Sun, Aug 31, 2025, 3:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · Neutral site
Closing spread
SC -7.5
✓ SC W
Total
51.5
▼ Under · 35 pts
Model before kickoff
VT 21–28 SC
✓ SC (71%) won
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenSC -7.5
CloseSC -7.5
Total51.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSC -7.5
no move
CloseSC -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open51.5
no move
Close51.5
No change since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SC -7.5 · unchangedmodel SC -8
model SC -8
Opened 51.5 · unchangedmodel 49
model 49
Openline modelKickoff
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenSC -7.5
CloseSC -7.5
Total51.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
In the 10 games most like
SC as a 7.5-point neutral-site favorite against VT, the favorite won 8, covered 5, and 5 went over the total.
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This game: SC won 24–11; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 35 points stayed under 51.5, as in 5 of 10.
Favorite won
8 of 1080%
Normal range · usually 71%
Favorite covered
5 of 1050%
Normal range · usually 51%
Went over
5 of 1050%
Normal range · usually 52%
All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 4 against an average line of 6; 54.6 points a game (usually 53.7). Of the 4 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›
All 10 games
| Match | Game | Line | Final | Covered | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very close |
2024 · Postseason · very close · similar spread & total |
-7.25 | 44–41 | L | O52 |
| Very close |
2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar team ratings & spread |
-6.5 | 34–22 | W | O54 |
| Very close |
2023 · Week 4 · very close · similar situation & total |
-6.5 | 34–27 | W | O52 |
| Very close |
2024 · Week 5 · very close · similar team ratings |
-6.5 | 21–17 | L | U50.5 |
| Very close |
2023 · Week 1 · very close · similar spread & situation |
-7.5 | 39–34 | L | O49.5 |
| Very close | 2022 · Week 6 · very close · similar total & situation |
-3.5 | 28–20 | W | U51.5 |
| Close | 2022 · Postseason · close · similar total & team ratings |
-5 | 45–38 | W | O50.5 |
| Close |
2024 · Postseason · close · similar team ratings & spread |
-9.5 | 17–21 | L | U50 |
| Close |
2023 · Postseason · close · similar total |
-3.5 | 28–19 | W | U48.5 |
| Close |
2023 · Postseason · close · similar total |
-4 | 3–14 | L | U51 |
History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
Virginia Tech have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Totals
Over/under before kickoff
Stayed under: it needed 34 in the 4th quarter and got 17. 54% of games with totals 47.5–55.5 went over.
When games like this go over ›Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | |
| 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
Neutral site
No home edge
Weather
Indoors
Dome or closed roof
Rest
VT1st game
SC1st game
Even
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

