Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at James Madison · Conference game
2-5 · Power #116
18
projected
@
7-1 · Power #51
36
projected
CCU 6%
94% JMU
Spread
—
 
Total
—
model 54
Model line
JMU -21.5
JMU 94% to win
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Winner

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
James Madison 94%
Projected CCU 18 – JMU 36 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
JMU -21.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 54
How the model gets there (points from JMU’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadJMU rating edge+18.1+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.7=Model marginJMU by 21.3
TotalScoring ratings54.2=Model total54.2

Signals

The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

No notable trends or market moves for this game.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
CCU−12.9 →−12.1▲ 0.8#115
JMU+5.8 →+4.8▼ 1.0#49
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

CCU
Longer bar = better
JMU
#82
Offense
JMU better ▶
#25
#111
Defense
JMU better ▶
#35
+0.6 #33
Turnovers
JMU better ▶
+0.8 #18
65 plays #84
Pace
JMU faster ▶
69 plays #43
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When CCU has the ball
Advantage: JMU defense
CCU offJMU defEdge
Points / game 26.1 #88 18.3 #30 JMU
Yards / play 5.91 #66 5.00 #39 JMU
PPA / play +0.13 #75 0.00 #30 JMU
Success rate 40% #97 38% #41 JMU
When JMU has the ball
Advantage: JMU offense
JMU offCCU defEdge
Points / game 41.4 #5 25.9 #92 JMU
Yards / play 6.61 #23 6.27 #119 JMU
PPA / play +0.25 #23 +0.16 #106 JMU
Success rate 45% #49 47% #126 JMU

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
CCU scoring against the JMU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
CCU scored
3.9
#104
11.3
#33
15.1
#70
5.4
#88
5.6
#107
11.0
#95
JMU allowed
3.9
#45
4.9
#27
8.8
#31
2.4
#20
6.8
#86
9.1
#39
JMU scoring against the CCU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
JMU scored
11.1
#11
14.0
#8
25.1
#5
7.6
#34
8.6
#37
16.3
#29
CCU allowed
6.9
#112
5.6
#36
12.4
#76
4.4
#58
9.0
#123
13.4
#101

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
JMU +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
CCU7d
JMU14d bye
JMU +7 days
Tempo
Average 134 plays
slowavg 133fast

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.