Mon, Sep 4, 2023, 8:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Duke · Conference game
Closing spread
CLEM -13
✓ DUKE W
Total
—
Model before kickoff
CLEM 32–22 DUKE
✗ CLEM (76%) lost
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseCLEM -13
Total—
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
Open—
no open
CloseCLEM -13
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Close—
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseCLEM -13
Total—
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
In the 10 games most like
CLEM as a 13-point road favorite at DUKE, the favorite won 9, covered 3, and 4 went over the total.
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This game: DUKE won 28–7 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 7 of the 10 similar games.
Favorite won
9 of 1090%
Normal range · usually 80%
Favorite covered
3 of 1030%
Normal range · usually 48%
Went over
4 of 1040%
Normal range · usually 52%
All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 9.4 against an average line of 12.3; 54.4 points a game (usually 56.1).
All 10 games
| Match | Game | Line | Final | Covered | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very close | 2022 · Week 1 · very close · similar spread & situation |
-13.5 | 38–13 | W | U59.5 |
| Close | 2022 · Week 2 · close · similar spread & situation |
-13.5 | 45–25 | W | O65.25 |
| Close | 2021 · Week 3 · close · similar spread & situation |
-14 | 28–25 | L | U58 |
| Close | 2020 · Week 8 · close · similar situation |
-10.5 | 16–23 | L | U68.5 |
| Close | 2020 · Week 9 · close · similar team ratings |
-9.5 | 31–24 | L | U55.5 |
| Close | 2020 · Week 9 · close · similar spread |
-13.5 | 49–30 | W | O49 |
| Close | 2020 · Week 5 · close · similar situation & spread |
-11 | 38–31 | L | O54 |
| Close | 2022 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & situation |
-14 | 17–13 | L | U45.5 |
| Close | 2020 · Week 15 · close |
-9.5 | 17–9 | L | U46.5 |
| Close | 2020 · Week 12 · close · similar spread |
-13.5 | 40–32 | L | O55.5 |
History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
Clemson have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
80° · 4 mph
gusts 10 mph · at kickoff
Rest
CLEM1st game
DUKE1st game
Even
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

