	CAL off	AUB def	Edge
Points / game	58.0 #4	14.0 #30	CAL
Yards / play	7.15 #20	5.90 #101	CAL
PPA / play	+0.40 #16	−0.06 #34	Even
Success rate	46% #51	50% #126	CAL

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.