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NCAAF · 2025

NCAAF Week 6 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 6: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
50 finalFavorites 24-26 ATS12 upsetsO/U 22-28Model Favorite 38-12Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games5050 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS24-2648% covered
Upsets12outright
Over / Under22-2844% over
Model Favorite38-1276% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up19 all 19 final
Over9 47%Under10 53%
Moved down23 all 23 final
Over10 43%Under13 57%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20252024–2026
Any move
17–1750%
287–313–248%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
10–567%
143–153–148%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
4–357%
78–74–151%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
1–150%
14–1352%
47–4551%
7+ pts
—
6–186%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Oct 2

1
Final · Conf
Sam Houston
0-4 · #135
10
New Mexico State
2-2 · #129
37
Spread
SHSU -1.5
✓ NMSU W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲2
▼ Under 47
Projected
26–25
✗ SHSU lost
Trend: NMSU ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: NMSU by 1 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Friday, Oct 3

5
Final · Conf
Western Kentucky
4-1 · #94
27
Delaware
3-1 · #117
24
Spread
DEL -2.5
✓ WKU W ATS
Total
63.5 ▲1
▼ Under 51
Projected
30–31
✗ DEL lost
Trend: WKU ATS ✓ Model: WKU by 6.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Charlotte
1-3 · #134
26
South Florida
3-1 · #29
54
Spread
USF -28.5
✓ CLT W ATS
Total
54.5
▲ Over 80 · Q4
Projected
11–40
✓ USF won
Trend: USF ATS ✗ Model: CLT by 1 ✓ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
New Mexico
3-1 · #81
28
San José State
1-3 · #106
35
Spread
SJSU -2.5
✓ SJSU W ATS
Total
58.5 ▲1
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
28–31
✓ SJSU won
Trend: UNM ATS ✗ Model: SJSU by 0 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
West Virginia
2-3 · #77
24
BYU
4-0 · #19
38
Spread
BYU -19.5
✓ WVU W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼3
▲ Over 62 · Q3
Projected
15–35
✓ BYU won
Trend: BYU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: BYU by 3 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Colorado State
1-3 · #116
24
San Diego State
3-1 · #68
45
Spread
SDSU -4.5
✓ SDSU W ATS
Total
40.5 ▲2
▲ Over 69 · Q3
Projected
18–22
✓ SDSU won
Model: SDSU by 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Saturday, Oct 4

44
Final · Conf
Kentucky
2-2 · #52
14
Georgia
3-1 · #7
35
Spread
UGA -19.5
✓ UGA W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼1
▼ Under 49
Projected
14–34
✓ UGA won
Trend: UK ATS ✗ Model: UGA by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Iowa State
5-0 · #36
30
Cincinnati
3-1 · #58
38
Spread
CIN -1.5
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲4
▲ Over 68 · Q4
Projected
26–27
✓ CIN won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: ISU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Wisconsin
2-2 · #63
10
Michigan
3-1 · #21
24
Spread
MICH -17.5
✓ WIS W ATS
Total
42.5 ▲1
▼ Under 34
Projected
13–30
✓ MICH won
Trend: MICH ATS ✗ Model: WIS by 2 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Illinois
4-1 · #30
43
Purdue
2-2 · #79
27
Spread
ILL -7.5
✓ ILL W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲1
▲ Over 70 · Q3
Projected
30–23
✓ ILL won
Trend: ILL ATS ✓ Model: ILL by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Boston College
1-3 · #84
7
Pittsburgh
2-2 · #35
48
Spread
PITT -6.5
✓ PITT W ATS
Total
54.5
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
25–31
✓ PITT won
Trend: PITT ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: BC by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Clemson
1-3 · #34
38
North Carolina
2-2 · #89
10
Spread
CLEM -15.5
✓ CLEM W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼1
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
31–17
✓ CLEM won
Trend: UNC ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: UNC by 4 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Kansas State
2-3 · #42
34
Baylor
3-2 · #50
35
Spread
BAY -4.5
✓ KSU W ATS
Total
60.5 ▼1
▲ Over 69 · Q4
Projected
28–33
✓ BAY won
Trend: KSU ATS ✓ Model: BAY by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Air Force
1-3 · #95
31
Navy
4-0 · #64
34
Spread
NAVY -13.5
✓ AFA W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲2
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
22–36
✓ NAVY won
