Louisiana vs Delaware: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (68 Ventures Bowl, 2025)

Wed, Dec 17, 2025, 8:40 PM EST68 Ventures Bowl · Neutral site

Weather at kickoff60°F7 mphgusts 12Wet0.0 mmWet Over 45% of 309 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Louisiana

6-6 · Power #114

final

Final

Delaware

6-6 · Power #117

▲ winner

Closing spread

UL -1.5

✓ DEL W

Total

60.5

▼ Under · 33 pts

Model before kickoff

UL 30–28 DEL

✗ UL (55%) lost

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenUL -3.5

CloseUL -1.5

Total58.5 → 60.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenUL -3.5

2 → DEL

CloseUL -1.5

2 pts toward Delaware

Total

Open58.5

▲ 2

Close60.5

Up 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened UL -3.5 · closed UL -1.5 · moved 2 toward DELmodel UL -2.5

model UL -2.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Neutral-site favorites of 0.5–3.5 since 2023: won 49%, covered 46% (51 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 47% (119 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenUL -3.5

CloseUL -1.5

Total58.5 → 60.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like UL as a 1.5-point neutral-site favorite against DEL, the favorite won 3, covered 2, and 5 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: DEL won 20–13 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 8 of the 10 similar games. 33 points stayed under 60.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

2 of 1020%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 5.7 against an average line of 3.9; 55.5 points a game (usually 53). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	SJSU vs EMU 2022 · Postseason · close · similar rest & situation	-3.5	27–41	L	O54
Close	ARST vs NIU 2023 · Postseason · close · similar rest & situation	-2.5	19–21	L	U53.75
Close	GASO vs SHSU 2024 · Postseason · close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	26–31	L	O48.5
Loose	TXST vs RICE 2023 · Postseason · loose · similar situation & spread	-3.5	45–21	W	O59
Loose	JXST vs UL 2023 · Postseason · loose · similar rest & total	-3.5	34–31	L	O58
Loose	NMSU vs FRES 2023 · Postseason · loose · similar rest & situation	-3	10–37	L	U53
Loose	UNC vs CONN 2024 · Postseason · loose · similar situation & rest	-2	14–27	L	U53.5
Loose	GASO vs BUFF 2022 · Postseason · loose · similar situation & season form	-6	21–23	L	U66.5
Loose	ECU vs CCU 2022 · Postseason · loose · similar situation & season form	-7	53–29	W	O67
Loose	SYR vs USF 2023 · Postseason · loose · similar rest & situation	-4.25	0–45	L	U55.75

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
UL LWWWL	6-6	50%	—	1-3
DEL LWLLW	4-8	33%	—	3-3

Venue/role: UL neutral, as favorite; DEL neutral, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UL OOOOO	8-4	67%	6-6
DEL OUUOO	6-6	50%	6-6

Stayed under: it needed 35 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 45% of games with totals 56.5–64.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UL	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	8-2 80%
DEL	5-5 50%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UL−2.6 →−11.4▼ 8.8#110

DEL−22.6 →−13.8▲ 8.8#120

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW16

Longer bar = better

DEL

#92

Offense

DEL better ▶

#58

#107

Defense

Even

#110

+0.2 #65

Turnovers

◀ UL better

−0.3 #98

65 plays #92

Pace

DEL faster ▶

74 plays #8

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UL has the ball

Even matchup

	UL off	DEL def	Edge
Points / game	27.1 #74	32.5 #122	UL
Yards / play	5.32 #100	6.13 #117	Even
PPA / play	+0.08 #84	+0.20 #119	UL
Success rate	39% #109	42% #80	DEL

When DEL has the ball

Advantage: DEL offense

	DEL off	UL def	Edge
Points / game	29.8 #51	30.0 #106	DEL
Yards / play	5.65 #75	6.00 #109	DEL
PPA / play	+0.14 #54	+0.14 #86	DEL
Success rate	44% #50	47% #127	DEL

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

UL scoring against the DEL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UL scored	6.0 #70	11.1 #22	17.1 #37	3.0 #130	5.7 #98	8.7 #124
DEL allowed	6.8 #103	9.6 #108	16.3 #108	10.1 #135	5.8 #51	15.9 #127

DEL scoring against the UL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DEL scored	4.3 #105	11.3 #19	15.5 #54	5.5 #79	8.3 #32	13.8 #47
UL allowed	5.9 #85	10.9 #131	16.8 #113	4.8 #50	7.5 #94	12.3 #69

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.