TCU @ Stanford: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2024)

Fri, Aug 30, 2024, 10:30 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Stanford

Weather at kickoff67°F3 mphgusts 10DryWeather watch ›

TCU

0-0 · Power #34

▲ winner

Final

Stanford

0-0 · Power #96

final

Closing spread

TCU -8.5

✓ STAN W

Total

58.5

▲ Over · 61 pts

Model before kickoff

TCU 34–25 STAN

✓ TCU (73%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTCU -8

CloseTCU -8.5

Total61.5 → 58.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTCU -8

0.5 → TCU

CloseTCU -8.5

0.5 pts toward TCU

Total

Open61.5

▼ 3

Close58.5

Down 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened TCU -8 · closed TCU -8.5 · moved 0.5 toward TCUmodel TCU -9.5

model TCU -9.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 6.5–10.5 since 2023: won 78%, covered 61% (76 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenTCU -8

CloseTCU -8.5

Total61.5 → 58.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TCU as an 8.5-point road favorite at STAN, the favorite won 7, covered 5, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: TCU won 34–27; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 61 points went over 58.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 71%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 8.6 against an average line of 7.8; 57.8 points a game (usually 54.1). Of the 3 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	BOIS @ CSU 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & total	-7.5	30–31	L	O60
Very close	HOU @ TULN 2021 · Week 6 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-6.5	40–22	W	O60
Very close	ORE @ STAN 2021 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread	-8.5	24–31	L	U57.5
Very close	APP @ GAST 2021 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread	-10	45–16	W	O54.5
Very close	WASH @ CAL 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & total	-7.5	28–21	L	U54.5
Very close	WVU @ BAY 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-8.5	34–31	L	O54
Very close	USC @ WSU 2021 · Week 3 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-7	45–14	W	U61
Very close	OKST @ HOU 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-6.5	43–30	W	O57.5
Very close	UCF @ ECU 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar team ratings	-5.5	13–34	L	U63
Very close	PUR @ IU 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar team ratings & spread	-10	30–16	W	U53

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found