NCAAF Week 11 2026: Lines, Line Movers & Model

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 11: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results

67 games3 signalsWeek in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below

Games670 final · 67 to play

Biggest Model FavoriteND 99%win probability

Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved

Moved toward	This week	2026	2024–2026
Any move	—	178–153–654%	789–801–850%
1.5+ pts	—	111–93–354%	446–443–450%
3+ pts	—	61–49–155%	215–206–251%
5+ pts	—	18–1358%	47–4551%
7+ pts	—	3–175%	13–765%

Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.

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Tuesday, Nov 10

Tue 7:00 PM ETConf

Western Michigan

5-2 · #88

Akron

1-6 · #133

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 48

Spread edge

—

model WMU -13

Tue 7:00 PM ETConf

Kent State

2-5 · #131

Bowling Green

2-5 · #129

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 45

Spread edge

—

model BGSU -4.5

Tue 7:00 PM ETConf

Ohio

5-2 · #96

Miami (OH)

4-3 · #106

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 49.5

Spread edge

—

model Pick’em

Wednesday, Nov 11

Wed 12:00 AM ETConf

Buffalo

4-3 · #125

Ball State

2-5 · #132

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 53.5

Spread edge

—

model BUFF -0.5

Wed 12:00 AM ETConf

Sacramento State

1-6 · #138

Central Michigan

3-4 · #120

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 47

Spread edge

—

model CMU -18.5

Wed 12:00 AM ETConf

Massachusetts

4-3 · #123

Toledo

5-2 · #75

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 50

Spread edge

—

model TOL -16

Thursday, Nov 12

Thu 8:00 PM ETConf

Memphis

6-2 · #62

South Florida

5-2 · #76

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 53.5

Spread edge

—

model MEM -2

Thu 9:00 PM ETConf

Louisiana

5-2 · #81

UL Monroe

0-6 · #137

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 52

Spread edge

—

model UL -19

Friday, Nov 13

Fri 7:00 PM ETConf

Florida State

3-4 · #40

Pittsburgh

5-2 · #39

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 56.5

Spread edge

—

model PITT -3

Fri 9:00 PM ETConf

Illinois

3-3 · #53

UCLA

6-0 · #16

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 56.5

Spread edge

—

model UCLA -15.5

Fri 10:15 PM ETConf

Houston

6-1 · #21

Colorado

2-4 · #63

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 51

Spread edge

—

model HOU -6

Saturday, Nov 14

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Duke

4-2 · #43

+21

Miami

6-0 · #3

-21

Spread

MIA -21

Total

55.5

Under 1.5

Spread edge

MIA by 1

no lean

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Baylor

4-2 · #38

BYU

6-0 · #14

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 49.5

Spread edge

—

model BYU -13.5

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Northwestern

5-1 · #30

Ohio State

6-1 · #2

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 54

Spread edge

—

model OSU -21

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Missouri

5-2 · #19

Georgia

6-1 · #4

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 52

Spread edge

—

model UGA -14

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

USC

6-1 · #18

+10

Indiana

6-1 · #7

-10

Spread

IU -10

Total

58.5

Under 0.5

Spread edge

IU by 3

lean · context

Trend: USC ATS

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Ole Miss

5-1 · #12

Oklahoma

3-3 · #23

-4

Spread

OU -4

Total

53.5

Under 3.5

Spread edge

MISS by 6.5

lean · context

Trend: MISS ATS

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Texas Tech

6-0 · #15

-15.5

Oklahoma State

4-2 · #44

+15.5

Spread

TTU -15.5

Total

61.5

Under 4

Spread edge

OKST by 8

lean · context

Trend: OKST ATS

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Utah

6-0 · #10

Arizona

5-1 · #31

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 55.5

Spread edge

—

model UTAH -6

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Tennessee

6-1 · #11

+8.5

Texas A&M

4-3 · #24

-8.5

Spread

TA&M -8.5

Total

55.5

Under 6

Spread edge

TENN by 11.5

no lean

Trend: Under

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Florida

5-2 · #17

Kentucky

6-1 · #26

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 58

Spread edge

—

model FLA -0.5

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Alabama

5-2 · #5

Vanderbilt

3-4 · #60

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 52

Spread edge

—

model ALA -21

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Purdue

3-4 · #59

Iowa

5-1 · #27

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 52

Spread edge

—

model IOWA -13

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Wake Forest

6-1 · #20

SMU

5-1 · #35

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 54.5

Spread edge

—

model WAKE -1

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Texas

4-2 · #8

-2.5

LSU

5-2 · #6

+2.5

Spread

TEX -2.5

Total

54.5

Under 6.5

Spread edge

LSU by 7

lean · context

Trend: LSU ATS

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Arizona State

3-3 · #66

UCF

3-3 · #55

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 50.5

Spread edge

—

model UCF -6.5

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Cincinnati

4-2 · #64

Iowa State

3-3 · #50

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 55.5

Spread edge

—

model ISU -7

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Kansas

2-4 · #46

West Virginia

4-3 · #73

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 62.5

Spread edge

—

model KU -4

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Kansas State

4-2 · #41

TCU

3-3 · #36

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 48.5

Spread edge

—

model TCU -5

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

South Carolina

3-3 · #28

Arkansas

3-4 · #57

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 55.5

Spread edge

—

model SC -5.5

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Auburn

4-2 · #25

Mississippi State

4-2 · #29

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 57

Spread edge

—

model MSST -1

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

California

3-4 · #85

Virginia

4-3 · #49

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 48.5

Spread edge

—

model UVA -14.5

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Georgia Tech

2-4 · #68

