Coastal Carolina @ Old Dominion: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2023)

Sat, Nov 4, 2023, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 10 · at Old Dominion · Conference game

Weather at kickoff64°F6 mphgusts 12DryWeather watch ›

Coastal Carolina

5-3 · Power #70

▲ winner

Final

Old Dominion

4-4 · Power #97

final

Closing spread

ODU -1

✓ CCU W

Total

51.5

▲ Over · 52 pts

Model before kickoff

CCU 27–26 ODU

✓ CCU (51%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseODU -1

Total51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseODU -1

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close51.5

Line context

Home favorites of 0.5–3 since 2023: won 47%, covered 41% (45 games)ⓘ

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseODU -1

Total51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ODU as a 1-point home favorite against CCU, the favorite won 8, covered 8, and 8 went over the total.

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This game: CCU won 28–24 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 2 of the 10 similar games. 52 points went over 51.5, as in 8 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

8 of 1080%

Above normal · usually 47%

Overs above normal. Splits like this often fade, so treat it as context, not a pick. Average result: favorite by 4.3 against an average line of 1.8; 56.7 points a game (usually 54.4). Of the 2 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	USU vs SJSU 2022 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & total	-1	35–31	W	O51
Very close	VT vs WAKE 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & spread	-1.5	30–13	W	U48.5
Very close	CMU vs BUFF 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & rest	-2.75	31–27	W	O54
Very close	WSU vs STAN 2021 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & rest	-1	34–31	W	O53
Very close	BYU vs CIN 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & rest	-1	35–27	W	O48
Very close	GAST vs GASO 2020 · Week 13 · very close · similar total & situation	-2.5	30–24	W	O51
Close	USM vs GAST 2022 · Week 10 · close · similar situation & spread	-2	14–42	L	O48
Close	GAST vs MRSH 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & total	-1.5	41–24	W	O53.5
Close	BALL vs M-OH 2021 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & total	-3.5	17–24	L	U53
Close	EMU vs CMU 2022 · Week 13 · close · similar spread & situation	-1	38–19	W	O53.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CCU LLWWW	6-2	75%	3-1	3-1
ODU –WWWW	6-1	86%	3-0	—

Venue/role: CCU away, as underdog; ODU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CCU UUUUU	1-6	14%	5-3
ODU –O–UO	4-2	67%	4-4

Went over in Q4. Of 139 earlier overs in games with totals 47.5–55.5, 36% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CCUlast 8	5-3 63%	6-2 75%	1-6 14%
ODUlast 8	4-4 50%	6-1 86%	4-2 67%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CCU−2.7 →+0.7▲ 3.4#60

ODU−5.2 →−7.3▼ 2.1#103

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

CCU

Longer bar = better

ODU

#55

Offense

◀ CCU better

#96

#58

Defense

Even

#58

+0.8 #22

Turnovers

◀ CCU better

−0.5 #113

69 plays #54

Pace

◀ CCU faster

63 plays #112

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CCU has the ball

Even matchup

	CCU off	ODU def	Edge
Points / game	30.3 #56	26.0 #72	Even
Yards / play	6.48 #26	5.14 #36	Even
PPA / play	+0.18 #49	+0.04 #40	Even
Success rate	40% #87	43% #85	Even

When ODU has the ball

Advantage: CCU defense

	ODU off	CCU def	Edge
Points / game	24.5 #91	20.6 #36	CCU
Yards / play	5.84 #61	5.81 #88	ODU
PPA / play	0.00 #117	+0.04 #41	CCU
Success rate	39% #113	42% #65	CCU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

CCU scoring against the ODU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CCU scored	8.1 #28	9.3 #47	17.4 #35	7.8 #36	5.1 #106	12.9 #73
ODU allowed	4.9 #60	6.1 #41	11.0 #48	9.6 #127	5.4 #46	15.0 #104

ODU scoring against the CCU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ODU scored	2.1 #131	10.3 #30	12.4 #88	7.8 #36	4.4 #119	12.1 #86
CCU allowed	2.5 #13	7.5 #76	10.0 #31	5.1 #57	5.5 #49	10.6 #46

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.