West Virginia @ BYU: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2025)

Fri, Oct 3, 2025, 10:30 PM EDTWeek 6 · at BYU · Conference game

Weather at kickoff60°F4 mphgusts 22Wet0.0 mmWet Over 45% of 309 games since 2023Weather watch ›

West Virginia

2-3 · Power #77

final

Final

BYU

4-0 · Power #19

▲ winner

Closing spread

BYU -19.5

✓ WVU W

Total

46.5

▲ Over · 62 pts

Model before kickoff

WVU 15–35 BYU

✓ BYU (92%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenBYU -20.5

CloseBYU -19.5

Total49.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenBYU -20.5

1 → WVU

CloseBYU -19.5

1 pt toward West Virginia

Total

Open49.5

▼ 3

Close46.5

Down 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened BYU -20.5 · closed BYU -19.5 · moved 1 toward WVUmodel BYU -22.5

model BYU -22.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 18.5–20.5 since 2023: won 93%, covered 49% (74 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 51% (206 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenBYU -20.5

CloseBYU -19.5

Total49.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like BYU as a 19.5-point home favorite against WVU, the favorite won 8, covered 4, and 7 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: BYU won 38–24; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 62 points went over 46.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 90%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 46%

Went over

7 of 978%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 20.1 against an average line of 19.9; 57.9 points a game (usually 54). Of the 5 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	LOU vs UVA 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-20	31–24	L	O49.5
Close	MIA vs UVA 2023 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & total	-18.5	29–26	L	O48
Close	ND vs UVA 2024 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & spread	-21.5	35–14	L	U51
Close	CIN vs M-OH 2023 · Week 3 · close · similar total & rest	-14.25	24–31	L	O44.25
Close	SMU vs TLSA 2023 · Week 9 · close · similar situation & season form	-20.5	69–10	W	O55
Close	AFA vs NEV 2022 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & total	-24	48–20	W	O47
Close	PITT vs GT 2022 · Week 5 · close · similar situation & total	-21.5	21–26	L	P47
Close	SMU vs NAVY 2023 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & spread	-20.25	59–14	W	O46
Close	ISU vs OHIO 2022 · Week 3 · close · similar spread & rest	-20	43–10	W	O48
Close	TEX vs UK 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & spread	-18.5	31–14	L	U47

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WVU LLWLL	1-4	20%	0-2	1-2
BYU WWWL	3-1	75%	2-0	3-1

Venue/role: WVU away, as underdog; BYU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WVU UUOUO	2-3	40%	2-3
BYU OUUU	1-3	25%	4-0

Went over in Q3. Of 393 earlier overs in games with totals 42.5–50.5, 34% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WVU	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%
BYU	8-2 80%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

WVU 1–0 BYU WVU leads · 1 game since 2023 · WVU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 4 2023	BYU 7 @ West Virginia 37	WVU -12.5	WVU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 137 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WVU+0.8 →−3.3▼ 4.1#76

BYU+7.8 →+12.0▲ 4.2#25

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

WVU

Longer bar = better

BYU

#104

Offense

BYU better ▶

#30

#60

Defense

BYU better ▶

#14

−0.4 #99

Turnovers

BYU better ▶

+1.5 #6

71 plays #28

Pace

◀ WVU faster

65 plays #95

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WVU has the ball

Advantage: BYU defense

	WVU off	BYU def	Edge
Points / game	22.0 #102	9.3 #4	BYU
Yards / play	5.57 #82	3.94 #7	BYU
PPA / play	+0.01 #117	−0.15 #7	BYU
Success rate	39% #116	38% #39	BYU

When BYU has the ball

Advantage: BYU offense

	BYU off	WVU def	Edge
Points / game	38.5 #23	26.6 #93	BYU
Yards / play	6.73 #29	5.14 #55	BYU
PPA / play	+0.29 #25	+0.05 #57	BYU
Success rate	47% #41	38% #36	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 136 FBS teams

WVU scoring against the BYU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WVU scored	2.8 #122	2.6 #132	5.4 #130	6.2 #67	9.0 #37	15.2 #49
BYU allowed	4.3 #61	0.0 #1	4.3 #9	2.5 #22	2.5 #9	5.0 #9

BYU scoring against the WVU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BYU scored	6.5 #69	15.0 #13	21.5 #24	7.5 #51	9.5 #29	17.0 #32
WVU allowed	4.8 #72	9.4 #106	14.2 #96	7.0 #104	5.4 #54	12.4 #87

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.