Kent State @ Pittsburgh: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2024)

Sat, Aug 31, 2024, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Pittsburgh

Weather at kickoff82°F4 mphgusts 15DryWeather watch ›

Kent State

0-0 · Power #134

final

Final

Pittsburgh

0-0 · Power #57

▲ winner

Closing spread

PITT -23.5

✓ PITT W

Total

54.5

▲ Over · 79 pts

Model before kickoff

KENT 12–36 PITT

✓ PITT (95%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenPITT -23.5

ClosePITT -23.5

Total53.5 → 54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenPITT -23.5

no move

ClosePITT -23.5

No change since the open

Total

Open53.5

▲ 1

Close54.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened PITT -23.5 · unchangedmodel PITT -23.5 matches the line

model PITT -23.5 = line ✓

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 21.5–25.5 since 2023: won 91%, covered 40% (46 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenPITT -23.5

ClosePITT -23.5

Total53.5 → 54.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like PITT as a 23.5-point home favorite against KENT, the favorite won 9, covered 3, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: PITT won 55–24; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 79 points went over 54.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 90%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 14.2 against an average line of 23; 56.4 points a game (usually 55.1). Of the 2 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	LIB vs NMSU 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-24	14–49	L	O50.5
Very close	UL vs ULM 2021 · Week 13 · very close · similar total & spread	-21.5	21–16	L	U55.25
Very close	TLSA vs TEM 2021 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-22	44–10	W	O50.5
Very close	UTSA vs UNLV 2021 · Week 5 · very close · similar team ratings	-21.5	24–17	L	U55.5
Very close	BYU vs USF 2021 · Week 4 · very close · similar spread & situation	-23.5	35–27	L	O54.5
Very close	UL vs TXST 2021 · Week 9 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-21	45–0	W	U58
Very close	MD vs CLT 2023 · Week 2 · very close · similar situation & spread	-24.5	38–20	L	O50
Very close	SJSU vs NMSU 2021 · Week 5 · very close · similar situation & total	-25.5	37–31	L	O51.5
Very close	MSST vs WMU 2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & situation	-21	41–28	L	O55
Very close	BSU vs UTEP 2021 · Week 2 · very close · similar situation & total	-25	54–13	W	O56.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found