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NCAAF · 2025

NCAAF Week 1 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 1: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
48 finalFavorites 24-24 ATS9 upsetsO/U 20-27Model Favorite 39-9Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games4848 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS24-2450% covered
Upsets9outright
Over / Under20-2743% over
Model Favorite39-981% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up11 all 11 final
Over5 45%Under6 55%
Moved down27 all 27 final
Over12 44%Under15 56%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20252024–2026
Any move
17–1750%
287–313–248%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
7–1237%
143–153–148%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
4–357%
78–74–151%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
2–0100%
14–1352%
47–4551%
7+ pts
2–0100%
6–186%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Saturday, Aug 23

4
Final · Neutral
Iowa State
0-0 · #36
24
Kansas State
0-0 · #42
21
Spread
KSU -2.5
✓ ISU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲2
▼ Under 45
Projected
26–28
✗ KSU lost
Trend: Over ✗ Model: ISU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Fresno State
0-0 · #82
7
Kansas
0-0 · #54
31
Spread
KU -14.5
✓ KU W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼1
▼ Under 38
Projected
19–34
✓ KU won
Trend: KU ATS ✓ Model: KU by 2 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Conf
Sam Houston
0-0 · #135
24
Western Kentucky
0-0 · #94
41
Spread
WKU -10.5
✓ WKU W ATS
Total
60.5 ▼1
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
19–28
✓ WKU won
Model: SHSU by 8.5 ✗ Model: Under 13 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Stanford
0-0 · #85
20
Hawai'i
0-0 · #90
23
Spread
HAW -1.5
✓ HAW W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼3
▼ Under 43
Projected
24–24
✓ HAW won
Trend: HAW ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: STAN by 5.5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3

Thursday, Aug 28

8
Final · Non-conf
Boise State
0-0 · #55
7
South Florida
0-0 · #29
34
Spread
BOIS -5.5
✓ USF W ATS
Total
60.5 ▼3
▼ Under 41
Projected
33–27
✗ BOIS lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: BOIS by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Ohio
0-0 · #78
31
Rutgers
0-0 · #62
34
Spread
RUTG -15.5
✓ OHIO W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲4
▲ Over 65 · Q3
Projected
19–33
✓ RUTG won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: OHIO by 5.5 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
East Carolina
0-0 · #51
17
NC State
0-0 · #44
24
Spread
NCSU -13.5
✓ ECU W ATS
Total
61.5
▼ Under 41
Projected
22–35
✓ NCSU won
Model: ECU by 4.5 ✓ Model: Under 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Jacksonville State
0-0 · #101
10
UCF
0-0 · #66
17
Spread
UCF -20.5
✓ JXST W ATS
Total
52.5
▼ Under 27
Projected
21–41
✓ UCF won
Trend: UCF ATS ✗ Model: JXST by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 9 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Wyoming
0-0 · #107
10
Akron
0-0 · #127
0
Spread
WYO -4.5
✓ WYO W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼1
▼ Under 10
Projected
25–22
✓ WYO won
Trend: AKR ATS ✗ Model: AKR by 6.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Buffalo
0-0 · #118
10
Minnesota
0-0 · #69
23
Spread
MINN -16.5
✓ BUFF W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼3
▼ Under 33
Projected
15–33
✓ MINN won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: MINN by 7 ✗ Model: Over 6.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Neutral
Nebraska
0-0 · #45
20
Cincinnati
0-0 · #58
17
Spread
NEB -5.5
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼4
▼ Under 37
Projected
27–22
✓ NEB won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: CIN by 0 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Miami (OH)
0-0 · #91
0
Wisconsin
0-0 · #63
17
Spread
WIS -18.5
✓ M-OH W ATS
Total
41.5 ▲2
▼ Under 17
Projected
15–32
✓ WIS won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: M-OH by 6.5 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Friday, Aug 29

