Arkansas State @ Coastal Carolina: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2026)

Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 11 · at Coastal Carolina · Conference game

Arkansas State

3-4 · Power #103

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Coastal Carolina

2-5 · Power #116

projected

ARST 51%

49% CCU

Spread

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Total

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model 54

Model line

Pick’em

ARST 51% to win

Pick this game

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ARST LLWLW	3-4	43%	2-2	—
CCU LLLWL	3-4	43%	1-3	—

Venue/role: ARST away; CCU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ARST UUUOU	3-4	43%	3-4
CCU UOOUO	4-3	57%	2-5

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ARST	5-5 50%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%
CCU	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Arkansas State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	@ LT	No meeting since 2023
Nov 28	vs TROY	W23–10WU

Coastal Carolina

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	@ UL	L24–34LO
Nov 28	@ JMU	L10–59LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

ARST 0–1 CCU CCU leads · 1 game since 2023 · CCU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 21 2023	Coastal Carolina 27 @ Arkansas State 17	CCU -8.5	CCU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ARST−10.2 →−9.1▲ 1.1#103

CCU−12.9 →−12.1▲ 0.8#115

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

ARST

Longer bar = better

CCU

#65

Offense

◀ ARST better

#82

#107

Defense

Even

#111

+0.4 #43

Turnovers

Even

+0.6 #33

62 plays #115

Pace

CCU faster ▶

65 plays #84

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ARST has the ball

Advantage: ARST offense

	ARST off	CCU def	Edge
Points / game	27.4 #82	25.9 #92	Even
Yards / play	5.93 #64	6.27 #119	ARST
PPA / play	+0.13 #76	+0.16 #106	ARST
Success rate	47% #36	47% #126	ARST

When CCU has the ball

Advantage: CCU offense

	CCU off	ARST def	Edge
Points / game	26.1 #88	26.6 #95	Even
Yards / play	5.91 #66	6.14 #116	CCU
PPA / play	+0.13 #75	+0.15 #100	CCU
Success rate	40% #97	45% #115	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

ARST scoring against the CCU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARST scored	2.3 #131	12.9 #17	15.1 #70	5.9 #77	6.4 #81	12.3 #87
CCU allowed	6.9 #112	5.6 #36	12.4 #76	4.4 #58	9.0 #123	13.4 #101

CCU scoring against the ARST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CCU scored	3.9 #104	11.3 #33	15.1 #70	5.4 #88	5.6 #107	11.0 #95
ARST allowed	4.0 #46	9.9 #115	13.9 #96	6.6 #99	6.1 #65	12.7 #92

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.