Trend: Over ✓Trend: NAVY ATS ✗ Model: NAVY by 3 ✗ Model: Over 7.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Army
1-3 · #83
31
UAB
2-2 · #119
13
Spread
ARMY -6.5
✓ ARMY W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼3
▼ Under 44
Projected
32–26
✓ ARMY won
Trend: UAB ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: UAB by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Ohio
3-2 · #78
14
Ball State
1-3 · #133
20
Spread
OHIO -14.5
✓ BALL W ATS
Total
52.5 ▲1
▼ Under 34
Projected
34–19
✗ OHIO lost
Trend: BALL ATS ✓ Model: OHIO by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Wake Forest
2-2 · #53
30
Virginia Tech
2-3 · #73
23
Spread
VT -4.5
✓ WAKE W ATS
Total
51.5
▲ Over 53 · Q4
Projected
22–28
✗ VT lost
Trend: WAKE ATS ✓ Model: VT by 4 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UTSA
2-2 · #65
21
Temple
2-2 · #96
27
Spread
UTSA -6.5
✓ TEM W ATS
Total
57.5 ▼1
▼ Under 48
Projected
32–26
✗ UTSA lost
Trend: TEM ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: TEM by 1 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Western Michigan
2-3 · #80
21
Massachusetts
0-4 · #136
3
Spread
WMU -12.5
✓ WMU W ATS
Total
45.5
▼ Under 24
Projected
31–19
✓ WMU won
Trend: WMU ATS ✓ Model: MASS by 3 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Oklahoma State
1-3 · #111
13
Arizona
3-1 · #26
41
Spread
ARIZ -23.5
✓ ARIZ W ATS
Total
56.5
▼ Under 54
Projected
15–38
✓ ARIZ won
Trend: ARIZ ATS ✓ Model: OKST by 1 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Penn State
3-1 · #17
37
UCLA
0-4 · #70
42
Spread
PSU -24.5
✓ UCLA W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼2
▲ Over 79 · Q3
Projected
37–13
✗ PSU lost
Trend: UCLA ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: UCLA by 3 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Texas
3-1 · #14
21
Florida
1-3 · #37
29
Spread
TEX -4.5
✓ FLA W ATS
Total
42.5 ▲1
▲ Over 50 · Q3
Projected
22–17
✗ TEX lost
Trend: FLA ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: TEX by 3 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Vanderbilt
5-0 · #13
14
Alabama
3-1 · #11
30
Spread
ALA -13.5
✓ ALA W ATS
Total
58.5 ▲2
▼ Under 44
Projected
21–34
✓ ALA won
Trend: ALA ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Boise State
3-1 · #55
7
Notre Dame
2-2 · #3
28
Spread
ND -21.5
✓ BOIS W ATS
Total
63.5 ▼1
▼ Under 35
Projected
19–40
✓ ND won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: ND by 0 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Virginia
4-1 · #32
30
Louisville
4-0 · #25
27
Spread
LOU -6.5
✓ UVA W ATS
Total
61.5 ▼1
▼ Under 57
Projected
27–34
✗ LOU lost
Trend: UVA ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: UVA by 0 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Washington
3-1 · #15
24
Maryland
4-0 · #72
20
Spread
WASH -5.5
✓ MD W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲1
▼ Under 44
Projected
30–24
✓ WASH won
Model: MD by 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
UL Monroe
3-1 · #130
7
Northwestern
2-2 · #59
42
Spread
NU -13.5
✓ NU W ATS
Total
43.5 ▲3
▲ Over 49 · Q3
Projected
14–27
✓ NU won
Trend: NU ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: ULM by 0 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Oregon State
0-5 · #100
23
App State
2-2 · #115
27
Spread
APP -2.5
✓ APP W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼1
▼ Under 50
Projected
27–30
✓ APP won
Model: APP by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Syracuse
3-2 · #92
18
SMU
2-2 · #27
31
Spread
SMU -17.5
✓ SYR W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼2
▼ Under 49
Projected
22–38
✓ SMU won
Trend: SYR ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: SYR by 7 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Florida International
2-2 · #109
10
UConn
3-2 · #87
51
Spread
CONN -6.5
✓ CONN W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼3
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
23–30
✓ CONN won
Trend: FIU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: CONN by 3 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
James Madison
3-1 · #28
14
Georgia State
1-3 · #125
7
Spread
JMU -18.5
✓ GAST W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼2
▼ Under 21
Projected
35–17
✓ JMU won
Trend: JMU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: GAST by 0 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Central Michigan
3-2 · #103
22
Akron
1-4 · #127
28
Spread
CMU -6.5
✓ AKR W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲3
▲ Over 50 · Q4
Projected
27–21
✗ CMU lost
Trend: CMU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: AKR by 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Eastern Michigan
