Kent State @ Ohio: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2023)

Sat, Oct 7, 2023, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 6 · at Ohio · Conference game

Weather at kickoff57°F11 mphgusts 26DryWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Kent State

1-4 · Power #133

final

Final

Ohio

4-1 · Power #63

▲ winner

Closing spread

OHIO -26

✓ KENT W

Total

—

Model before kickoff

KENT 9–34 OHIO

✓ OHIO (96%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseOHIO -26

Total—

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseOHIO -26

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close—

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseOHIO -26

Total—

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like OHIO as a 26-point home favorite against KENT, the favorite won 9, covered 5, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: OHIO won 42–17; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 92%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 56%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 22.1 against an average line of 25.6; 49.3 points a game (usually 56.3). Of the 1 over, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3.

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	SJSU vs CSU 2022 · Week 10 · very close · similar season form & team ratings	-24	28–16	L	U44.5
Very close	BOIS vs CSU 2022 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & situation	-25	49–10	W	O42.5
Very close	TOL vs AKR 2021 · Week 13 · very close · similar season form & situation	-28.5	49–14	W	O57.5
Very close	SJSU vs NEV 2022 · Week 9 · very close · similar situation & spread	-24.5	35–28	L	O44.5
Close	FRES vs NEV 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar situation & spread	-24.5	27–9	L	U51.5
Close	FRES vs KENT 2023 · Week 4 · close · similar spread & season form	-27.5	53–10	W	O47.5
Close	UAB vs RICE 2021 · Week 8 · close · similar situation & team ratings	-23.75	24–30	L	O44.5
Close	LIB vs AKR 2022 · Week 4 · close · similar spread	-26.5	21–12	L	U53
Close	BSU vs UNM 2021 · Week 12 · close · similar spread & season form	-27.5	37–0	W	U48
Close	FRES vs UNM 2021 · Week 11 · close · similar season form & spread	-24	34–7	W	U51

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KENT LWWLL	2-3	40%	1-2	1-3
OHIO LLWWW	3-2	60%	1-1	1-1

Venue/role: KENT away, as underdog; OHIO home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KENT –UOOU	2-2	50%	1-4
OHIO –UUUU	0-4	0%	4-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KENTlast 5	1-4 20%	2-3 40%	2-2 50%
OHIOlast 5	4-1 80%	3-2 60%	0-4 0%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

KENT−15.5 →−18.7▼ 3.2#133

OHIO+0.9 →−1.1▼ 2.0#65

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

KENT

Longer bar = better

OHIO

#126

Offense

OHIO better ▶

#101

#121

Defense

OHIO better ▶

+0.4 #40

Turnovers

Even

+0.4 #39

62 plays #116

Pace

OHIO faster ▶

68 plays #54

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KENT has the ball

Advantage: OHIO defense

	KENT off	OHIO def	Edge
Points / game	12.6 #134	10.8 #4	OHIO
Yards / play	4.36 #133	4.38 #11	OHIO
PPA / play	−0.02 #120	−0.21 #1	OHIO
Success rate	37% #118	32% #13	OHIO

When OHIO has the ball

Even matchup

	OHIO off	KENT def	Edge
Points / game	21.0 #109	34.0 #120	Even
Yards / play	4.76 #122	6.18 #111	Even
PPA / play	+0.03 #107	+0.29 #128	OHIO
Success rate	43% #64	47% #124	OHIO

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

KENT scoring against the OHIO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KENT scored	6.0 #64	2.6 #130	8.6 #123	4.0 #108	0.0 #133	4.0 #132
OHIO allowed	0.6 #2	4.0 #14	4.6 #3	0.0 #1	6.2 #70	6.2 #13

OHIO scoring against the KENT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
OHIO scored	5.4 #77	6.8 #103	12.2 #96	6.2 #73	2.6 #129	8.8 #116
KENT allowed	10.6 #127	7.6 #76	18.2 #115	9.0 #115	6.8 #74	15.8 #108

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.