Sat, Aug 31, 2024, 8:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Georgia Tech
Closing spread
—
Total
—
Model before kickoff
GAST 25–35 GT
✓ GT (79%) won
Market
Open → close
Spread
Open—
no open
Close—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Close—
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
Georgia State have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 127 FBS teams
Longer bar = better
#86
Offense
GT better ▶#43
#116
Defense
GT better ▶#80
0.0 #61
Turnovers
Even0.0 #66
63 plays #85
Pace
◀ GAST faster58 plays #102
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| GAST off | GT def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 12.0 #112 | 16.5 #67 | GT |
| Yards / play | 5.71 #80 | 5.38 #81 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.01 #94 | +0.07 #74 | GT |
| Success rate | 47% #58 | 44% #97 | GAST |
| GT off | GAST def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 29.5 #77 | 35.0 #110 | GT |
| Yards / play | 7.20 #37 | 7.80 #124 | GT |
| PPA / play | +0.46 #24 | +0.54 #125 | GT |
| Success rate | 53% #34 | 49% #106 | GT |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
80° · 3 mph
gusts 18 mph · at kickoff
Rest
GAST1st game
GT7d
Even
Tempo
Slow 121 plays
slowavg 133fast
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

