1. Home
  2. NCAAF
  3. 2025 Week 4
NCAAF · 2025

NCAAF Week 4 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 4: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
50 finalFavorites 27-23 ATS14 upsetsO/U 27-23Model Favorite 36-14Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games5050 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS27-2354% covered
Upsets14outright
Over / Under27-2354% over
Model Favorite36-1472% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up13 all 13 final
Over6 46%Under7 54%
Moved down25 all 25 final
Over14 56%Under11 44%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20252024–2026
Any move
19–2148%
287–313–248%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
10–953%
143–153–148%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
6–555%
78–74–151%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
—
14–1352%
47–4551%
7+ pts
—
6–186%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
Sort by
⌨ Shortcuts

Group the list

Sort by
No games match these filters
Loosen a filter, or start over.

Jump to

Thursday, Sep 18

1
Final · Conf
Rice
2-1 · #126
28
Charlotte
1-2 · #134
17
Spread
RICE -1.5
✓ RICE W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼3
▲ Over 45 · Q4
Projected
23–21
✓ RICE won
Trend: CLT ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: RICE by 3 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Friday, Sep 19

2
Final · Non-conf
Tulsa
1-2 · #113
19
Oklahoma State
1-1 · #111
12
Spread
OKST -10.5
✓ TLSA W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼1
▼ Under 31
Projected
22–33
✗ OKST lost
Trend: TLSA ATS ✓ Model: TLSA by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Iowa
2-1 · #20
38
Rutgers
3-0 · #62
28
Spread
IOWA -2.5
✓ IOWA W ATS
Total
46.5
▲ Over 66 · Q4
Projected
27–25
✓ IOWA won
Model: RUTG by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4

