Coastal Carolina vs Louisiana Tech: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl, 2025)

Tue, Dec 30, 2025, 2:00 PM ESTRadiance Technologies Independence Bowl · Neutral site

Weather at kickoff44°F4 mphgusts 13DryWeather watch ›

Coastal Carolina

6-6 · Power #122

final

Final

Louisiana Tech

7-5 · Power #93

▲ winner

Closing spread

LT -10

✓ CCU W

Total

51.5

▼ Under · 37 pts

Model before kickoff

CCU 20–30 LT

✓ LT (75%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenLT -7

CloseLT -10

Total52.5 → 51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenLT -7

3 → LT

CloseLT -10

3 pts toward Louisiana Tech

Total

Open52.5

▼ 1

Close51.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened LT -7 · closed LT -10 · moved 3 toward LTmodel LT -7.5

model LT -7.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Moved off 7The team the line moved toward covered 69% (26 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenLT -7

CloseLT -10

Total52.5 → 51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like LT as a 10-point neutral-site favorite against CCU, the favorite won 5, covered 4, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: LT won 23–14; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 37 points stayed under 51.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 74%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 0.2 against an average line of 8.4; 58 points a game (usually 53.9). Of the 3 overs, 3 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	SDSU vs MTSU 2022 · Postseason · close · similar situation	-7	23–25	L	O47
Close	USM vs RICE 2022 · Postseason · close · similar situation & season form	-6.5	38–24	W	O45.5
Close	ECU vs USF 2022 · Week 5 · close · similar spread & season form	-9.5	48–28	W	O55.5
Close	JMU vs WKU 2024 · Postseason · close · similar situation & total	-7.5	27–17	W	U50.5
Close	TXST vs SHSU 2024 · Week 5 · close · similar spread & total	-11	39–40	L	O55
Close	BGSU vs ARST 2024 · Postseason · close · similar season form & spread	-10.5	31–38	L	O54.5
Close	ILL vs NU 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar season form & spread	-9	38–28	W	O43.5
Loose	UAB vs M-OH 2022 · Postseason · loose · similar situation & season form	-10.75	24–20	L	U45.75
Loose	SYR vs USF 2023 · Postseason · loose · similar situation & season form	-4.25	0–45	L	U55.75
Loose	NCSU vs ECU 2024 · Postseason · loose · similar situation & spread	-7.5	21–26	L	U60.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
CCU WWLLL	5-7	42%	—	4-6
LT WLLWW	8-4	67%	—	5-3

Venue/role: CCU neutral, as underdog; LT neutral, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CCU OOOOO	9-3	75%	6-6
LT OUUOO	5-7	42%	7-5

Stayed under: it needed 32 in the 4th quarter and got 17. 53% of games with totals 47.5–55.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CCU	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	8-2 80%
LT	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CCU−6.6 →−14.5▼ 7.9#123

LT−11.6 →−7.8▲ 3.8#94

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW16

CCU

Longer bar = better

#112

Offense

LT better ▶

#77

#108

Defense

LT better ▶

#41

−0.1 #81

Turnovers

LT better ▶

+0.8 #14

67 plays #69

Pace

◀ CCU faster

65 plays #89

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CCU has the ball

Advantage: LT defense

	CCU off	LT def	Edge
Points / game	22.8 #104	21.3 #39	LT
Yards / play	4.85 #126	5.47 #60	LT
PPA / play	+0.05 #101	+0.02 #34	LT
Success rate	38% #118	39% #29	LT

When LT has the ball

Advantage: LT offense

	LT off	CCU def	Edge
Points / game	27.7 #68	33.9 #130	LT
Yards / play	5.57 #78	6.24 #120	LT
PPA / play	+0.10 #70	+0.12 #79	Even
Success rate	41% #92	44% #102	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

CCU scoring against the LT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CCU scored	4.2 #108	5.8 #111	10.0 #118	6.5 #49	6.3 #78	12.8 #61
LT allowed	3.3 #24	6.2 #37	9.5 #19	5.0 #53	6.2 #58	11.2 #52

LT scoring against the CCU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LT scored	6.9 #37	4.7 #124	11.6 #103	4.9 #92	10.1 #8	15.0 #31
CCU allowed	10.3 #132	9.4 #104	19.7 #133	7.0 #109	7.3 #86	14.3 #103

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.