Kent State @ Eastern Michigan: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2023)

Sat, Oct 14, 2023, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Eastern Michigan · Conference game

Weather at kickoff48°F16 mphgusts 29Wet0.0 mmWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Kent State

1-5 · Power #133

final

Final

Eastern Michigan

3-3 · Power #126

▲ winner

Closing spread

EMU -7.5

✓ EMU W

Total

39.5

▲ Over · 42 pts

Model before kickoff

KENT 17–25 EMU

✓ EMU (71%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

Opennot available

CloseEMU -7.5

Total39.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseEMU -7.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close39.5

Line context

Home favorites of 5.5–9.5 since 2023: won 71%, covered 59% (45 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

Opennot available

CloseEMU -7.5

Total39.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like EMU as a 7.5-point home favorite against KENT, the favorite won 9, covered 5, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: EMU won 28–14; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 42 points went over 39.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 70%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 11.2 against an average line of 7.7; 34.6 points a game (usually 54.3). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	M-OH vs WMU 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & spread	-7	10–16	L	U44
Very close	CSU vs UNM 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & rest	-7.25	17–0	W	U36
Very close	WKU vs FIU 2020 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & rest	-7	38–21	W	O42
Close	FAU vs WKU 2020 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & spread	-7	10–6	L	U38
Close	TEM vs MASS 2022 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & season form	-10	28–0	W	U44
Close	WKU vs USM 2020 · Week 11 · close · similar spread & rest	-7.5	10–7	L	U45
Close	NIU vs BGSU 2021 · Week 7 · close · similar situation & rest	-9	34–26	L	O44.75
Close	M-OH vs BGSU 2023 · Week 6 · close · similar spread & situation	-7.5	27–0	W	U43
Close	UTEP vs RICE 2021 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & spread	-9	38–28	W	O47
Close	CSU vs HAW 2022 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & spread	-6	17–13	L	U46

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KENT WWLLW	3-3	50%	2-2	2-3
EMU WLLWW	3-3	50%	1-2	1-2

Venue/role: KENT away, as underdog; EMU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KENT UOOU–	2-2	50%	1-5
EMU UUUO–	2-3	40%	3-3

Went over in Q4. Of 16 earlier overs in games with totals 35.5–43.5, 50% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KENTlast 6	1-5 17%	3-3 50%	2-2 50%
EMUlast 6	3-3 50%	3-3 50%	2-3 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

KENT−15.5 →−19.1▼ 3.6#133

EMU−3.1 →−13.8▼ 10.7#126

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

KENT

Longer bar = better

EMU

#131

Offense

Even

#124

#125

Defense

EMU better ▶

#67

+0.2 #57

Turnovers

EMU better ▶

+0.5 #38

61 plays #122

Pace

Even

58 plays #130

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KENT has the ball

Advantage: EMU defense

	KENT off	EMU def	Edge
Points / game	13.3 #134	20.3 #37	EMU
Yards / play	4.32 #133	5.83 #86	EMU
PPA / play	−0.03 #127	+0.08 #56	EMU
Success rate	36% #128	43% #89	EMU

When EMU has the ball

Even matchup

	EMU off	KENT def	Edge
Points / game	17.5 #129	35.3 #126	Even
Yards / play	4.49 #129	6.31 #118	Even
PPA / play	−0.01 #120	+0.30 #128	Even
Success rate	38% #116	48% #129	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

KENT scoring against the EMU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KENT scored	5.0 #90	3.3 #130	8.3 #124	3.8 #114	1.2 #132	5.0 #132
EMU allowed	2.8 #27	7.2 #66	10.0 #40	7.2 #94	3.2 #11	10.3 #44

EMU scoring against the KENT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
EMU scored	4.8 #93	7.3 #88	12.2 #97	3.3 #121	2.0 #131	5.3 #130
KENT allowed	8.8 #120	9.8 #105	18.7 #121	9.8 #126	6.8 #76	16.7 #118

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.