Kent State @ Akron: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2023)

Wed, Nov 1, 2023, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 10 · at Akron · Conference game

Weather at kickoff32°F5 mphDryCold Over 50% of 115 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Kent State

1-7 · Power #133

final

Final

Akron

1-7 · Power #130

▲ winner

Closing spread

AKR -3.5

✓ AKR W

Total

▲ Over · 58 pts

Model before kickoff

KENT 20–24 AKR

✓ AKR (62%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseAKR -3.5

Total40

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseAKR -3.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close40

Line context

Home favorites of 2.5–4.5 since 2023: won 54%, covered 44% (63 games)ⓘ

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseAKR -3.5

Total40

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like AKR as a 3.5-point home favorite against KENT, the favorite won 3, covered 3, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: AKR won 31–27; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 58 points went over 40, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 60%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 0.7 against an average line of 4.4; 44.1 points a game (usually 54.3). Of the 3 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	UNM vs UNLV 2021 · Week 10 · very close · similar situation & season form	-1.5	17–31	L	O45
Very close	SHSU vs UTEP 2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & total	-4	34–37	L	O38
Close	EMU vs BALL 2023 · Week 6 · close · similar spread & season form	-2.5	24–10	W	U43.5
Close	SHSU vs FIU 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar total & situation	-5.5	27–33	L	O42
Close	FIU vs UTEP 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & situation	-3.5	14–27	L	U43
Close	ECU vs CLT 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar total	-6	7–10	L	U39.5
Close	EMU vs KENT 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar total & team ratings	-7.5	28–14	W	O40
Close	NEV vs CSU 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar spread & situation	-3.5	14–17	L	U45
Close	BUFF vs BGSU 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & situation	-3	14–24	L	U44.5
Close	WKU vs FIU 2020 · Week 12 · close · similar situation & total	-7	38–21	W	O42

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KENT LLWLL	3-5	38%	2-3	2-5
AKR WLLWL	3-5	38%	0-3	0-2

Venue/role: KENT away, as underdog; AKR home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KENT OU–OU	3-3	50%	1-7
AKR OU–UO	2-4	33%	1-7

Went over in Q4. Of 31 earlier overs in games with totals 36–44, 35% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KENTlast 8	1-7 13%	3-5 38%	3-3 50%
AKRlast 8	1-7 13%	3-5 38%	2-4 33%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

KENT 19–26 AKR (1 tied) AKR leads · 46 games since 1972 · KENT has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

KENT−15.5 →−20.2▼ 4.7#133

AKR−1.0 →−16.3▼ 15.3#131

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

KENT

Longer bar = better

AKR

#134

Offense

Even

#132

#108

Defense

AKR better ▶

#55

−0.1 #75

Turnovers

◀ KENT better

−1.0 #129

63 plays #105

Pace

Even

65 plays #94

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KENT has the ball

Advantage: AKR defense

	KENT off	AKR def	Edge
Points / game	12.5 #135	29.4 #100	AKR
Yards / play	4.12 #134	5.29 #47	AKR
PPA / play	−0.08 #132	+0.03 #37	AKR
Success rate	34% #133	38% #37	AKR

When AKR has the ball

Advantage: KENT defense

	AKR off	KENT def	Edge
Points / game	15.4 #133	33.0 #118	Even
Yards / play	4.34 #132	5.80 #85	KENT
PPA / play	−0.10 #134	+0.23 #125	Even
Success rate	36% #130	44% #103	KENT

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

KENT scoring against the AKR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KENT scored	4.5 #102	2.5 #133	7.0 #132	3.8 #116	1.8 #132	5.5 #133
AKR allowed	2.1 #5	9.9 #109	12.0 #57	11.5 #133	4.0 #16	15.5 #110

AKR scoring against the KENT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
AKR scored	4.3 #106	4.3 #127	8.5 #126	2.1 #130	3.5 #128	5.6 #132
KENT allowed	8.4 #120	9.1 #97	17.5 #115	8.6 #118	6.9 #80	15.5 #110

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.