1-4 · #123
30
Buffalo
2-3 · #118
31
Spread
BUFF -9.5
✓ EMU W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲4
▲ Over 61 · OT
Projected
22–32
✓ BUFF won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Miami (OH)
1-3 · #91
25
Northern Illinois
1-3 · #124
14
Spread
M-OH -4.5
✓ M-OH W ATS
Total
39.5 ▲1
▼ Under 39
Projected
20–16
✓ M-OH won
Trend: M-OH ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: NIU by 4.5 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Kent State
1-3 · #132
0
Oklahoma
4-0 · #16
44
Spread
OU -46.5
✓ KENT W ATS
Total
53.5
▼ Under 44
Projected
1–49
✓ OU won
Trend: OU ATS ✗ Model: OU by 5.5 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Michigan State
3-1 · #67
27
Nebraska
3-1 · #45
38
Spread
NEB -12.5
✓ MSU W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼4
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
16–30
✓ NEB won
Trend: NEB ATS ✗ Model: NEB by 4 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Texas State
3-1 · #71
30
Arkansas State
1-4 · #110
31
Spread
TXST -14.5
✓ ARST W ATS
Total
63.5 ▼1
▼ Under 61
Projected
38–24
✗ TXST lost
Trend: TXST ATS ✗ Model: TXST by 0 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Coastal Carolina
2-2 · #122
7
Old Dominion
3-1 · #46
47
Spread
ODU -18.5
✓ ODU W ATS
Total
53.5 ▼2
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
16–35
✓ ODU won
Trend: ODU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: ODU by 1 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Texas Tech
4-0 · #5
35
Houston
4-0 · #49
11
Spread
TTU -11.5
✓ TTU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲1
▼ Under 46
Projected
31–20
✓ TTU won
Trend: HOU ATS ✗ Model: HOU by 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
UNLV
4-0 · #74
31
Wyoming
2-2 · #107
17
Spread
UNLV -4.5
✓ UNLV W ATS
Total
53.5
▼ Under 48
Projected
30–25
✓ UNLV won
Trend: WYO ATS ✗ Model: UNLV by 1 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
South Alabama
1-4 · #102
24
Troy
2-2 · #99
31
Spread
USA -2.5
✓ TROY W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼1
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
25–24
✗ USA lost
Model: TROY by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Florida Atlantic
1-3 · #108
27
Rice
3-2 · #126
21
Spread
RICE -4.5
✓ FAU W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲3
▼ Under 48
Projected
23–28
✗ RICE lost
Trend: RICE ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: FAU by 0 ✓ Model: Under 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Minnesota
3-1 · #69
3
Ohio State
4-0 · #2
42
Spread
OSU -23.5
✓ OSU W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼2
▲ Over 45 · Q4
Projected
9–33
✓ OSU won
Trend: OSU ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: OSU by 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Miami
4-0 · #6
28
Florida State
3-1 · #23
22
Spread
MIA -2.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
54.5
▼ Under 50
Projected
28–25
✓ MIA won
Trend: FSU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: MIA by 2 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Mississippi State
4-1 · #56
9
Texas A&M
4-0 · #10
31
Spread
TA&M -17.5
✓ TA&M W ATS
Total
57.5 ▼1
▼ Under 40
Projected
19–36
✓ TA&M won
Trend: MSST ATS ✗ Model: MSST by 4 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Conf
Colorado
2-3 · #75
21
TCU
3-1 · #33
35
Spread
TCU -14.5
✓ COLO W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼3
▼ Under 56
Projected
20–35
✓ TCU won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: COLO by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Conf
Kansas
3-2 · #54
27
UCF
3-1 · #66
20
Spread
KU -3.5
✓ KU W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼4
▼ Under 47
Projected
28–25
✓ KU won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: UCF by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Tulsa
2-3 · #113
7
Memphis
5-0 · #61
45
Spread
MEM -21.5
✓ MEM W ATS
Total
52.5 ▼3
▼ Under 52
Projected
16–37
✓ MEM won
Trend: MEM ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: MEM by 2 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Conf
Duke
3-2 · #47
45
California
4-1 · #76
21
Spread
DUKE -3.5
✓ DUKE W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼1
▲ Over 66 · Q4
Projected
28–24
✓ DUKE won
Model: CAL by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Nevada
1-3 · #121
17
Fresno State
4-1 · #82
20
Spread
FRES -13.5
✓ NEV W ATS
Total
46.5 ▲2
▼ Under 37
Projected
16–30
✓ FRES won
Trend: FRES ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: FRES by 0 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total