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NCAAF · 2025

NCAAF Week 15 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 15: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
9 finalFavorites 5-4 ATS3 upsetsO/U 0-9Model Favorite 6-3Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games99 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS5-456% covered
Upsets3outright
Over / Under0-90% over
Model Favorite6-367% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up6 all 6 final
Over0 0%Under6 100%
Moved down2 all 2 final
Over0 0%Under2 100%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20252024–2026
Any move
4–357%
287–313–248%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
4–180%
143–153–148%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
2–167%
78–74–151%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
—
14–1352%
47–4551%
7+ pts
—
6–186%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Friday, Dec 5

4
Final · Non-conf
Troy
8-4 · #99
14
James Madison
11-1 · #28
31
Spread
JMU -24.5
✓ TROY W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼1
▼ Under 45
Projected
11–35
✓ JMU won
Trend: TROY ATS ✓ Model: TROY by 0 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Kennesaw State
9-3 · #97
19
Jacksonville State
8-4 · #101
15
Spread
KENN -3
✓ KENN W ATS
Total
62.5 ▲4
▼ Under 34
Projected
30–28
✓ KENN won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: JXST by 4.5 ✗ Model: Under 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
North Texas
11-1 · #38
21
Tulane
10-2 · #57
34
Spread
UNT -1.5
✓ TULN W ATS
Total
66.5 ▲2
▼ Under 55
Projected
33–31
✗ UNT lost
Trend: UNT ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: UNT by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
UNLV
10-2 · #74
21
Boise State
8-4 · #55
38
Spread
BOIS -6
✓ BOIS W ATS
Total
59.5 ▲3
▼ Under 59
Projected
27–33
✓ BOIS won
Trend: BOIS ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: BOIS by 3 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Saturday, Dec 6

5
Final · Neutral
BYU
11-1 · #19
7
Texas Tech
11-1 · #5
34
Spread
TTU -12.5
✓ TTU W ATS
Total
50.5
▼ Under 41
Projected
20–32
✓ TTU won
Trend: TTU ATS ✓ Model: BYU by 3 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Neutral
Miami (OH)
7-5 · #91
13
Western Michigan
8-4 · #80
23
Spread
WMU -2.5
✓ WMU W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲1
▼ Under 36
Projected
20–22
✓ WMU won
Trend: WMU ATS ✓ Model: M-OH by 2 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Neutral
Georgia
11-1 · #7
28
Alabama
10-2 · #11
7
Spread
UGA -1.5
✓ UGA W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲1
▼ Under 35
Projected
26–25
✓ UGA won
Model: ALA by 3 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Neutral
Indiana
12-0 · #1
13
Ohio State
12-0 · #2
10
Spread
OSU -3.5
✓ IU W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼3
▼ Under 23
Projected
23–26
✗ OSU lost
Trend: OSU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: IU by 2 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Neutral
Duke
7-5 · #47
27
Virginia
10-2 · #32
20
Spread
UVA -3.5
✓ DUKE W ATS
Total
58.5 ▲1
▼ Under 47
Projected
28–32
✗ UVA lost
Model: UVA by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total