UTSA @ Temple: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2025)

Sat, Oct 4, 2025, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 6 · at Temple · Conference game

Weather at kickoff77°F3 mphgusts 12DryWeather watch ›

UTSA

2-2 · Power #65

final

Final

Temple

2-2 · Power #96

▲ winner

Closing spread

UTSA -6.5

✓ TEM W

Total

57.5

▼ Under · 48 pts

Model before kickoff

UTSA 32–26 TEM

✗ UTSA (67%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenUTSA -6.5

CloseUTSA -6.5

Total58.5 → 57.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenUTSA -6.5

no move

CloseUTSA -6.5

No change since the open

Total

Open58.5

▼ 1

Close57.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened UTSA -6.5 · unchangedmodel UTSA -5.5

model UTSA -5.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 5.5–7.5 since 2023: won 66%, covered 55% (132 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenUTSA -6.5

CloseUTSA -6.5

Total58.5 → 57.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like UTSA as a 6.5-point road favorite at TEM, the favorite won 6, covered 4, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: TEM won 27–21 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 48 points stayed under 57.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 68%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 4.1 against an average line of 6.5; 56.5 points a game (usually 53.1). Of the 4 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	WKU @ JXST 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & team ratings	-7.5	17–20	L	U60.5
Very close	APP @ ODU 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & season form	-6	21–28	L	U56
Very close	WSU @ FRES 2024 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & total	-3.5	25–17	W	U60.5
Very close	WKU @ LT 2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & situation	-6	35–28	W	O59
Close	UNT @ FAU 2024 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & total	-5.5	41–37	L	O58.5
Close	JXST @ LT 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar total & situation	-10	44–37	L	O55.5
Close	BOIS @ CSU 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar situation & spread	-7.5	30–31	L	O60
Close	BYU @ LIB 2022 · Week 8 · close · similar total & situation	-7	14–41	L	U58
Close	BOIS @ USU 2023 · Week 12 · close · similar season form & spread	-5	45–10	W	U63.5
Close	TROY @ TXST 2023 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & situation	-6.5	31–13	W	U53.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UTSA WLWL	2-2	50%	1-1	1-2
TEM WWLW	3-1	75%	1-1	1-1

Venue/role: UTSA away, as favorite; TEM home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UTSA OOOU	3-1	75%	2-2
TEM OOUO	3-1	75%	2-2

Stayed under: it needed 13 in the 4th quarter and got 3. 51% of games with totals 53.5–61.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UTSA	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	8-2 80%
TEM	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

UTSA 2–0 TEM UTSA leads · 2 games since 2023 · UTSA has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 22 2024	Temple 27 @ UTSA 51	UTSA -17.5	UTSA W
Oct 7 2023	UTSA 49 @ Temple 34	UTSA -11	UTSA W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UTSA−2.5 →−1.5▲ 1.0#74

TEM−16.1 →−9.3▲ 6.8#103

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

UTSA

Longer bar = better

TEM

#69

Offense

Even

#65

#98

Defense

Even

#94

+0.8 #35

Turnovers

TEM better ▶

+1.3 #9

69 plays #44

Pace

◀ UTSA faster

67 plays #66

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UTSA has the ball

Advantage: UTSA offense

	UTSA off	TEM def	Edge
Points / game	31.3 #62	26.0 #85	UTSA
Yards / play	5.93 #65	5.93 #107	UTSA
PPA / play	+0.21 #45	+0.11 #80	UTSA
Success rate	40% #103	45% #105	Even

When TEM has the ball

Advantage: TEM offense

	TEM off	UTSA def	Edge
Points / game	31.0 #65	30.3 #114	TEM
Yards / play	5.46 #93	5.94 #108	Even
PPA / play	+0.23 #40	+0.20 #111	TEM
Success rate	45% #60	40% #59	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

UTSA scoring against the TEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UTSA scored	3.3 #119	11.3 #35	14.5 #78	8.8 #33	8.0 #55	16.8 #34
TEM allowed	10.5 #128	6.0 #49	16.5 #108	7.0 #106	2.5 #8	9.5 #45

TEM scoring against the UTSA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEM scored	7.0 #55	10.3 #48	17.3 #48	5.3 #83	8.5 #45	13.8 #67
UTSA allowed	2.3 #24	8.5 #97	10.8 #57	9.5 #128	10.0 #125	19.5 #132

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.