7
Final · Non-conf
Western Michigan
0-0 · #80
6
Michigan State
0-0 · #67
23
Spread
MSU -22.5
✓ WMU W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲1
▼ Under 29
Projected
17–37
✓ MSU won
Trend: MSU ATS ✗ Model: WMU by 8.5 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Kennesaw State
0-0 · #97
9
Wake Forest
0-0 · #53
10
Spread
WAKE -18.5
✓ KENN W ATS
Total
51.5
▼ Under 19
Projected
16–36
✓ WAKE won
Model: WAKE by 5.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Neutral
App State
0-0 · #115
34
Charlotte
0-0 · #134
11
Spread
APP -19.5
✓ APP W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
38–21
✓ APP won
Trend: APP ATS ✓ Model: CLT by 13.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Auburn
0-0 · #24
38
Baylor
0-0 · #50
24
Spread
BAY -1.5
✓ AUB W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼1
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
28–29
✗ BAY lost
Trend: BAY ATS ✗ Model: AUB by 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Georgia Tech
0-0 · #39
27
Colorado
0-0 · #75
20
Spread
GT -3.5
✓ GT W ATS
Total
50.5 ▼2
▼ Under 47
Projected
28–27
✓ GT won
Trend: COLO ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: COLO by 12.5 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
UNLV
1-0 · #74
38
Sam Houston
0-1 · #135
21
Spread
UNLV -8.5
✓ UNLV W ATS
Total
60.5 ▼2
▼ Under 59
Projected
29–20
✓ UNLV won
Trend: SHSU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: UNLV by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 11.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Central Michigan
0-0 · #103
16
San José State
0-0 · #106
14
Spread
SJSU -14.5
✓ CMU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲1
▼ Under 30
Projected
20–34
✗ SJSU lost
Trend: SJSU ATS ✗ Model: CMU by 1 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Saturday, Aug 30

