Rice @ Charlotte: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 4, 2025)

Thu, Sep 18, 2025, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 4 · at Charlotte · Conference game

Weather at kickoff78°F2 mphgusts 7DryWeather watch ›

Rice

2-1 · Power #126

▲ winner

Final

Charlotte

1-2 · Power #134

final

Closing spread

RICE -1.5

✓ RICE W

Total

41.5

▲ Over · 45 pts

Model before kickoff

RICE 23–21 CLT

✓ RICE (56%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenRICE -5.5

CloseRICE -1.5

Total44.5 → 41.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenRICE -5.5

4 → CLT

CloseRICE -1.5

4 pts toward Charlotte

Total

Open44.5

▼ 3

Close41.5

Down 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened RICE -5.5 · closed RICE -1.5 · moved 4 toward CLTmodel RICE -4.5

model RICE -4.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 0.5–2.5 since 2023: won 50%, covered 48% (113 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 44% (72 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenRICE -5.5

CloseRICE -1.5

Total44.5 → 41.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like RICE as a 1.5-point road favorite at CLT, the favorite won 6, covered 5, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: RICE won 28–17; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 45 points went over 41.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 56%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 52%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 5.7 against an average line of 3.4; 39.7 points a game (usually 53.1). Of the 3 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	CCU @ ARMY 2023 · Week 12 · close · similar spread & total	-1.5	21–28	L	O40.5
Close	M-OH @ BALL 2023 · Week 13 · close · similar team ratings	-4	17–15	L	U34.25
Close	NIU @ AKR 2023 · Week 6 · close · similar total & season form	-4	55–14	W	O42.5
Close	ORST @ NEV 2024 · Week 7 · close · similar rest	-3	37–42	L	O47
Close	RICE @ CLT 2023 · Week 12 · close · similar season form & rest	-1	28–7	W	U46.5
Close	ORST @ AFA 2024 · Week 12 · close · similar season form & rest	-2.5	0–28	L	U44.5
Close	CSU @ AFA 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar total & situation	-6	21–13	W	U44
Close	LT @ FIU 2024 · Week 5 · close · similar season form & situation	-2	10–17	L	U49
Close	BUFF @ KENT 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar total & season form	-6.5	24–6	W	U44
Close	NAVY @ CLT 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar season form & situation	-3	14–0	W	U44.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
RICE WLL	1-2	33%	1-0	0-1
CLT LLW	1-2	33%	1-1	0-2

Venue/role: RICE away, as favorite; CLT home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
RICE UOO	2-1	67%	2-1
CLT –UO	1-1	50%	1-2

Went over in Q4. Of 185 earlier overs in games with totals 37.5–45.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
RICE	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%
CLT	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	6-3 67%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

RICE 1–1 CLT Series tied · 2 games since 2023 · CLT has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 28 2024	Charlotte 21 @ Rice 20	RICE -4.5	CLT W
Nov 18 2023	Rice 28 @ Charlotte 7	Pick’em	RICE W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

RICE−9.0 →−10.5▼ 1.5#112

CLT−11.9 →−17.6▼ 5.7#130

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3

RICE

Longer bar = better

CLT

#98

Offense

Even

#92

#49

Defense

◀ RICE better

#114

0.0 #73

Turnovers

◀ RICE better

−2.0 #132

70 plays #44

Pace

◀ RICE faster

66 plays #75

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When RICE has the ball

Even matchup

	RICE off	CLT def	Edge
Points / game	20.3 #106	29.7 #108	Even
Yards / play	4.50 #128	6.18 #117	Even
PPA / play	+0.07 #95	+0.15 #100	Even
Success rate	44% #64	50% #129	RICE

When CLT has the ball

Advantage: RICE defense

	CLT off	RICE def	Edge
Points / game	18.7 #115	21.3 #70	RICE
Yards / play	5.34 #97	4.93 #56	RICE
PPA / play	+0.09 #86	+0.01 #58	RICE
Success rate	44% #71	29% #11	RICE

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 118 FBS teams

RICE scoring against the CLT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
RICE scored	2.3 #101	11.3 #38	13.7 #70	2.3 #98	4.3 #91	6.7 #104
CLT allowed	5.7 #74	10.3 #96	16.0 #88	5.7 #77	8.0 #83	13.7 #85

CLT scoring against the RICE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CLT scored	1.0 #110	3.3 #110	4.3 #117	7.0 #49	7.3 #52	14.3 #55
RICE allowed	3.3 #45	3.3 #17	6.7 #24	5.3 #72	9.3 #101	14.7 #97

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.