Temple @ Georgia Tech: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 4, 2025)

Sat, Sep 20, 2025, 5:05 PM EDTWeek 4 · at Georgia Tech

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Temple

2-1 · Power #96

final

Final

Georgia Tech

3-0 · Power #39

▲ winner

Closing spread

GT -24.5

✓ TEM W

Total

52.5

▲ Over · 69 pts

Model before kickoff

TEM 14–39 GT

✓ GT (96%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenGT -23.5

CloseGT -24.5

Total53.5 → 52.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenGT -23.5

1 → GT

CloseGT -24.5

1 pt toward Georgia Tech

Total

Open53.5

▼ 1

Close52.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened GT -23.5 · closed GT -24.5 · moved 1 toward GTmodel GT -25.5

model GT -25.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 23.5–25.5 since 2023: won 95%, covered 53% (65 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 51% (168 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenGT -23.5

CloseGT -24.5

Total53.5 → 52.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like GT as a 24.5-point home favorite against TEM, the favorite won 8, covered 5, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: GT won 45–24; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 69 points went over 52.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 92%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 44%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 52%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 18.7 against an average line of 25.1; 56.7 points a game (usually 54.1). Of the 4 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	MIA vs MTSU 2022 · Week 4 · very close · similar rest & situation	-25.5	31–45	L	O53.5
Close	AUB vs NMSU 2023 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & total	-25	10–31	L	U48.5
Close	FSU vs UL 2022 · Week 12 · close · similar spread & total	-25	49–17	W	O52.5
Close	CLEM vs FAU 2023 · Week 3 · close · similar rest & spread	-25	48–14	W	O51.5
Close	MD vs CLT 2023 · Week 2 · close · similar rest & situation	-24.5	38–20	L	O50
Close	ORE vs ILL 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & total	-22.5	38–9	W	U54
Close	BOIS vs SDSU 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar spread & rest	-24.5	56–24	W	O55.5
Close	BAY vs TXST 2022 · Week 3 · close · similar rest & total	-30	42–7	W	U53
Close	ARK vs LT 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & spread	-23.5	35–14	L	O48.5
Close	WASH vs EMU 2024 · Week 2 · close · similar rest & spread	-25	30–9	L	U48.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TEM WWL	2-1	67%	1-0	0-1
GT WWW	3-0	100%	2-0	2-0

Venue/role: TEM away, as underdog; GT home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TEM OOU	2-1	67%	2-1
GT UOU	1-2	33%	3-0

Went over in Q4. Of 481 earlier overs in games with totals 48.5–56.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TEM	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%
GT	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TEM−16.1 →−9.7▲ 6.4#108

GT+6.9 →+10.7▲ 3.8#28

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3

TEM

Longer bar = better

#41

Offense

Even

#35

#72

Defense

Even

#65

+1.3 #23

Turnovers

◀ TEM better

−0.7 #100

62 plays #108

Pace

GT faster ▶

65 plays #79

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TEM has the ball

Advantage: TEM offense

	TEM off	GT def	Edge
Points / game	33.3 #57	17.7 #46	Even
Yards / play	6.08 #58	5.11 #64	Even
PPA / play	+0.40 #16	+0.08 #80	TEM
Success rate	50% #32	40% #70	TEM

When GT has the ball

Advantage: GT offense

	GT off	TEM def	Edge
Points / game	36.7 #45	19.7 #61	Even
Yards / play	7.70 #12	4.96 #58	GT
PPA / play	+0.20 #58	+0.06 #69	Even
Success rate	52% #23	44% #101	GT

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 129 FBS teams

TEM scoring against the GT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEM scored	9.3 #25	11.3 #39	20.7 #31	4.7 #87	8.0 #52	12.7 #76
GT allowed	4.3 #62	3.3 #21	7.7 #35	3.3 #41	6.7 #76	10.0 #57

GT scoring against the TEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GT scored	3.3 #106	14.7 #18	18.0 #50	7.0 #54	11.7 #10	18.7 #28
TEM allowed	7.0 #97	8.0 #81	15.0 #93	4.7 #67	0.0 #1	4.7 #12

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.