26
Final · Non-conf
Texas
0-0 · #14
7
Ohio State
0-0 · #2
14
Spread
OSU -1.5
✓ OSU W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼1
▼ Under 21
Projected
24–27
✓ OSU won
Model: OSU by 5.5 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Neutral
Syracuse
0-0 · #92
26
Tennessee
0-0 · #22
45
Spread
TENN -13.5
✓ TENN W ATS
Total
51.5
▲ Over 71 · Q3
Projected
22–36
✓ TENN won
Model: SYR by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 7 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Mississippi State
0-0 · #56
34
Southern Miss
0-0 · #98
17
Spread
MSST -15.5
✓ MSST W ATS
Total
59.5 ▼2
▼ Under 51
Projected
36–20
✓ MSST won
Trend: MSST ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: MSST by 3.5 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Florida Atlantic
0-0 · #108
7
Maryland
0-0 · #72
39
Spread
MD -13.5
✓ MD W ATS
Total
59.5
▼ Under 46
Projected
21–35
✓ MD won
Model: MD by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Ball State
0-0 · #133
0
Purdue
0-0 · #79
31
Spread
PUR -16.5
✓ PUR W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼2
▼ Under 31
Projected
23–38
✓ PUR won
Trend: BALL ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: BALL by 5.5 ✗ Model: Over 12.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Northwestern
0-0 · #59
3
Tulane
0-0 · #57
23
Spread
TULN -6.5
✓ TULN W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▼ Under 26
Projected
21–28
✓ TULN won
Model: TULN by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Toledo
0-0 · #48
16
Kentucky
0-0 · #52
24
Spread
UK -9.5
✓ TOL W ATS
Total
48.5
▼ Under 40
Projected
18–29
✓ UK won
Model: UK by 4 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Old Dominion
0-0 · #46
14
Indiana
0-0 · #1
27
Spread
IU -23.5
✓ ODU W ATS
Total
53.5 ▼1
▼ Under 41
Projected
16–40
✓ IU won
Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Nevada
0-0 · #121
11
Penn State
0-0 · #17
46
Spread
PSU -43.5
✓ NEV W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼2
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
5–48
✓ PSU won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: NEV by 6 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Marshall
0-0 · #88
7
Georgia
0-0 · #7
45
Spread
UGA -38.5
✓ MRSH W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼4
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
8–45
✓ UGA won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: MRSH by 11 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Alabama
0-0 · #11
17
Florida State
0-0 · #23
31
Spread
ALA -13.5
✓ FSU W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼4
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
31–16
✗ ALA lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: ALA by 6.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Temple
0-0 · #96
42
Massachusetts
0-0 · #136
10
Spread
TEM -2.5
✓ TEM W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲1
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
26–25
✓ TEM won
Model: MASS by 6.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Coastal Carolina
0-0 · #122
7
Virginia
0-0 · #32
48
Spread
UVA -13.5
✓ UVA W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼4
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
21–34
✓ UVA won
Trend: UVA ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: CCU by 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
UTSA
0-0 · #65
24
Texas A&M
0-0 · #10
42
Spread
TA&M -23.5
✓ UTSA W ATS
Total
59.5 ▲2
▲ Over 66 · Q4
Projected
16–39
✓ TA&M won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: UTSA by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
LSU
0-0 · #31
17
Clemson
0-0 · #34
10
Spread
CLEM -5.5
✓ LSU W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼2
▼ Under 27
Projected
27–32
✗ CLEM lost
Trend: CLEM ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: LSU by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
New Mexico
0-0 · #81
17
Michigan
0-0 · #21
34
Spread
MICH -34.5
✓ UNM W ATS
Total
49.5
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
13–47
✓ MICH won
Model: UNM by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 9.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Missouri State
0-0 · #112
13
USC
0-0 · #12
73
Spread
USC -36.5
✓ USC W ATS
Total
60.5 ▲1
▲ Over 86 · Q3
Projected
10–48
✓ USC won
Model: USC by 6 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
UTEP
0-0 · #131
16
Utah State
0-0 · #86
28
Spread
USU -4.5
✓ USU W ATS
Total
58.5 ▼3
▼ Under 44
Projected
28–33
✓ USU won
Trend: UTEP ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: USU by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Georgia State
0-0 · #125
7
Ole Miss
0-0 · #9
63
Spread
MISS -33.5
✓ MISS W ATS
Total
61.5 ▲1
▲ Over 70 · Q4
Projected
11–45
✓ MISS won
Trend: GAST ATS ✗ Model: MISS by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Rice
0-0 · #126
14
Louisiana
0-0 · #114
12
Spread
UL -9.5
✓ RICE W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲1
▼ Under 26
Projected
21–30
✗ UL lost
Trend: RICE ATS ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Eastern Michigan
0-0 · #123
27
Texas State
0-0 · #71
52
Spread
TXST -13.5
✓ TXST W ATS
Total
56.5 ▼2
▲ Over 79 · Q4
Projected
22–36
✓ TXST won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: TXST by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Georgia Southern
0-0 · #105
14
Fresno State
0-1 · #82
42
Spread
GASO -1.5
✓ FRES W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼2
▲ Over 56 · Q4
Projected
26–26
✗ GASO lost
Trend: GASO ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: FRES by 7 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
California
0-0 · #76
34
Oregon State
0-0 · #100
15
Spread
CAL -2.5
✓ CAL W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼2
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
28–24
✓ CAL won
Trend: CAL ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: CAL by 5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Hawai'i
1-0 · #90
6
Arizona
0-0 · #26
40
Spread
ARIZ -15.5
✓ ARIZ W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲3
▼ Under 46
Projected
18–33
✓ ARIZ won
Trend: HAW ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: ARIZ by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Utah
0-0 · #8
43
UCLA
0-0 · #70
10
Spread
UTAH -6.5
✓ UTAH W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼4
▲ Over 53 · Q4
Projected
23–19
✓ UTAH won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: UCLA by 11 ✗ Model: Under 6.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Colorado State
0-0 · #116
21
Washington
0-0 · #15
38
Spread
WASH -22.5
✓ CSU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼3
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
15–37
✓ WASH won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: CSU by 3 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Aug 31

2
Final · Neutral
Virginia Tech
0-0 · #73
11
South Carolina
0-0 · #43
24
Spread
SC -7.5
✓ SC W ATS
Total
51.5
▼ Under 35
Projected
21–28
✓ SC won
Model: SC by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Notre Dame
0-0 · #3
24
Miami
0-0 · #6
27
Spread
ND -2.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
50.5
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
31–29
✗ ND lost
Model: MIA by 1 ✓ Model: Over 9.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Monday, Sep 1

1
Final · Non-conf
TCU
0-0 · #33
48
North Carolina
0-0 · #89
14
Spread
TCU -3.5
✓ TCU W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼4
▲ Over 62 · Q3
Projected
32–29
✓ TCU won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: UNC by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total