Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at James Madison · Conference game
CCU 6%94% JMU
Spread
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Total
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model 54
Model line
JMU -21.5
JMU 94% to win
Pick this game
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Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
James Madison 94%
Projected CCU 18 – JMU 36 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
JMU -21.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
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Model 54
How the model gets there (points from JMU’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadJMU rating edge+18.1+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.7=Model marginJMU by 21.3
TotalScoring ratings54.2=Model total54.2
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | |
| 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
Next 3 games
With how the last meeting with each opponent went
No more games this season.
No more games this season.
Recent meetings
Last 3 since 2023
CCU 0–3 JMU
JMU leads · 3 games since 2023 · JMU has won the last 3 meetings
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29 2025 | James Madison 59 @ Coastal Carolina 10 | JMU -23.5 | JMU W |
| Oct 10 2024 | Coastal Carolina 7 @ James Madison 39 | JMU -6.5 | JMU W |
| Nov 25 2023 | James Madison 56 @ Coastal Carolina 14 | JMU -4 | JMU W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
CCU−12.9 →−12.1▲ 0.8#115
JMU+5.8 →+4.8▼ 1.0#49
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12
Longer bar = better
#82
Offense
JMU better ▶#25
#111
Defense
JMU better ▶#35
+0.6 #33
Turnovers
JMU better ▶+0.8 #18
65 plays #84
Pace
JMU faster ▶69 plays #43
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| CCU off | JMU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 26.1 #88 | 18.3 #30 | JMU |
| Yards / play | 5.91 #66 | 5.00 #39 | JMU |
| PPA / play | +0.13 #75 | 0.00 #30 | JMU |
| Success rate | 40% #97 | 38% #41 | JMU |
| JMU off | CCU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 41.4 #5 | 25.9 #92 | JMU |
| Yards / play | 6.61 #23 | 6.27 #119 | JMU |
| PPA / play | +0.25 #23 | +0.16 #106 | JMU |
| Success rate | 45% #49 | 47% #126 | JMU |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
CCU scoring against the JMU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3.9 #104 | 11.3 #33 | 15.1 #70 | 5.4 #88 | 5.6 #107 | 11.0 #95 | |
3.9 #45 | 4.9 #27 | 8.8 #31 | 2.4 #20 | 6.8 #86 | 9.1 #39 |
JMU scoring against the CCU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11.1 #11 | 14.0 #8 | 25.1 #5 | 7.6 #34 | 8.6 #37 | 16.3 #29 | |
6.9 #112 | 5.6 #36 | 12.4 #76 | 4.4 #58 | 9.0 #123 | 13.4 #101 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
CCU7d
JMU14d bye
JMU +7 days
Tempo
Average 134 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

