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NCAAF · 2025

NCAAF Bowls & playoff games

FinalCurrentUpcomingBowls & playoff: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
46 finalFavorites 23-23 ATS17 upsetsO/U 20-26Model Favorite 28-18Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games4646 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS23-2350% covered
Upsets17outright
Over / Under20-2643% over
Model Favorite28-1861% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up12 all 12 final
Over6 50%Under6 50%
Moved down30 all 30 final
Over14 47%Under16 53%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20252024–2026
Any move
23–1757%
287–313–248%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
14–1254%
143–153–148%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
10–759%
78–74–151%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
5–271%
14–1352%
47–4551%
7+ pts
4–180%
6–186%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Saturday, Dec 13

1
Final · Bucked Up LA Bowl
Boise State
9-4 · #55
10
Washington
8-4 · #15
38
Spread
WASH -10
✓ WASH W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲4
▼ Under 48
Projected
22–32
✓ WASH won
Trend: WASH ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: WASH by 1 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q2

Tuesday, Dec 16

1
Final · IS4S Salute to Veterans Bowl
Troy
8-5 · #99
13
Jacksonville State
8-5 · #101
17
Spread
JXST -3
✓ JXST W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼4
▼ Under 30
Projected
24–27
✓ JXST won
Trend: TROY ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: TROY by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4

Wednesday, Dec 17

2
Final · StaffDNA Cure Bowl
Old Dominion
9-3 · #46
24
South Florida
9-3 · #29
10
Spread
USF -4
✓ ODU W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼4
▼ Under 34
Projected
28–32
✗ USF lost
Trend: ODU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: USF by 4 ✗ Model: Over 7.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · 68 Ventures Bowl
Louisiana
6-6 · #114
13
Delaware
6-6 · #117
20
Spread
UL -1.5
✓ DEL W ATS
Total
60.5 ▲2
▼ Under 33
Projected
30–28
✗ UL lost
Trend: DEL ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: UL by 1 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Thursday, Dec 18

1
Final · Xbox Bowl
Missouri State
7-5 · #112
28
Arkansas State
6-6 · #110
34
Spread
ARST -1.5
✓ ARST W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼1
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
27–28
✓ ARST won
Model: MOST by 1 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Friday, Dec 19

3
Final · Myrtle Beach Bowl
Kennesaw State
10-3 · #97
6
Western Michigan
9-4 · #80
41
Spread
WMU -3.5
✓ WMU W ATS
Total
47.5
▼ Under 47
Projected
20–24
✓ WMU won
Trend: WMU ATS ✓ Model: WMU by 0 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl
Memphis
8-4 · #61
7
NC State
7-5 · #44
31
Spread
NCSU -3.5
✓ NCSU W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼2
▼ Under 38
Projected
27–30
✓ NCSU won
Trend: MEM ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: MEM by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · CFP First Round
Alabama
10-3 · #11
34
Oklahoma
10-2 · #16
24
Spread
OU -2.5
✓ ALA W ATS
Total
42.5 ▲1
▲ Over 58 · Q3
Projected
19–21
✗ OU lost
Trend: OU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: ALA by 4 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q2

Saturday, Dec 20

3
Final · CFP First Round
Miami
10-2 · #6
10
Texas A&M
11-1 · #10
3
Spread
TA&M -3
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼4
▼ Under 13
Projected
24–26
✗ TA&M lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: MIA by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · CFP First Round
Tulane
11-2 · #57
10
Ole Miss
11-1 · #9
41
Spread
MISS -16.5
✓ MISS W ATS
Total
57.5 ▲1
▼ Under 51
Projected
20–37
✓ MISS won
Trend: TULN ATS ✗ Model: MISS by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · CFP First Round
James Madison
12-1 · #28
34
Oregon
11-1 · #4
51
Spread
ORE -20.5
✓ JMU W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼4
▲ Over 85 · Q3
Projected
15–36
✓ ORE won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: ORE by 1 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4

Monday, Dec 22

1
Final · Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Washington State
6-6 · #60
34
Utah State
6-6 · #86
21
Spread
USU -1.5
✓ WSU W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼3
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
26–27
✗ USU lost
Trend: USU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: WSU by 7 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Tuesday, Dec 23

3
Final · Bush's Boca Raton Bowl
Toledo
8-4 · #48
22
Louisville
8-4 · #25
27
Spread
LOU -11.5
✓ TOL W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼2
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
18–28
✓ LOU won
Trend: TOL ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: TOL by 5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · New Orleans Bowl
Western Kentucky
8-4 · #94
27
Southern Miss
7-5 · #98
16
Spread
USM -2.5
✓ WKU W ATS
Total
59.5 ▲4
▼ Under 43
Projected
28–29
✗ USM lost
Trend: WKU ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: WKU by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Scooter's Coffee Frisco Bowl
UNLV
10-3 · #74
10
Ohio
8-4 · #78
17
Spread
UNLV -6.5
✓ OHIO W ATS
Total
64.5 ▲2
▼ Under 27
Projected
34–28
✗ UNLV lost
Trend: Over ✗ Model: OHIO by 4 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Wednesday, Dec 24

