Sat, Aug 30, 2025, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · Neutral site
Closing spread
TENN -13.5
✓ TENN W
Total
51.5
▲ Over · 71 pts
Model before kickoff
SYR 22–36 TENN
✓ TENN (83%) won
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenTENN -13.5
CloseTENN -13.5
Total51.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTENN -13.5
no move
CloseTENN -13.5
No change since the open
Total
Open51.5
no move
Close51.5
No change since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TENN -13.5 · unchangedmodel TENN -13
model TENN -13
Opened 51.5 · unchangedmodel 58.5
model 58.5
Openline modelKickoff
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenTENN -13.5
CloseTENN -13.5
Total51.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Similar games
The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out
In the 10 games most like 
TENN as a 13.5-point neutral-site favorite against SYR, the favorite won 7, covered 5, and 7 went over the total.
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This game: TENN won 45–26; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 71 points went over 51.5, as in 7 of 10.
Favorite won
7 of 1070%
Normal range · usually 79%
Favorite covered
5 of 1050%
Normal range · usually 44%
Went over
7 of 1070%
Normal range · usually 52%
All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 15 against an average line of 13.1; 57.4 points a game (usually 54.3). Of the 5 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›
All 10 games
| Match | Game | Line | Final | Covered | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very close |
2024 · Postseason · very close · similar spread & total |
-13.5 | 39–31 | L | O52.5 |
| Very close |
2024 · Postseason · very close · similar team ratings |
-12 | 31–14 | W | U54.5 |
| Close |
2023 · Week 14 · close · similar team ratings & spread |
-14.5 | 49–21 | W | O56.5 |
| Close |
2024 · Week 1 · close · similar team ratings |
-10.5 | 21–24 | L | U54.5 |
| Close |
2024 · Week 10 · close · similar total |
-14.5 | 34–20 | L | O52.5 |
| Close |
2024 · Week 9 · close · similar spread & total |
-14 | 51–14 | W | O50.5 |
| Close |
2024 · Postseason · close · similar team ratings |
-9.5 | 17–21 | L | U50 |
| Close |  NEB vs  NU2022 · Week 1 · close · similar total |
-12.25 | 28–31 | L | O52.25 |
| Close |  MICH vs  PUR2022 · Week 14 · close · similar spread |
-15.75 | 43–22 | W | O54 |
| Close |
2024 · Week 13 · close · similar spread |
-14.5 | 49–14 | W | O44.5 |
TEX
ASU
PSU
BOIS
OKST
FSU
GT
UGA
FLA
ND
NAVY
SC
ILL
ARMYHistory, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
Syracuse have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Totals
Over/under before kickoff
Went over in Q3. Of 431 earlier overs in games with totals 47.5–55.5, 35% had cashed by the end of Q3.
When games like this go over ›Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
 SYR | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| TENN | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
Neutral site
No home edge
Weather
Indoors
Dome or closed roof
Rest
SYR1st game
TENN1st game
Even
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week
STAN @ 
HAW
ECU @ 
NCSU
KENN @ 
WAKE
AUB @ 
BAY
COLO
OSU
MSST @ 
USM
TOL @ 
UK
MRSH @ 
ALA @