Saturday, Sep 20

47
Final · Conf
Texas Tech
3-0 · #5
34
Utah
3-0 · #8
10
Spread
UTAH -3.5
✓ TTU W ATS
Total
58.5 ▲2
▼ Under 44
Projected
27–31
✗ UTAH lost
Trend: UTAH ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: UTAH by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Arkansas
2-1 · #40
31
Memphis
3-0 · #61
32
Spread
ARK -7.5
✓ MEM W ATS
Total
59.5 ▼2
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
33–25
✗ ARK lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: MEM by 1 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Maryland
3-0 · #72
27
Wisconsin
2-1 · #63
10
Spread
WIS -10.5
✓ MD W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲1
▼ Under 37
Projected
17–27
✗ WIS lost
Trend: WIS ATS ✗ Model: MD by 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Syracuse
2-1 · #92
34
Clemson
1-2 · #34
21
Spread
CLEM -17.5
✓ SYR W ATS
Total
53.5 ▼2
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
20–36
✗ CLEM lost
Trend: SYR ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: SYR by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
SMU
2-1 · #27
24
TCU
2-0 · #33
35
Spread
TCU -6.5
✓ TCU W ATS
Total
63.5
▼ Under 59
Projected
27–33
✓ TCU won
Model: SMU by 0 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Bowling Green
2-1 · #120
17
Louisville
2-0 · #25
40
Spread
LOU -25.5
✓ BGSU W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼2
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
14–38
✓ LOU won
Trend: BGSU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: BGSU by 6.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
UNLV
3-0 · #74
41
Miami (OH)
0-2 · #91
38
Spread
UNLV -1.5
✓ UNLV W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲1
▲ Over 79 · Q3
Projected
27–25
✓ UNLV won
Trend: M-OH ATS ✗ Model: UNLV by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
North Texas
3-0 · #38
45
Army
1-1 · #83
38
Spread
UNT -2.5
✓ UNT W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼3
▲ Over 83 · Q3
Projected
30–26
✓ UNT won
Trend: UNT ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: UNT by 6 ✓ Model: Over 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: OT
Final · Non-conf
UAB
2-1 · #119
24
Tennessee
2-1 · #22
56
Spread
TENN -38.5
✓ UAB W ATS
Total
68.5
▲ Over 80 · Q3
Projected
13–51
✓ TENN won
Model: UAB by 2 ✓ Model: Under 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Oregon State
0-3 · #100
7
Oregon
3-0 · #4
41
Spread
ORE -34.5
✓ ORST W ATS
Total
58.5 ▲2
▼ Under 48
Projected
12–47
✓ ORE won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: ORE by 1 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Kent State
1-2 · #132
10
Florida State
2-0 · #23
66
Spread
FSU -45.5
✓ FSU W ATS
Total
56.5
▲ Over 76 · Q3
Projected
3–48
✓ FSU won
Trend: FSU ATS ✓ Model: KENT by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Auburn
3-0 · #24
17
Oklahoma
3-0 · #16
24
Spread
OU -6.5
✓ OU W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼2
▼ Under 41
Projected
20–27
✓ OU won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: AUB by 1 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Tulane
3-0 · #57
10
Ole Miss
3-0 · #9
45
Spread
MISS -11.5
✓ MISS W ATS
Total
61.5
▼ Under 55
Projected
23–35
✓ MISS won
Model: MISS by 6 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Michigan
2-1 · #21
30
Nebraska
3-0 · #45
27
Spread
MICH -1.5
✓ MICH W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲4
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
24–23
✓ MICH won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: NEB by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Purdue
2-1 · #79
30
Notre Dame
0-2 · #3
56
Spread
ND -24.5
✓ ND W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼1
▲ Over 86 · Q2
Projected
12–37
✓ ND won
Trend: PUR ATS ✗ Model: ND by 3 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
North Carolina
2-1 · #89
9
UCF
2-0 · #66
34
Spread
UCF -7.5
✓ UCF W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼5
▼ Under 43
Projected
19–28
✓ UCF won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: UCF by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Ball State
1-2 · #133
25
UConn
1-2 · #87
31
Spread
CONN -20.5
✓ BALL W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲2
▲ Over 56 · Q4
Projected
17–37
✓ CONN won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: CONN by 1 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
James Madison
1-1 · #28
31
Liberty
1-2 · #104
13
Spread
JMU -7.5
✓ JMU W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼3
▼ Under 44
Projected
27–20
✓ JMU won
Trend: LIB ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: LIB by 6.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Louisiana
1-2 · #114
31
Eastern Michigan
0-3 · #123
34
Spread
UL -1.5
✓ EMU W ATS
Total
51.5
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
28–26
✗ UL lost
Model: UL by 3 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Troy
1-2 · #99
21
Buffalo
2-1 · #118
17
Spread
BUFF -6.5
✓ TROY W ATS
Total
43.5 ▲1
▼ Under 38
Projected
21–26
✗ BUFF lost
Model: TROY by 6.5 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Toledo
2-1 · #48
13
Western Michigan
0-3 · #80
14
Spread
TOL -11.5
✓ WMU W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼4
▼ Under 27
Projected
31–19
✗ TOL lost
Trend: WMU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: TOL by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
NC State
3-0 · #44
33
Duke
1-2 · #47
45
Spread
DUKE -3.5
✓ DUKE W ATS
Total
57.5 ▼1
▲ Over 78 · Q3
Projected
27–30
✓ DUKE won
Model: NCSU by 3 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Northern Illinois
1-1 · #124
10
Mississippi State
3-0 · #56
38
Spread
MSST -24.5
✓ MSST W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼1
▼ Under 48
Projected
13–36
✓ MSST won
Trend: MSST ATS ✓ Model: NIU by 9.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Temple
2-1 · #96
24
Georgia Tech
3-0 · #39
45
Spread
GT -24.5