1
Final · Sheraton Hawaiʻi Bowl
California
7-5 · #76
31
Hawai'i
8-4 · #90
35
Spread
HAW -1.5
✓ HAW W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼4
▲ Over 66 · Q4
Projected
24–25
✓ HAW won
Trend: HAW ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: CAL by 1 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q4

Friday, Dec 26

3
Final · GameAbove Sports Bowl
Central Michigan
7-5 · #103
7
Northwestern
6-6 · #59
34
Spread
NU -13.5
✓ NU W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼1
▼ Under 41
Projected
15–29
✓ NU won
Model: CMU by 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Rate Bowl
New Mexico
9-3 · #81
17
Minnesota
7-5 · #69
20
Spread
MINN -1.5
✓ MINN W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼5
▼ Under 37
Projected
23–25
✓ MINN won
Trend: UNM ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: MINN by 2 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: OT
Final · SERVPRO First Responder Bowl
Florida International
7-5 · #109
20
UTSA
6-6 · #65
57
Spread
UTSA -7.5
✓ UTSA W ATS
Total
63.5 ▲6
▲ Over 77 · Q4
Projected
23–31
✓ UTSA won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: UTSA by 3 ✓ Model: Under 9 ✗ Cover settled: Q2

Saturday, Dec 27

8
Final · Go Bowling Military Bowl
Pittsburgh
8-4 · #35
17
East Carolina
8-4 · #51
23
Spread
PITT -13.5
✓ ECU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼8
▼ Under 40
Projected
33–21
✗ PITT lost
Trend: PITT ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: ECU by 8.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl
Penn State
6-6 · #17
22
Clemson
7-5 · #34
10
Spread
CLEM -2.5
✓ PSU W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼1
▼ Under 32
Projected
25–26
✗ CLEM lost
Trend: CLEM ATS ✗ Model: PSU by 7.5 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Wasabi Fenway Bowl
UConn
9-3 · #87
16
Army
6-6 · #83
41
Spread
ARMY -7.5
✓ ARMY W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼7
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
22–28
✓ ARMY won
Trend: ARMY ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: CONN by 9.5 ✗ Model: Over 8.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Pop-Tarts Bowl
Georgia Tech
9-3 · #39
21
BYU
11-2 · #19
25
Spread
BYU -3.5
✓ BYU W ATS
Total
55.5
▼ Under 46
Projected
25–29
✓ BYU won
Model: BYU by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Snoop Dogg Arizona Bowl
Miami (OH)
7-6 · #91
3
Fresno State
8-4 · #82
18
Spread
FRES -5.5
✓ FRES W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼6
▼ Under 21
Projected
19–23
✓ FRES won
Trend: FRES ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: M-OH by 4 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Isleta New Mexico Bowl
North Texas
11-2 · #38
49
San Diego State
9-3 · #68
47
Spread
UNT -7.5
✓ SDSU W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼1
▲ Over 96 · Q3
Projected
33–25
✓ UNT won
Trend: UNT ATS ✗ Model: UNT by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · TaxSlayer Gator Bowl
Virginia
10-3 · #32
13
Missouri
8-4 · #18
7
Spread
MIZ -4
✓ UVA W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼7
▼ Under 20
Projected
23–27
✗ MIZ lost
Trend: UVA ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: MIZ by 4 ✗ Model: Over 6.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Kinder's Texas Bowl
LSU
7-5 · #31
35
Houston
9-3 · #49
38
Spread
HOU -1.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼2
▲ Over 73 · Q3
Projected
23–22
✗ LSU lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: LSU by 9 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2

Monday, Dec 29

1
Final · JLab Birmingham Bowl
Georgia Southern
6-6 · #105
29
App State
5-7 · #115
10
Spread
GASO -10
✓ GASO W ATS
Total
58.5 ▼1
▼ Under 39
Projected
34–26
✓ GASO won
Trend: GASO ATS ✓ Model: APP by 9.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3

