Sat, Aug 31, 2024, 8:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Georgia Tech
Weather at kickoff80°F3 mphgusts 18DryWeather watch ›
0-0 · Power #110
12
final
Final
@
1-0 · Power #36
35
▲ winner
Closing spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Model before kickoff
GAST 25–35 GT
✓ GT (79%) won
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Market

Open → close
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Signals

The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Small sample warning
Georgia State have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
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Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 127 FBS teams
GAST
Longer bar = better
GT
#86
Offense
GT better ▶
#43
#116
Defense
GT better ▶
#80
0.0 #61
Turnovers
Even
0.0 #66
63 plays #85
Pace
◀ GAST faster
58 plays #102
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When GAST has the ball
Even matchup
GAST offGT defEdge
Points / game 12.0 #112 16.5 #67 GT
Yards / play 5.71 #80 5.38 #81 Even
PPA / play +0.01 #94 +0.07 #74 GT
Success rate 47% #58 44% #97 GAST
When GT has the ball
Advantage: GT offense
GT offGAST defEdge
Points / game 29.5 #77 35.0 #110 GT
Yards / play 7.20 #37 7.80 #124 GT
PPA / play +0.46 #24 +0.54 #125 GT
Success rate 53% #34 49% #106 GT

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
GT +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
80° · 3 mph
gusts 18 mph · at kickoff
Rest
GAST1st game
GT7d
Even
Tempo
Slow 121 plays
slowavg 133fast

Schedules, links & other games

Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week