Sun, Aug 31, 2025, 3:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · Neutral site
Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›
0-0 · Power #73
11
final
Final
vs
0-0 · Power #43
24
▲ winner
Closing spread
SC -7.5
✓ SC W
Total
51.5
▼ Under · 35 pts
Model before kickoff
VT 21–28 SC
✓ SC (71%) won
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenSC -7.5
CloseSC -7.5
Total51.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
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Market

Open → close
Spread
No change since the open
Total
No change since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SC -7.5 · unchangedmodel SC -8
Opened 51.5 · unchangedmodel 49
Openline modelKickoff
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenSC -7.5
CloseSC -7.5
Total51.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like SC as a 7.5-point neutral-site favorite against VT, the favorite won 8, covered 5, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: SC won 24–11; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 35 points stayed under 51.5, as in 5 of 10.
Favorite won
8 of 1080%
Normal range · usually 71%
Favorite covered
5 of 1050%
Normal range · usually 51%
Went over
5 of 1050%
Normal range · usually 52%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 4 against an average line of 6; 54.6 points a game (usually 53.7). Of the 4 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games
MatchGameLineFinalCoveredO/U
Very close
2024 · Postseason · very close · similar spread & total
-7.2544–41 L O52
Very close
2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar team ratings & spread
-6.534–22 W O54
Very close
2023 · Week 4 · very close · similar situation & total
-6.534–27 W O52
Very close
2024 · Week 5 · very close · similar team ratings
-6.521–17 L U50.5
Very close
2023 · Week 1 · very close · similar spread & situation
-7.539–34 L O49.5
Very close
ND vs BYU
2022 · Week 6 · very close · similar total & situation
-3.528–20 W U51.5
Close
ND vs SC
2022 · Postseason · close · similar total & team ratings
-545–38 W O50.5
Close
2024 · Postseason · close · similar team ratings & spread
-9.517–21 L U50
Close
2023 · Postseason · close · similar total
-3.528–19 W U48.5
Close
2023 · Postseason · close · similar total
-43–14 L U51
History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

Signals

The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Small sample warning
Virginia Tech have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
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Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
Neutral site
No home edge
Weather
Indoors
Dome or closed roof
Rest
VT1st game
SC1st game
Even

Schedules, links & other games

Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week