Tuesday, Dec 30

3
Final · Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl
Coastal Carolina
6-6 · #122
14
Louisiana Tech
7-5 · #93
23
Spread
LT -10
✓ CCU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼1
▼ Under 37
Projected
20–30
✓ LT won
Trend: LT ATS ✗ Model: CCU by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Liberty Mutual Music City Bowl
Tennessee
8-4 · #22
28
Illinois
8-4 · #30
30
Spread
TENN -3
✓ ILL W ATS
Total
61.5
▼ Under 58
Projected
33–29
✗ TENN lost
Model: TENN by 3 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Valero Alamo Bowl
USC
9-3 · #12
27
TCU
8-4 · #33
30
Spread
USC -4.5
✓ TCU W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼2
▲ Over 57 · OT
Projected
34–29
✗ USC lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: USC by 6 ✗ Model: Over 6.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4

Wednesday, Dec 31

5
Final · ReliaQuest Bowl
Iowa
8-4 · #20
34
Vanderbilt
10-2 · #13
27
Spread
VAN -3
✓ IOWA W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼2
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
23–26
✗ VAN lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: VAN by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl
Arizona State
8-4 · #41
39
Duke
8-5 · #47
42
Spread
DUKE -4
✓ ASU W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼2
▲ Over 81 · Q2
Projected
26–29
✓ DUKE won
Trend: DUKE ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: ASU by 7.5 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Cheez-It Citrus Bowl
Michigan
9-3 · #21
27
Texas
9-3 · #14
41
Spread
TEX -4
✓ TEX W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲4
▲ Over 68 · Q4
Projected
22–25
✓ TEX won
Trend: TEX ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: MICH by 3 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl
Nebraska
7-5 · #45
22
Utah
10-2 · #8
44
Spread
UTAH -13.5
✓ UTAH W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲1
▲ Over 66 · Q3
Projected
20–33
✓ UTAH won
Trend: UTAH ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: NEB by 0 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic · CFP Quarterfinal
Miami
11-2 · #6
24
Ohio State
12-1 · #2
14
Spread
OSU -7.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
39.5 ▼4
▼ Under 38
Projected
19–26
✗ OSU lost
Trend: OSU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: OSU by 1 ✗ Model: Over 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Thursday, Jan 1

3
Final · Capital One Orange Bowl · CFP Quarterfinal
Oregon
12-1 · #4
23
Texas Tech
12-1 · #5
0
Spread
TTU -1.5
✓ ORE W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼2
▼ Under 23
Projected
27–28
✗ TTU lost
Trend: TTU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: ORE by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Rose Bowl · CFP Quarterfinal
Alabama
11-3 · #11
3
Indiana
13-0 · #1
38
Spread
IU -7.5
✓ IU W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼3
▼ Under 41
Projected
22–30
✓ IU won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: IU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Allstate Sugar Bowl · CFP Quarterfinal
Ole Miss
12-1 · #9
39
Georgia
12-1 · #7
34
Spread
UGA -6
✓ MISS W ATS
Total
53.5 ▼3
▲ Over 73 · Q4
Projected
26–31
✗ UGA lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: MISS by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q3

Friday, Jan 2

4
Final · Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
Rice
5-7 · #126
10
Texas State
6-6 · #71
41
Spread
TXST -19.5
✓ TXST W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼4
▼ Under 51
Projected
19–38
✓ TXST won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: RICE by 4 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · AutoZone Liberty Bowl
Navy
10-2 · #64
35
Cincinnati
7-5 · #58
13
Spread
NAVY -7.5
✓ NAVY W ATS
Total
57.5
▼ Under 48
Projected
31–26
✓ NAVY won
Model: CIN by 12.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Trust & Will Holiday Bowl
Arizona
9-3 · #26
19
SMU
8-4 · #27
24
Spread
SMU -2.5
✓ SMU W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲3
▼ Under 43
Projected
26–27
✓ SMU won
Trend: SMU ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: ARIZ by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Duke's Mayo Bowl
Wake Forest
8-4 · #53
43
Mississippi State
5-7 · #56
29
Spread
MSST -3
✓ WAKE W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼4
▲ Over 72 · Q4
Projected
24–27
✗ MSST lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: WAKE by 1 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Thursday, Jan 8

1
Final · Vrbo Fiesta Bowl · CFP Semifinal
Miami
12-2 · #6
31
Ole Miss
13-1 · #9
27
Spread
MIA -3
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
52.5 ▲1
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
30–27
✓ MIA won
Model: MISS by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q4

Friday, Jan 9

1
Final · Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl · CFP Semifinal
Oregon
13-1 · #4
22
Indiana
14-0 · #1
56
Spread
IU -3
✓ IU W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲2
▲ Over 78 · Q3
Projected
26–29
✓ IU won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: ORE by 1 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Monday, Jan 19

1
Final · CFP National Championship
Miami
13-2 · #6
21
Indiana
15-0 · #1
27
Spread
IU -7.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼1
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
21–28
✓ IU won
Trend: MIA ATS ✓ Model: MIA by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total