Clemson

4-2 · #52

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 51

Spread edge

—

model CLEM -6.5

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Louisville

4-3 · #22

North Carolina

4-2 · #47

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 53

Spread edge

—

model LOU -5.5

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Stanford

3-4 · #97

Virginia Tech

5-2 · #45

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 56

Spread edge

—

model VT -20.5

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Syracuse

2-4 · #70

NC State

3-3 · #61

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 55.5

Spread edge

—

model NCSU -4

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Wisconsin

4-2 · #33

Maryland

2-5 · #72

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 46

Spread edge

—

model WIS -7.5

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Washington

4-3 · #42

Michigan State

2-5 · #69

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 48

Spread edge

—

model WASH -1.5

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Michigan

4-2 · #34

+13.5

Oregon

4-2 · #9

-13.5

Spread

ORE -13.5

Total

53.5

Under 6.5

Spread edge

ORE by 0.5

no lean

Trend: MICH ATS

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Minnesota

4-2 · #65

Penn State

3-4 · #32

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 44

Spread edge

—

model PSU -13

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Nebraska

5-2 · #13

Rutgers

2-4 · #77

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 57.5

Spread edge

—

model NEB -17

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

East Carolina

3-4 · #92

Charlotte

1-6 · #135

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 50.5

Spread edge

—

model ECU -14

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Florida Atlantic

4-2 · #102

Tulsa

4-3 · #87

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 59.5

Spread edge

—

model TLSA -8

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

North Texas

4-2 · #54

UTSA

6-1 · #71

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 65.5

Spread edge

—

model UNT -2

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Tulane

3-3 · #86

Rice

1-6 · #121

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 43.5

Spread edge

—

model TULN -8

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

UAB

4-3 · #107

Temple

2-5 · #104

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 52

Spread edge

—

model TEM -3.5

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Nevada

2-4 · #109

Northern Illinois

0-6 · #134

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 49

Spread edge

—

model NEV -5.5

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Wyoming

4-3 · #122

UTEP

1-6 · #136

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 46

Spread edge

—

model WYO -5.5

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

App State

5-2 · #94

Marshall

4-3 · #114

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 56.5

Spread edge

—

model APP -3.5

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Arkansas State

3-4 · #103

Coastal Carolina

2-5 · #116

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 54

Spread edge

—

model Pick’em

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Georgia Southern

3-4 · #82

Georgia State

4-2 · #91

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 58.5

Spread edge

—

model GAST -1

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Southern Miss

1-5 · #127

Louisiana Tech

4-2 · #83

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 55.5

Spread edge

—

model LT -16

Sat 12:00 AM ETConf

Troy

3-3 · #98

South Alabama

4-3 · #101

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 58

Spread edge

—

model USA -1.5

Sat 12:00 PM ETNon-conf

James Madison

7-1 · #51

UConn

3-3 · #93

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 57.5

Spread edge

—

model JMU -8.5

Sat 2:00 PM ETConf

Kennesaw State

1-6 · #117

Sam Houston

1-6 · #124

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 48.5

Spread edge

—

model Pick’em

Sat 3:00 PM ETConf

New Mexico State

3-4 · #119

Missouri State

2-5 · #130

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 53.5

Spread edge

—

model NMSU -1

Sat 3:00 PM ETConf

Florida International

3-4 · #105

Delaware

3-4 · #113

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 51

Spread edge

—

model Pick’em

Sat 3:30 PM ETNon-conf

Boston College

3-3 · #79

Notre Dame

6-1 · #1

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 48.5

Spread edge

—

model ND -35.5

Sat 3:30 PM ETConf

Jacksonville State

5-2 · #99

Western Kentucky

3-4 · #115

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 53

Spread edge

—

model JXST -1.5

Sat 3:30 PM ETConf

Middle Tennessee

4-3 · #126

Liberty

6-1 · #67

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 48.5

Spread edge

—

model LIB -21.5

Sat 4:00 PM ETConf

Fresno State

4-3 · #80

Texas State

3-3 · #58

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 59.5

Spread edge

—

model TXST -10.5

Sat 6:00 PM ETConf

Oregon State

5-2 · #48

Boise State

5-1 · #37

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 60.5

Spread edge

—

model BOIS -8.5

Sat 7:00 PM ETConf

San José State

4-3 · #111

Air Force

5-1 · #90

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 52

Spread edge

—

model AFA -13.5

Sat 7:30 PM ETConf

UNLV

4-3 · #84

New Mexico

5-1 · #56

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 48.5

Spread edge

—

model UNM -13

Sat 9:30 PM ETConf

Utah State

2-4 · #95

San Diego State

3-4 · #108

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 45

Spread edge

—

model USU -0.5

Sat 10:30 PM ETConf

Colorado State

2-4 · #110

Washington State

1-6 · #100

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 57

Spread edge

—

model WSU -6

Sat 11:59 PM ETConf

North Dakota State

6-1 · #74

Hawai'i

1-6 · #118

Spread

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 46

Spread edge

—

model NDSU -7.5

Status	Matchup	Spread	Move	Total	Model	Signal	Details
Loading…

Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.

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NCAAF Week 11 games

Week in numbers

Group the list

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Tuesday, Nov 10

Wednesday, Nov 11

Thursday, Nov 12

Friday, Nov 13

Saturday, Nov 14