Arizona State @ Utah: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2023)

Sat, Nov 4, 2023, 2:00 PM EDTWeek 10 · at Utah · Conference game

Weather at kickoff63°F4 mphgusts 11DryWeather watch ›

Arizona State

2-6 · Power #101

final

Final

Utah

6-2 · Power #33

▲ winner

Closing spread

UTAH -10

✓ UTAH W

Total

▲ Over · 58 pts

Model before kickoff

ASU 13–24 UTAH

✓ UTAH (79%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseUTAH -10

Total39

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseUTAH -10

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close39

Line context

Home favorites of 8–12 since 2023: won 80%, covered 44% (46 games)ⓘ

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseUTAH -10

Total39

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like UTAH as a 10-point home favorite against ASU, the favorite won 9, covered 4, and 7 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: UTAH won 55–3; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 58 points went over 39, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 74%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 11.7 against an average line of 11.7; 41.9 points a game (usually 54.7). Of the 2 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	IOWA vs NEB 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & total	-10.5	17–24	L	O38
Very close	IOWA vs NU 2022 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & total	-11.5	33–13	W	O37.5
Very close	IOWA vs ILL 2021 · Week 12 · very close · similar total & situation	-12	33–23	L	O38.25
Very close	MSU vs RUTG 2022 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & rest	-10	27–21	L	O41
Very close	IOWA vs MSU 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & total	-12	26–16	L	O36.5
Close	UTAH vs CAL 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & season form	-9.5	34–14	W	O43
Close	NW vs ILL 2020 · Week 15 · close · similar rest & total	-13.5	28–10	W	U41.5
Close	NCST vs VT 2022 · Week 9 · close · similar total & team ratings	-13.25	22–21	L	O39
Close	NEB vs NU 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar spread & total	-10.5	17–9	L	U40
Close	MINN vs RUTG 2022 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & total	-14	31–0	W	U40.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ASU WWPWW	4-3-1	57%	2-0	4-2-1
UTAH WLWWL	4-3-1	57%	3-2	3-1-1

Venue/role: ASU away, as underdog; UTAH home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ASU OUUUO	2-6	25%	2-6
UTAH UUOOU	2-5	29%	6-2

Went over in Q4. Of 29 earlier overs in games with totals 35–43, 38% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ASUlast 8	2-6 25%	4-3-1 57%	2-6 25%
UTAHlast 8	6-2 75%	4-3-1 57%	2-5 29%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

ASU 23–13 UTAH ASU leads · 36 games since 1961 · UTAH has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ASU+0.4 →−3.8▼ 4.2#86

UTAH+1.7 →+6.7▲ 5.0#29

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

ASU

Longer bar = better

UTAH

#103

Offense

Even

#112

#76

Defense

UTAH better ▶

#28

−1.1 #132

Turnovers

UTAH better ▶

+0.8 #20

70 plays #45

Pace

◀ ASU faster

67 plays #68

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ASU has the ball

Advantage: UTAH defense

	ASU off	UTAH def	Edge
Points / game	19.6 #120	17.5 #18	UTAH
Yards / play	5.23 #95	5.30 #48	UTAH
PPA / play	+0.05 #99	−0.01 #25	UTAH
Success rate	40% #97	36% #21	UTAH

When UTAH has the ball

Advantage: ASU defense

	UTAH off	ASU def	Edge
Points / game	21.3 #110	26.5 #77	ASU
Yards / play	4.94 #117	5.15 #37	ASU
PPA / play	+0.01 #113	+0.15 #89	ASU
Success rate	39% #107	44% #100	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 133 FBS teams

ASU scoring against the UTAH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ASU scored	5.3 #82	7.8 #73	13.0 #82	2.6 #127	4.0 #124	6.6 #132
UTAH allowed	5.6 #79	3.0 #3	8.6 #16	4.3 #36	4.6 #28	8.9 #21

UTAH scoring against the ASU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UTAH scored	4.8 #91	5.9 #109	10.6 #107	6.0 #71	4.6 #113	10.6 #100
ASU allowed	5.6 #79	7.1 #66	12.8 #66	5.0 #54	8.8 #108	13.8 #90

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.