James Madison @ Coastal Carolina: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 14, 2025)

Sat, Nov 29, 2025, 3:45 PM ESTWeek 14 · at Coastal Carolina · Conference game

Weather at kickoff48°F4 mphgusts 11DryWeather watch ›

James Madison

10-1 · Power #28

▲ winner

Final

Coastal Carolina

6-5 · Power #122

final

Closing spread

JMU -23.5

✓ JMU W

Total

53.5

▲ Over · 69 pts

Model before kickoff

JMU 36–13 CCU

✓ JMU (95%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenJMU -21.5

CloseJMU -23.5

Total53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenJMU -21.5

2 → JMU

CloseJMU -23.5

2 pts toward James Madison

Total

Open53.5

no move

Close53.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened JMU -21.5 · closed JMU -23.5 · moved 2 toward JMUmodel JMU -21

model JMU -21

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 50% (248 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenJMU -21.5

CloseJMU -23.5

Total53.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like JMU as a 23.5-point road favorite at CCU, the favorite won 8, covered 7, and 6 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: JMU won 59–10; the favorite covered, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 69 points went over 53.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 91%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 46%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 22.4 against an average line of 21.9; 53.4 points a game (usually 54.3). Of the 5 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	TROY @ ULM 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar situation & rest	-21.5	45–14	W	O46.75
Close	CIN @ OKST 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & spread	-23.5	49–17	W	O57.5
Close	ND @ STAN 2023 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & season form	-26	56–23	W	O50
Close	AFA @ HAW 2023 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & situation	-20.5	13–27	L	U47.5
Close	FSU @ WAKE 2023 · Week 9 · close · similar total & rest	-21	41–16	W	O53
Close	SMU @ TEM 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & situation	-24	55–0	W	O53
Close	ISU @ ARST 2025 · Week 3 · close · similar rest & total	-21	24–16	L	U55.5
Close	CLEM @ BC 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & situation	-21	31–3	W	U48.75
Close	APP @ TXST 2022 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & total	-19.5	24–36	L	O54.5
Close	BOIS @ NEV 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar situation	-21	41–3	W	U47.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
JMU WWLWL	7-4	64%	3-2	6-4
CCU WWWLL	5-6	45%	3-2	4-5

Venue/role: JMU away, as favorite; CCU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
JMU OOOOU	5-6	45%	10-1
CCU OOOOO	8-3	73%	6-5

Went over in Q4. Of 586 earlier overs in games with totals 49.5–57.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
JMU	9-1 90%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%
CCU	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

JMU 2–0 CCU JMU leads · 2 games since 2023 · JMU has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 10 2024	Coastal Carolina 7 @ James Madison 39	JMU -6.5	JMU W
Nov 25 2023	James Madison 56 @ Coastal Carolina 14	JMU -4	JMU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

JMU−2.2 →+8.4▲ 10.6#35

CCU−6.6 →−13.1▼ 6.5#118

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW13

JMU

Longer bar = better

CCU

#30

Offense

◀ JMU better

#102

Defense

◀ JMU better

#102

0.0 #72

Turnovers

Even

−0.1 #82

70 plays #30

Pace

◀ JMU faster

67 plays #67

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When JMU has the ball

Advantage: JMU offense

	JMU off	CCU def	Edge
Points / game	35.9 #17	31.6 #120	JMU
Yards / play	6.32 #28	6.13 #116	JMU
PPA / play	+0.18 #37	+0.11 #78	JMU
Success rate	45% #38	43% #92	JMU

When CCU has the ball

Advantage: JMU defense

	CCU off	JMU def	Edge
Points / game	24.0 #94	16.5 #11	JMU
Yards / play	5.03 #117	4.32 #7	JMU
PPA / play	+0.07 #91	−0.06 #11	JMU
Success rate	40% #107	31% #2	JMU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

JMU scoring against the CCU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
JMU scored	6.9 #39	10.1 #40	17.0 #38	10.1 #6	8.8 #27	18.9 #6
CCU allowed	9.6 #132	10.0 #117	19.6 #133	6.6 #107	5.4 #39	12.0 #64

CCU scoring against the JMU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CCU scored	4.5 #103	5.5 #115	10.0 #118	7.1 #40	6.9 #65	14.0 #47
JMU allowed	3.0 #18	8.2 #86	11.2 #47	2.6 #10	2.7 #3	5.4 #4

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.