Sat, Aug 24, 2024, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · Neutral site · Conference game
Weather at kickoff61°F14 mphgusts 29DryWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›
0-0 · Power #85
21
final
Final
vs
0-0 · Power #36
24
▲ winner
Closing spread
FSU -10.5
✓ GT W
Total
54.5
▼ Under · 45 pts
Model before kickoff
FSU 33–22 GT
✗ FSU (78%) lost
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenFSU -13
CloseFSU -10.5
Total54.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
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Market

Open → close
Spread
2.5 pts toward Georgia Tech
Total
No change since the open
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FSU -13 · closed FSU -10.5 · moved 2.5 toward GTmodel FSU -13
Opened 54.5 · unchangedmodel 54
Openline modelKickoff
Closing line · ESPN BET
SourceESPN BET closing line
OpenFSU -13
CloseFSU -10.5
Total54.5
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like FSU as a 10.5-point neutral-site favorite against GT, the favorite won 7, covered 5, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: GT won 24–21 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 45 points stayed under 54.5, as in 5 of 10.
Favorite won
7 of 1070%
Normal range · usually 77%
Favorite covered
5 of 1050%
Normal range · usually 49%
Went over
5 of 1050%
Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 5 against an average line of 9; 55.6 points a game (usually 55.2). Of the 4 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games
MatchGameLineFinalCoveredO/U
Close
MSST vs TTU
2021 · Postseason · close · similar team ratings
-107–34 L U58
Close
FLA vs UCF
2021 · Postseason · close · similar total & team ratings
-717–29 L U56
Close
2023 · Week 9 · close · similar situation
-1443–20 W O50
Close
PUR vs NU
2021 · Week 12 · close
-1132–14 W U47.5
Loose
2023 · Week 1 · loose
-7.539–34 L O49.5
Loose
BYU vs UAB
2021 · Postseason · loose · similar total
-628–31 L O54.25
Loose
2023 · Postseason · loose · similar spread
-8.549–36 W O64.5
Loose
2023 · Week 5 · loose · similar total
-6.534–22 W O54
Loose
APP vs ECU
2021 · Week 1 · loose · similar spread
-933–19 W U56
Loose
2023 · Week 3 · loose
-1021–14 L U50.5
History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

Signals

The data signal, and 2 trends and market moves behind it
Slight Georgia Tech ATS trend Hit
Slight-or-stronger ATS leans went 873-886 (50%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Market moved toward Georgia Tech
2.5 pts (FSU -13 → FSU -10.5). · Backtest 2024–26: 446-443 (50%)
Small sample warning
Florida State have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
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Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
Neutral site
No home edge
Weather
61° · 14 mph
gusts 29 mph · wind lowers scoring
Rest
FSU1st game
GT1st game
Even

Schedules, links & other games

Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week