Mon, Sep 4, 2023, 8:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Duke · Conference game
Weather at kickoff80°F4 mphgusts 10DryWeather watch ›
0-0 · Power #19
7
final
Final
@
0-0 · Power #37
28
▲ winner
Closing spread
CLEM -13
✓ DUKE W
Total
—
 
Model before kickoff
CLEM 32–22 DUKE
✗ CLEM (76%) lost
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseCLEM -13
Total—
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
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Market

Open → close
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook
SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line
Opennot available
CloseCLEM -13
Total—
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like CLEM as a 13-point road favorite at DUKE, the favorite won 9, covered 3, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: DUKE won 28–7 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 7 of the 10 similar games.
Favorite won
9 of 1090%
Normal range · usually 80%
Favorite covered
3 of 1030%
Normal range · usually 48%
Went over
4 of 1040%
Normal range · usually 52%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 9.4 against an average line of 12.3; 54.4 points a game (usually 56.1).

All 10 games
MatchGameLineFinalCoveredO/U
Very close
TCU @ COLO
2022 · Week 1 · very close · similar spread & situation
-13.538–13 W U59.5
Close
WAKE @ VAN
2022 · Week 2 · close · similar spread & situation
-13.545–25 W O65.25
Close
CCU @ BUFF
2021 · Week 3 · close · similar spread & situation
-1428–25 L U58
Close
VT @ WAKE
2020 · Week 8 · close · similar situation
-10.516–23 L U68.5
Close
PUR @ ILL
2020 · Week 9 · close · similar team ratings
-9.531–24 L U55.5
Close
BSU @ AFA
2020 · Week 9 · close · similar spread
-13.549–30 W O49
Close
VT @ DUKE
2020 · Week 5 · close · similar situation & spread
-1138–31 L O54
Close
USU @ CSU
2022 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & situation
-1417–13 L U45.5
Close
BSU @ WYO
2020 · Week 15 · close
-9.517–9 L U46.5
Close
BSU @ HAW
2020 · Week 12 · close · similar spread
-13.540–32 L O55.5
History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

Signals

The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Small sample warning
Clemson have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
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Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
DUKE +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
80° · 4 mph
gusts 10 mph · at kickoff
Rest
CLEM1st game
DUKE1st game
Even

Schedules, links & other games

Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week