Fri, Aug 29, 2025, 8:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Colorado
Closing spread
GT -3.5
✓ GT W
Total
50.5
▼ Under · 47 pts
Model before kickoff
GT 28–27 COLO
✓ GT (53%) won
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenGT -4.5
CloseGT -3.5
Total52.5 → 50.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGT -4.5
1 → COLO
CloseGT -3.5
1 pt toward Colorado
Total
Open52.5
▼ 2
Close50.5
Down 2 since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GT -4.5 · closed GT -3.5 · moved 1 toward COLOmodel COLO -9
model COLO -9
Opened 52.5 · closed 50.5 · moved 2 downmodel 54.5
model 54.5
Openline modelKickoff
Line context
Road favorites of 2.5–4.5 since 2023: won 56%, covered 47% (141 games)ⓘ
Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 51% (150 games since 2024)ⓘ
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenGT -4.5
CloseGT -3.5
Total52.5 → 50.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
In the 10 games most like 
GT as a 3.5-point road favorite at COLO, the favorite won 7, covered 6, and 7 went over the total.
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This game: GT won 27–20; the favorite covered, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 47 points stayed under 50.5, as in 3 of 10.
Favorite won
7 of 1070%
Normal range · usually 59%
Favorite covered
6 of 1060%
Normal range · usually 48%
Went over
7 of 1070%
Normal range · usually 51%
All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 11.7 against an average line of 3.1; 55.5 points a game (usually 52.9). Of the 3 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›
All 10 games
| Match | Game | Line | Final | Covered | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very close |
2024 · Week 3 · very close · similar situation & total |
-3.5 | 42–13 | W | O46.5 |
| Very close |
2024 · Week 1 · very close · similar situation & spread |
-2.5 | 41–17 | W | O54.5 |
| Close |  BAY @  WVU2022 · Week 7 · close · similar spread |
-3 | 40–43 | L | O55 |
| Close |
2023 · Week 2 · close · similar situation & spread |
-5 | 14–10 | L | U55.5 |
| Close |  UTAH @  FLA2022 · Week 1 · close · similar situation & total |
-2.5 | 26–29 | L | O51.5 |
| Close | WVU @  VT2022 · Week 4 · close · similar spread & situation |
-2 | 33–10 | W | U49.75 |
| Close |  PSU @  PUR2022 · Week 1 · close · similar total & situation |
-3.5 | 35–31 | W | O53.5 |
| Close |  WAKE @  NCST2022 · Week 10 · close · similar spread |
-3 | 21–30 | L | U54 |
| Close |
2024 · Week 4 · close · similar situation & total |
-3.5 | 43–24 | W | O52 |
| Close | PSU @  AUB2022 · Week 3 · close · similar situation & spread |
-2.5 | 41–12 | W | O47.5 |
IU
UCLA
MIA
CAL
UVA
CCUHistory, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Signals
The data signal, and 3 trends and market moves behind it
Slight Colorado ATS trend Miss
Slight-or-stronger ATS leans went 873-886 (50%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
Slight Under trend Hit
Slight-or-stronger total leans went 509-553 (48%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
Green signals have beaten the market in our backtest; yellow ones only describe the data.
Total moved down 2
52.5 → 50.5. · Backtest 2024–26: 462-498 (48%)
Colorado at altitude (+1.4 km)
Georgia Tech climb about 4,462 ft to play here; visitors have covered less often than the line expects at altitude. · Backtest 2023–26: 64-41 (61%)
Small sample warning
Georgia Tech have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Totals
Over/under before kickoff
Stayed under: it needed 18 in the 4th quarter and got 14. 54% of games with totals 46.5–54.5 went over.
When games like this go over ›Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GT | 5-5 50% | 4-5 44% | 5-5 50% |
 COLO | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
The series
GT 1–1 COLO
Series tied · 2 games since 2025 · COLO has won the last meeting
All-time series from CollegeFootballData.
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
COLO +2.5home-field points in the model
Weather
71° · 4 mph
gusts 12 mph · 0.02 in rain · at kickoff
Rest
GT1st game
COLO1st game
Even
Altitude
GT +4,462 ft
thin air for the visitors
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week
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