✓ TEM W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼1
▲ Over 69 · Q4
Projected
14–39
✓ GT won
Model: GT by 1 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
West Virginia
2-1 · #77
10
Kansas
2-1 · #54
41
Spread
KU -13.5
✓ KU W ATS
Total
54.5
▼ Under 51
Projected
21–34
✓ KU won
Model: WVU by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Delaware
2-1 · #117
38
Florida International
2-1 · #109
16
Spread
FIU -5.5
✓ DEL W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼5
▼ Under 54
Projected
23–29
✗ FIU lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: FIU by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Arkansas State
1-2 · #110
21
Kennesaw State
1-2 · #97
28
Spread
ARST -4.5
✓ KENN W ATS
Total
58.5 ▲4
▼ Under 49
Projected
30–25
✗ ARST lost
Trend: KENN ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: ARST by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
South Carolina
2-1 · #43
20
Missouri
3-0 · #18
29
Spread
MIZ -10.5
✓ SC W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲3
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
19–31
✓ MIZ won
Trend: MIZ ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: MIZ by 5.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Marshall
1-2 · #88
42
Middle Tennessee
1-2 · #128
28
Spread
MRSH -2.5
✓ MRSH W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼2
▲ Over 70 · Q3
Projected
26–23
✓ MRSH won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: MRSH by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Nevada
1-2 · #121
16
Western Kentucky
2-1 · #94
31
Spread
WKU -7.5
✓ WKU W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼1
▼ Under 47
Projected
24–32
✓ WKU won
Trend: NEV ATS ✗ Model: WKU by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Boise State
1-1 · #55
49
Air Force
1-1 · #95
37
Spread
BOIS -11.5
✓ BOIS W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼1
▲ Over 86 · Q3
Projected
32–21
✓ BOIS won
Trend: AFA ATS ✗ Model: AFA by 5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Coastal Carolina
1-2 · #122
38
South Alabama
1-2 · #102
20
Spread
USA -14.5
✓ CCU W ATS
Total
52.5 ▲1
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
19–33
✗ USA lost
Model: CCU by 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Florida
1-2 · #37
7
Miami
3-0 · #6
26
Spread
MIA -8.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼1
▼ Under 33
Projected
23–31
✓ MIA won
Model: FLA by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Illinois
3-0 · #30
10
Indiana
3-0 · #1
63
Spread
IU -7.5
✓ IU W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼2
▲ Over 73 · Q3
Projected
24–32
✓ IU won
Trend: IU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: IU by 1 ✓ Model: Over 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Georgia State
1-2 · #125
21
Vanderbilt
3-0 · #13
70
Spread
VAN -26.5
✓ VAN W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼1
▲ Over 91 · Q3
Projected
15–42
✓ VAN won
Model: VAN by 1 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Washington
2-0 · #15
59
Washington State
2-1 · #60
24
Spread
WASH -20.5
✓ WASH W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼1
▲ Over 83 · Q3
Projected
38–18
✓ WASH won
Model: WSU by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Stanford
1-2 · #85
20
Virginia
2-1 · #32
48
Spread
UVA -16.5
✓ UVA W ATS
Total
49.5
▲ Over 68 · Q3
Projected
18–34
✓ UVA won
Model: STAN by 2 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Arizona State
2-1 · #41
27
Baylor
2-1 · #50
24
Spread
BAY -1.5
✓ ASU W ATS
Total
61.5 ▲3
▼ Under 51
Projected
30–31
✗ BAY lost
Trend: Over ✗ Model: BAY by 2 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
BYU
2-0 · #19
34
East Carolina
2-1 · #51
13
Spread
BYU -5.5
✓ BYU W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲1
▼ Under 47
Projected
28–22
✓ BYU won
Trend: ECU ATS ✗ Model: BYU by 2 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Southern Miss
2-1 · #98
20
Louisiana Tech
2-1 · #93
30
Spread
LT -3.5
✓ LT W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼1
▼ Under 50
Projected
22–26
✓ LT won
Trend: LT ATS ✓ Model: LT by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Sam Houston
0-3 · #135
0
Texas
2-1 · #14
55
Spread
TEX -39.5
✓ TEX W ATS
Total
51.5
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
3–43
✓ TEX won
Trend: TEX ATS ✓ Model: TEX by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
UL Monroe
1-1 · #130
31
UTEP
1-2 · #131
25
Spread
UTEP -5.5
✓ ULM W ATS
Total
46.5
▲ Over 56 · Q4
Projected
22–29
✗ UTEP lost
Trend: UTEP ATS ✗ Model: UTEP by 5.5 ✗ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
UTSA
1-2 · #65
17
Colorado State
1-1 · #116
16
Spread
UTSA -5.5
✓ CSU W ATS
Total
58.5
▼ Under 33
Projected
31–26
✓ UTSA won
Trend: CSU ATS ✓ Model: CSU by 5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Wyoming
2-1 · #107
20
Colorado
1-2 · #75
37
Spread
COLO -12.5
✓ COLO W ATS
Total
45.5 ▲1
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
15–29
✓ COLO won
Model: COLO by 6 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
California
3-0 · #76
0
San Diego State
1-1 · #68
34
Spread
CAL -13.5
✓ SDSU W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼4
▼ Under 34
Projected
29–16
✗ CAL lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: CAL by 0 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Michigan State
3-0 · #67
31
USC
3-0 · #12
45
Spread
USC -18.5
✓ MSU W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼1
▲ Over 76 · Q4
Projected
19–39
✓ USC won
Trend: USC ATS ✗ Model: USC by 6 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Fresno State
3-1 · #82
23
Hawai'i
3-1 · #90
21
Spread
FRES -2.5
✓ HAW W ATS
Total
47.5
▼ Under 44
Projected
24–21
✓ FRES won
Trend: FRES ATS ✗ Model: HAW by 1 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Loading…
StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
Loading…
Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total