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NCAAF · 2024

NCAAF Week 1 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 1: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
41 finalFavorites 13-22 ATS10 upsetsO/U 16-19Model Favorite 30-11Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games4141 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS13-2237% covered
Upsets10outright
Over / Under16-1946% over
Model Favorite30-1173% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up9 all 9 final
Over3 33%Under6 67%
Moved down17 all 17 final
Over9 53%Under8 47%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20242024–2026
Any move
12–1643%
324–33549%
789–801–850%
1.5+ pts
10–1245%
192–19749%
446–443–450%
3+ pts
4–640%
76–8348%
215–206–251%
5+ pts
3–175%
15–1944%
47–4551%
7+ pts
1–0100%
4–544%
13–765%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Saturday, Aug 24

2
Final · Neutral
Florida State
0-0 · #85
21
Georgia Tech
0-0 · #36
24
Spread
FSU -10.5
✓ GT W ATS
Total
54.5
▼ Under 45
Projected
33–22
✗ FSU lost
Trend: GT ATS ✓ Model: FSU by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
SMU
0-0 · #15
29
Nevada
0-0 · #102
24
Spread
SMU -27.5
✓ NEV W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼1
▼ Under 53
Projected
38–11
✓ SMU won
Trend: NEV ATS ✓ Model: NEV by 5.5 ✓ Model: Under 6.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Thursday, Aug 29

4
Final · Non-conf
North Dakota State
0-0
26
Colorado
0-0 · #25
31
Spread
COLO -11.5
✓ NDSU W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼5
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
22–35
✓ COLO won
Trend: COLO ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: COLO by 6 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Coastal Carolina
0-0 · #101
55
Jacksonville State
0-0 · #81
27
Spread
JXST -3.5
✓ CCU W ATS
Total
54.5 ▼2
▲ Over 82 · Q4
Projected
24–27
✗ JXST lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: CCU by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
North Carolina
0-0 · #64
19
Minnesota
0-0 · #26
17
Spread
UNC -1.5
✓ UNC W ATS
Total
52.5 ▲2
▼ Under 36
Projected
30–28
✓ UNC won
Trend: UNC ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: UNC by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Sacramento State
0-0
24
San José State
0-0 · #86
42
Spread
SJSU -2.5
✓ SJSU W ATS
Total
62.5 ▲2
▲ Over 66 · Q4
Projected
24–29
✓ SJSU won
Trend: SAC ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: SJSU by 10.5 ✓ Model: Under 9 ✗ Cover settled: Q4

Friday, Aug 30

4
Final · Non-conf
Temple
0-0 · #127
3
Oklahoma
0-0 · #28
51
Spread
OU -43.5
✓ OU W ATS
Total
57.5 ▼2
▼ Under 54
Projected
8–51
✓ OU won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: TEM by 5 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Florida Atlantic
0-0 · #118
10
Michigan State
0-0 · #70
16
Spread
MSU -12.5
✓ FAU W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼2
▼ Under 26
Projected
19–30
✓ MSU won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: FAU by 6 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Western Michigan
0-0 · #107
14
Wisconsin
0-0 · #47
28
Spread
WIS -24.5
✓ WMU W ATS
Total
56.5
▼ Under 42
Projected
16–39
✓ WIS won
Model: WMU by 4 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
TCU
0-0 · #34
34
Stanford
0-0 · #96
27
Spread
TCU -8.5
✓ STAN W ATS
Total
58.5 ▼3
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
34–25
✓ TCU won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: TCU by 1 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Saturday, Aug 31

