Coastal Carolina @ Georgia Southern: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 5, 2023)

Sat, Sep 30, 2023, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 5 · at Georgia Southern · Conference game

Weather at kickoff78°F5 mphgusts 12DryWeather watch ›

Coastal Carolina

2-2 · Power #70

final

Final

Georgia Southern

3-1 · Power #92

▲ winner

Closing spread

GASO -6

✓ GASO W

Total

67.5

▼ Under · 66 pts

Model before kickoff

CCU 27–33 GASO

✓ GASO (65%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseGASO -6

Total67.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseGASO -6

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close67.5

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseGASO -6

Total67.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like GASO as a 6-point home favorite against CCU, the favorite won 7, covered 3, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: GASO won 38–28; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 66 points stayed under 67.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 65%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 46%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 0.1 against an average line of 5.4; 79.5 points a game (usually 54.2). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	ECU vs HOU 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & total	-6	3–42	L	U66.5
Very close	ECU vs MEM 2022 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & spread	-5.5	47–45	L	O62.5
Very close	UVA vs GT 2021 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & spread	-6.5	48–40	W	O65.5
Very close	FRES vs NEV 2021 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & season form	-3.5	34–32	L	O64.5
Very close	WAKE vs LOU 2021 · Week 5 · very close · similar situation & spread	-7	37–34	L	O64.5
Very close	WKU vs UTSA 2021 · Week 6 · very close · similar situation & team ratings	-3.5	46–52	L	O71.25
Very close	SMU vs UCF 2021 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & season form	-7	55–28	W	O61.5
Very close	SMU vs HOU 2022 · Week 10 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-3.5	77–63	W	O66
Very close	CCU vs GAST 2023 · Week 4 · very close · similar spread & season form	-6.5	17–30	L	U62.5
Very close	SMU vs MEM 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar total & spread	-4.5	34–31	L	U68.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CCU WWWL	3-1	75%	1-0	1-0
GASO PWLW	2-1-1	67%	1-0-1	2-0-1

Venue/role: CCU away, as underdog; GASO home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CCU –UOU	1-2	33%	2-2
GASO UOUU	1-3	25%	3-1

Stayed under: it needed 9 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 38% of games with totals 63.5–71.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CCUlast 4	2-2 50%	3-1 75%	1-2 33%
GASOlast 4	3-1 75%	2-1-1 67%	1-3 25%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

CCU 4–9 GASO GASO leads · 13 games since 2006 · GASO has won the last 4 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CCU−2.7 →0.0▲ 2.7#63

GASO+2.5 →+1.0▼ 1.5#57

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW4

CCU

Longer bar = better

GASO

#67

Offense

GASO better ▶

#36

#64

Defense

Even

#71

+1.3 #15

Turnovers

◀ CCU better

−1.0 #122

68 plays #53

Pace

GASO faster ▶

76 plays #10

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CCU has the ball

Even matchup

	CCU off	GASO def	Edge
Points / game	31.5 #56	18.3 #33	GASO
Yards / play	6.08 #52	5.37 #66	Even
PPA / play	+0.13 #72	+0.13 #89	Even
Success rate	41% #88	44% #96	Even

When GASO has the ball

Advantage: GASO offense

	GASO off	CCU def	Edge
Points / game	34.3 #42	20.0 #48	Even
Yards / play	6.32 #43	5.77 #92	GASO
PPA / play	+0.20 #48	−0.02 #35	Even
Success rate	54% #11	42% #82	GASO

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

CCU scoring against the GASO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CCU scored	7.8 #41	8.3 #78	16.0 #61	12.0 #7	3.5 #120	15.5 #45
GASO allowed	0.0 #1	7.3 #69	7.3 #24	7.0 #97	4.0 #28	11.0 #59

GASO scoring against the CCU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GASO scored	10.5 #16	10.0 #51	20.5 #22	7.8 #47	6.0 #78	13.8 #68
CCU allowed	5.0 #78	5.0 #40	10.0 #46	2.5 #18	7.5 #91	10.0 #47

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.