29
Final · Neutral
Clemson
0-0 · #17
3
Georgia
0-0 · #8
34
Spread
UGA -10.5
✓ UGA W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲2
▼ Under 37
Projected
21–32
✓ UGA won
Trend: CLEM ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: UGA by 2 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Penn State
0-0 · #6
34
West Virginia
0-0 · #63
12
Spread
PSU -7.5
✓ PSU W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼3
▼ Under 46
Projected
31–22
✓ PSU won
Trend: WVU ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: PSU by 5.5 ✓ Model: Over 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Virginia Tech
0-0 · #38
27
Vanderbilt
0-0 · #53
34
Spread
VT -13.5
✓ VAN W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼5
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
34–21
✗ VT lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: VAN by 5 ✓ Model: Over 7 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
UConn
0-0 · #80
7
Maryland
0-0 · #62
50
Spread
MD -18.5
✓ MD W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼3
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
16–36
✓ MD won
Trend: CONN ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: MD by 4 ✓ Model: Over 7.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Kent State
0-0 · #134
24
Pittsburgh
0-0 · #57
55
Spread
PITT -23.5
✓ PITT W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲1
▲ Over 79 · Q3
Projected
12–36
✓ PITT won
Model: Under 6 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Akron
0-0 · #124
6
Ohio State
0-0 · #1
52
Spread
OSU -48.5
✓ AKR W ATS
Total
55.5 ▼3
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
0–46
✓ OSU won
Trend: AKR ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: AKR by 7 ✓ Model: Under 10.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Colorado State
0-0 · #100
0
Texas
0-0 · #2
52
Spread
TEX -34.5
✓ TEX W ATS
Total
62.5 ▲3
▼ Under 52
Projected
9–44
✓ TEX won
Trend: CSU ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: CSU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 9.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Miami
0-0 · #9
41
Florida
0-0 · #21
17
Spread
MIA -2.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
54.5
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
28–27
✓ MIA won
Model: FLA by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Florida International
0-0 · #121
7
Indiana
0-0 · #10
31
Spread
IU -25.5
✓ FIU W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲1
▼ Under 38
Projected
15–38
✓ IU won
Trend: IU ATS ✗ Model: FIU by 10 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
UTEP
0-0 · #128
7
Nebraska
0-0 · #41
40
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
13–30
✓ NEB won
Final · Non-conf
Eastern Michigan
0-0 · #120
28
Massachusetts
0-0 · #125
14
Spread
MASS -2.5
✓ EMU W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲1
▼ Under 42
Projected
25–28
✗ MASS lost
Trend: MASS ATS ✗ Model: MASS by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Ohio
0-0 · #65
22
Syracuse
0-0 · #43
38
Spread
SYR -17.5
✓ OHIO W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼2
▲ Over 60 · Q3
Projected
15–30
✓ SYR won
Trend: SYR ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: OHIO by 13.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Kennesaw State
0-0 · #133
16
UTSA
0-0 · #82
28
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
17–38
✓ UTSA won
Final · Non-conf
Miami (OH)
0-0 · #73
6
Northwestern
0-0 · #83
13
Spread
NU -3.5
✓ NU W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼2
▼ Under 19
Projected
20–24
✓ NU won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: NU by 5 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Boise State
0-0 · #29
56
Georgia Southern
0-0 · #90
45
Spread
BOIS -12.5
✓ GASO W ATS
Total
57.5
▲ Over 101 · Q3
Projected
36–24
✓ BOIS won
Trend: BOIS ATS ✗ Model: GASO by 7 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Old Dominion
0-0 · #78
19
South Carolina
0-0 · #13
23
Spread
SC -20.5
✓ ODU W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼6.5
▼ Under 42
Projected
15–35
✓ SC won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: ODU by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
North Texas
0-0 · #94
52
South Alabama
0-0 · #66
38
Spread
USA -5.5
✓ UNT W ATS
Total
60.5 ▼5
▲ Over 90 · Q3
Projected
29–35
✗ USA lost
Trend: UNT ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: USA by 5 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Western Kentucky
0-0 · #103
0
Alabama
0-0 · #7
63
Spread
ALA -37.5
✓ ALA W ATS
Total
60.5
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
10–46
✓ ALA won
Trend: ALA ATS ✓ Model: WKU by 7 ✗ Model: Under 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
UNLV
0-0 · #42
27
Houston
0-0 · #76
7
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
27–30
✗ HOU lost
Final · Non-conf
Sam Houston
0-0 · #93
34
Rice
0-0 · #104
14
Spread
RICE -9.5
✓ SHSU W ATS
Total
48.5
▼ Under 48
Projected
19–29
✗ RICE lost
Trend: SHSU ATS ✓ Model: SHSU by 1 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Nevada
0-1 · #102
28
Troy
0-0 · #97
26
Spread
TROY -7.5
✓ NEV W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼2
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
17–28
✗ TROY lost
Trend: NEV ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: TROY by 16 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Notre Dame
0-0 · #4
23
Texas A&M
0-0 · #19
13
Spread
TA&M -2.5
✓ ND W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼2
▼ Under 36
Projected
24–26
✗ TA&M lost
Trend: TA&M ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: ND by 5.5 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Fresno State
0-0 · #84
10
Michigan
0-0 · #27
30
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
12–40
✓ MICH won
Final · Non-conf
UCLA
0-0 · #48
16
Hawai'i
1-0 · #109
13
Spread
UCLA -13.5
✓ HAW W ATS
Total
51.5 ▼4
▼ Under 29
Projected
31–17
✓ UCLA won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: UCLA by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Southern Miss
0-0 · #132
0
Kentucky
0-0 · #50
31
Spread
UK -25.5
✓ UK W ATS
Total
49.5
▼ Under 31
Projected
15–40
✓ UK won
Model: USM by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 5.5 ✗
Final · Non-conf
Georgia State
0-0 · #110
12
Georgia Tech
1-0 · #36
35
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
25–35
✓ GT won
Final · Non-conf
James Madison
0-0 · #59
30
Charlotte
0-0 · #119
7
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
29–20
✓ JMU won
Final · Non-conf
New Mexico
0-1 · #111
39
Arizona
0-0 · #79
61
Spread
ARIZ -29
✓ UNM W ATS
Total
60.5 ▲7
▲ Over 100 · Q3
Projected
16–44
✓ ARIZ won
Trend: UNM ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: UNM by 3 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Wyoming
0-0 · #114
7
Arizona State
0-0 · #18
48
Spread
ASU -6.5
✓ ASU W ATS
Total
47.5
▲ Over 55 · Q3
Projected
18–24
✓ ASU won
Model: WYO by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Sep 1

1
Final · Neutral
USC
0-0 · #16
27
LSU
0-0 · #12
20
Spread
LSU -3.5
✓ USC W ATS
Total
67.5 ▲5
▼ Under 47
Projected
37–41
✗ LSU lost
Trend: USC ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: LSU by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 11 ✗ Cover settled: Q4

Monday, Sep 2

1
Final · Conf
Boston College
0-0 · #58
28
Florida State
0-1 · #85
13
Spread
FSU -16.5
✓ BC W ATS
Total
51.5
▼ Under 41
Projected
19–36
✗ FSU lost
Trend: BC ATS ✓ Model: FSU by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) and total leans 21-19 (53%) over 2024–26, so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total